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My Priorities for the Next Four Years

schneier.com

71–80 of 157 posts

Re: My Priorities for the Next Four Years

#71
> And if there's a major terrorist attack under Trump's watch, it'll be open season on our liberties.

I'm starting to believe that there is not a single world leader who is more than one crisis away from "reluctantly" assuming dictatorial powers. And the populations of advanced economies have no conception of the value of their liberty, since they so willingly give it away.

Re: My Priorities for the Next Four Years

#72

> Like many, I was surprised and shocked by the election of Donald Trump as president. To me, this is a fundamental flaw with those in charge of our security. Your job in security is essentially to predict the future. The best security should be surprised by nothing. I can't see how BS was surprised by Trump being elected. he had literally millions of datapoints to sample. The election is not some hidden process that…

> Your job in security is essentially to predict the future.

Sure, within your own problem domain. You're making an unrealistic demand of BS here; he might as well play the stock market if he had the kind of predictive superpower you expect of him.

AFAIK his domain is cryptographic security, and more broadly how technology creates/undermines security. The politics he normally deals with are limited to the kind directly related to that.

Re: My Priorities for the Next Four Years

#73
post #69

> Like many, I was surprised and shocked by the election of Donald Trump as president. To me, this is a fundamental flaw with those in charge of our security. Your job in security is essentially to predict the future. The best security should be surprised by nothing. I can't see how BS was surprised by Trump being elected. he had literally millions of datapoints to sample. The election is not some hidden process that…

This comment makes zero sense.

There is a logic to it in a way, but I think it goes too far.

The security industry should strive to not have to broadly re-evaluate practices based on surprises. Shock and surprise are fine, but they shouldn't cause a scramble of reactionary work, since that work should have been done in anticipation of the potential threat.

Re: My Priorities for the Next Four Years

#74
post #69

> Like many, I was surprised and shocked by the election of Donald Trump as president. To me, this is a fundamental flaw with those in charge of our security. Your job in security is essentially to predict the future. The best security should be surprised by nothing. I can't see how BS was surprised by Trump being elected. he had literally millions of datapoints to sample. The election is not some hidden process that…

This comment makes zero sense.

I will restate my point another way and hopefully it will make sense.

The fact that BS was surprised that Trump got elected means in some sense he is not tuned to the issues right in front of him. Scott Adams would say he is living in another reality than half of america (half of america voted for trump). Security is all about prediction. You are most secure when you can predict everyone's movements.

Regarding the US vote of trump, there were lots of signs that showed Trump had a real chance of winning. It wasnt like the polls showed trump down by many points and then all of a sudden several million american's changed their mind and decided to vote for him. If you read about poll science, you will see Trump had the large gain in polls ever seen since they started polling.

Re: My Priorities for the Next Four Years

#75

Earlier quoted context omitted.

People that have been married for decades tend to be pretty similar.

Can you offer evidence, then, that Hillary Clinton by way of Bill Clinton would have had a very similar set of policies to Donald Trump based on the apparent personal connection between Bill and Donald and the marital relationship between Hillary and Bill? Or is this all just nonsense?

[deleted]

Re: My Priorities for the Next Four Years

#76
post #67
post #8

Interesting read, but I can't imagine how anyone could convince Google and Facebook to change their business models at this stage unless the market truly revolted and started moving away from their products due to privacy issues. I think change is much more likely to happen through disruption (which perhaps is the other side of his ideas, coming up with business models that are more privacy-friendly). I think securit…

IMO there are only two companies in the world right now that could possibly compete against Google and Facebook on that kind of scale but with a different, more privacy-respecting business model. Unfortunately, the one in Cupertino only takes a lukewarm stance on privacy despite being in an excellent position to make it a distinguishing feature of their platform; and the one in Redmond with its always-calling-home op…

Microsoft unfortunately learned some of the right lessons of how Google beat them... And some of the wrong ones too.

But as their privacy fiascos aren't central to their business (unlike where ads is 99% of Google's), my hope is they can still do an about face on privacy.

Re: My Priorities for the Next Four Years

#77
post #69

> Like many, I was surprised and shocked by the election of Donald Trump as president. To me, this is a fundamental flaw with those in charge of our security. Your job in security is essentially to predict the future. The best security should be surprised by nothing. I can't see how BS was surprised by Trump being elected. he had literally millions of datapoints to sample. The election is not some hidden process that…

This comment makes zero sense.

He no longer likes Bruce Schneider because Bruce doesn't like Donald Trump.

Re: My Priorities for the Next Four Years

#78
post #30

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I wouldn't read too much into this. People on Hacker News have this pavlovian need to contradict any article they're commenting on. If Schneier was saying the task was too big, you'd have people saying he's giving up too easily.

> People on Hacker News have this pavlovian need to contradict any article they're commenting on. No they don't.

Haha - I get it!

Re: My Priorities for the Next Four Years

#79

I think he should plan for 8 years :) Trump might get another term. Trump probably will win the next election because he knows how to attract populace. At least this has worked beautifully in other places. To be fair a lot of thing he talk about are sensible. But he doesn't have a clue on how to fix them so he won't bring any meaningful change. He did the talking and won. He will talk again and win again.

> Trump probably will win the next election because he knows how to attract populace. Trump only won because fewer Liberals voted. I don't think that will happen 4 years from now.

Realistically the incumbent has a huge advantage in an election. I won't rule out that Trump does something bad enough to invalidate it, or even get impeached early, but if he makes it four years there's a good chance he'll be doing eight.

Re: My Priorities for the Next Four Years

#80
post #67
post #8

Interesting read, but I can't imagine how anyone could convince Google and Facebook to change their business models at this stage unless the market truly revolted and started moving away from their products due to privacy issues. I think change is much more likely to happen through disruption (which perhaps is the other side of his ideas, coming up with business models that are more privacy-friendly). I think securit…

IMO there are only two companies in the world right now that could possibly compete against Google and Facebook on that kind of scale but with a different, more privacy-respecting business model. Unfortunately, the one in Cupertino only takes a lukewarm stance on privacy despite being in an excellent position to make it a distinguishing feature of their platform; and the one in Redmond with its always-calling-home op…

> "the one in Cupertino only takes a lukewarm stance on privacy"

Genuinely curious - but how so?

My observation of Apple so far is that they've taken a remarkably strong privacy stance. Not maintaining logs of iMessage, keeping nearly all personal data on-device, ensuring analytics do not leak personal data, going above and beyond to ensure their customers' devices are strongly encrypted (and exceptionally difficult to break, even for government entities)...

And they've made a point of publicizing this during their keynotes, too, so much of this isn't necessarily even under-the-hood details that only us nerds know about.

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