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German Tank Problem

threestandarddeviationstotheleft.wordpress.com

71–73 of 73 posts

Re: German Tank Problem

#71
post #31

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's right -- you'd have to change something big -- ie the identities of the belligerents -- or to give the nuclear bomb to Germany. But you can't reverse the outcome by changing something small (like Enigma or the weather in Russia). No offence to Turing et al, of course -- they still saved gazillions of lives.

The weather in Russia is by no means something that I would call "small." It helped the Russians defeat Napoleon in 1812. When the Germans invaded, they were ill-prepared as well. They're vehicles couldn't cope with the cold, so in the winter months, they were bombarded by Soviet bombers but couldn't get any of their own planes in the air. They couldn't move vehicles because the ground turns to mud (they ended up usi…

[deleted]

Re: German Tank Problem

#72
post #31

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's right -- you'd have to change something big -- ie the identities of the belligerents -- or to give the nuclear bomb to Germany. But you can't reverse the outcome by changing something small (like Enigma or the weather in Russia). No offence to Turing et al, of course -- they still saved gazillions of lives.

The weather in Russia is by no means something that I would call "small." It helped the Russians defeat Napoleon in 1812. When the Germans invaded, they were ill-prepared as well. They're vehicles couldn't cope with the cold, so in the winter months, they were bombarded by Soviet bombers but couldn't get any of their own planes in the air. They couldn't move vehicles because the ground turns to mud (they ended up usi…

Here's Napoleon's cartographer's view of the Russian expedition, atop google maps: http://hci.stanford.edu/jheer/files/zoo/ex/maps/napoleon.htm...

Wikipedia has the original: http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/2/29/Minard.pn...

Re: German Tank Problem

#73
As someone who spends a lot of time working with future high-school math teachers, I'd be really interested in reading some more by this author; but I can't find any contact information, and the blog moved to an 'invitation-only' Blogspot account in 2007. Does anyone know how to get in touch with the author to request an invitation?
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