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Rents in Megacities Can't Go Up Forever

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Re: Rents in Megacities Can't Go Up Forever

#71

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I live in Chicago. I love it here because of everything else it has to offer. I have everything almost everything I need available to me within walking distance from home. That includes grocery store, dive bars, cheap restaurants, high end restaurants, clubs. For anything else I may want to do (concerts, sports games, plays, comedy), there are dozens of world class options within a ten minute cab drive / 30 minutes o…

I've heard this pitch for Chicago many times, and it seems reasonable if you are in the one of the industries, Tyler mentions, that are more diffuse. The main problem with Chicago is it lacks an anchor industry. Is it the best place to be for finance? No, that's NYC. Is it healthcare? Boston, Baltimore, Cleveland or Rochester. Energy? Houston. Technology? SF. Entertainment? LA or NYC. Politics? DC. What exactly is Ch…

I think you're a bit misinformed. Chicago has two large keystone industries that serve the global economy: (1) Industrial large scale manufacturing (Boeing, John Deere, Caterpillar), (2) Insurance (all of them); not to mention a ton of Food and Agriculture HQs are based there as well.

Re: Rents in Megacities Can't Go Up Forever

#74
post #71

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I've heard this pitch for Chicago many times, and it seems reasonable if you are in the one of the industries, Tyler mentions, that are more diffuse. The main problem with Chicago is it lacks an anchor industry. Is it the best place to be for finance? No, that's NYC. Is it healthcare? Boston, Baltimore, Cleveland or Rochester. Energy? Houston. Technology? SF. Entertainment? LA or NYC. Politics? DC. What exactly is Ch…

I think you're a bit misinformed. Chicago has two large keystone industries that serve the global economy: (1) Industrial large scale manufacturing (Boeing, John Deere, Caterpillar), (2) Insurance (all of them); not to mention a ton of Food and Agriculture HQs are based there as well.

Isn't Boeing in Washington?

Also, not too many people aspire to be in insurance. I don't think you can put it on the same level as finance, arts, software, fashion, film, etc.

Re: Rents in Megacities Can't Go Up Forever

#76

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I live in Chicago. I love it here because of everything else it has to offer. I have everything almost everything I need available to me within walking distance from home. That includes grocery store, dive bars, cheap restaurants, high end restaurants, clubs. For anything else I may want to do (concerts, sports games, plays, comedy), there are dozens of world class options within a ten minute cab drive / 30 minutes o…

I've heard this pitch for Chicago many times, and it seems reasonable if you are in the one of the industries, Tyler mentions, that are more diffuse. The main problem with Chicago is it lacks an anchor industry. Is it the best place to be for finance? No, that's NYC. Is it healthcare? Boston, Baltimore, Cleveland or Rochester. Energy? Houston. Technology? SF. Entertainment? LA or NYC. Politics? DC. What exactly is Ch…

Commodity trading?

Re: Rents in Megacities Can't Go Up Forever

#77
The author of the article is a professor of economics but doesn't state the true cause of rising housing costs: Market inefficiencies (or market failures) caused by politically induced market scarcity restrictions called "rent-seeking" which benefits landowners such as President Trump over people who rent or are purchasing housing.

Rent-seeking was first illustrated by David Ricardo in the mid-19th century (IIRC) and surprising that the author did not cite the true reasons for the rising housing costs.

Harvard Economist Edward Glaeser and Economist and Financial Times writer Tim Harford among many others writes about this.

Remember, rising prices come from scarcity. Eliminate the scarcity and your eliminate the high prices. Reverse the zoning density restrictions and you get lower prices.

Re: Rents in Megacities Can't Go Up Forever

#78

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I mean sure, if you want to build a lifestyle company, and by the way there's no shame in that. But the dream, and the reason all the coastal co's are in it, is to be the next Google or Facebook, or Twitter or Snapchat. You could say an app to get people to come over to your house won't change the world, but people think hey maybe it will grow, or we'll just pivot, and wind up with the next Flickr or Slack, and that'…

Why does every company in this industry need to be either a "lifestyle business" or a Google wannabe? What ever happened to growing a business organically over time, or with non-VC investments?

Because if you're growing organically some VC funded competitor is going to try to grow exponentially, and swallow you up or put you out of business. There's no middle ground because all that looks like to people trying to get a return on their investment is that you aren't trying hard enough. That either means they push you harder, or they fund a competitor if you aren't beholden to them.

Re: Rents in Megacities Can't Go Up Forever

#79
post #71

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I've heard this pitch for Chicago many times, and it seems reasonable if you are in the one of the industries, Tyler mentions, that are more diffuse. The main problem with Chicago is it lacks an anchor industry. Is it the best place to be for finance? No, that's NYC. Is it healthcare? Boston, Baltimore, Cleveland or Rochester. Energy? Houston. Technology? SF. Entertainment? LA or NYC. Politics? DC. What exactly is Ch…

I think you're a bit misinformed. Chicago has two large keystone industries that serve the global economy: (1) Industrial large scale manufacturing (Boeing, John Deere, Caterpillar), (2) Insurance (all of them); not to mention a ton of Food and Agriculture HQs are based there as well.

Insurance is Hartford, CT. Food and ag I can see though

Re: Rents in Megacities Can't Go Up Forever

#80

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I live in Chicago. I love it here because of everything else it has to offer. I have everything almost everything I need available to me within walking distance from home. That includes grocery store, dive bars, cheap restaurants, high end restaurants, clubs. For anything else I may want to do (concerts, sports games, plays, comedy), there are dozens of world class options within a ten minute cab drive / 30 minutes o…

I've heard this pitch for Chicago many times, and it seems reasonable if you are in the one of the industries, Tyler mentions, that are more diffuse. The main problem with Chicago is it lacks an anchor industry. Is it the best place to be for finance? No, that's NYC. Is it healthcare? Boston, Baltimore, Cleveland or Rochester. Energy? Houston. Technology? SF. Entertainment? LA or NYC. Politics? DC. What exactly is Ch…

I don't know the city well enough to be sure, but traditionally it's transportation - back in the day as a link between the Mississippi and Great Lakes systems, then as a huge rail hub (cattle from the west would get repackaged and shipped on to the East), and most recently O'Hare (busiest airport in the world).
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