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Claude Sonnet 4.6
661–670 of 1001 posts
Re: Claude Sonnet 4.6
#662Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Yeah, this is quite thought provoking. If computer code written by LLMs is a commodity, what new businesses does that enable? What can we do cheaply we couldn't do before? The model owner can just withhold access and build all the businesses themselves. Financial capital used to need labor capital. It doesn't anymore. We're entering into scary territory. I would feel much better if this were all open source, but of…
I think this risk is much lower in a world where there are lots of different model owners competing with each other, which is how it appears to be playing out.
New fields are always competitive. Eventually, if left to its own devices, a capitalist market will inevitably consolidate into cartels and monopolies. Governments better pay attention and possibly act before it's too late.
Re: Claude Sonnet 4.6
#663The progress on computer use / OS world is nuts.
14.9% a year and a half ago and now 72.5%
Re: Claude Sonnet 4.6
#664Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Its also worth noting that if you can create a business with an LLM, so can everyone else. And sadly everyone has the same ideas Yeah, this is quite thought provoking. If computer code written by LLMs is a commodity, what new businesses does that enable? What can we do cheaply we couldn't do before? One obvious answer is we can make a lot more custom stuff . Like, why buy Windows and Office when I can just ask clau…
We said the same thing when 3D printing came out. Any sort of cool tech, we think everybody’s going to do it. Most people are not capable of doing it. in college everybody was going to be an engineer and then they drop out after the first intro to physics or calculus class. A bunch of my non tech friends were vibe coding some tools with replit and lovable and I looked at their stuff and yeah it was neat but it wasn't…
Its not our current location, but our trajectory that is scary.
The walls and plateaus that have been consistently pulled out from "comments of reassurance" have not materialized. If this pace holds for another year and a half, things are going to be very different. And the pipeline is absolutely overflowing with specialized compute coming online by the gigawatt for the foreseeable future.
So far the most accurate predictions in the AI space have been from the most optimistic forecasters.
Re: Claude Sonnet 4.6
#665Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Its also worth noting that if you can create a business with an LLM, so can everyone else. And sadly everyone has the same ideas Yeah, this is quite thought provoking. If computer code written by LLMs is a commodity, what new businesses does that enable? What can we do cheaply we couldn't do before? One obvious answer is we can make a lot more custom stuff . Like, why buy Windows and Office when I can just ask clau…
We said the same thing when 3D printing came out. Any sort of cool tech, we think everybody’s going to do it. Most people are not capable of doing it. in college everybody was going to be an engineer and then they drop out after the first intro to physics or calculus class. A bunch of my non tech friends were vibe coding some tools with replit and lovable and I looked at their stuff and yeah it was neat but it wasn't…
You can basically hand it a design, one that might take a FE engineer anywhere from a day to a week to complete and Codex/Claude will basically have it coded up in 30 seconds. It might need some tweaks, but it's 80% complete with that first try. Like I remember stumbling over graphing and charting libraries, it could take weeks to become familiar with all the different components and APIs, but seemingly you can now just tell Codex to use this data and use this charting library and it'll make it. All you have to do is look at the code. Things have certainly changed.
Re: Claude Sonnet 4.6
#666Still fails the car wash question, I took the prompt from the title of this thread: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47031580 The answer was "Walk! It would be a bit counterproductive to drive a dirty car 50 meters just to get it washed — you'd barely move before arriving. Walking takes less than a minute, and you can simply drive it through the wash and walk back home afterward." I've tried several other variant…
If the clankers were actually clever they'd tell you to ghost ride the whip.
The clankers are not clever.
Re: Claude Sonnet 4.6
#667Earlier quoted context omitted.
In my experience with the models (watching Claude play Pokemon), the models are similar in intelligence, but are very different in how they approach problems: Opus 4.5 hyperfocuses on completing its original plan, far more than any older or newer version of Claude. Opus 4.6 gets bored quickly and is constantly changing its approach if it doesn't get results fast. This makes it waste more time on"easy" tasks where the…
I haven't kept up with the Claude plays stuff, did it ever actually beat the game? I was under the impression that the harness was artificially hampering it considering how comparatively more easily various versions of ChatGPT and Gemini had beat the game and even moved on to beating Pokemon Crystal.
The Claude Plays Pokemon stream with a minimal harness is a far more significant test of model intelligence compared to the Gemini Plays Pokemon stream (which automatically maintains a map of everything that has been seen on the current map) and the GPT Plays Pokemon stream (which does that AND has an extremely detailed prompt which more or less railroads the AI into not making this mistakes it wants to make). The latter two harnesses have become too easy for the latest generations of model, enough so that they're not really testing anything anymore.
Claude Plays Pokemon is currently stuck in Victory Road, doing the Sokoban puzzles which are both the last puzzles in the game and by far the most difficult for AIs to do. Opus 4.5 made it there but was completely hopeless, 4.6 made it there and is is showing some signs of maaaaaybe being eventually bruteforce through the puzzles, but personally I think it will get stuck or undo its progress, and that Claude 4.7 or 5 will be the one to actually beat the game.
Re: Claude Sonnet 4.6
#668I ran the same test I ran on Opus 4.6: feeding it my whole personal collection of ~900 poems which spans ~16 years It is a far cry from Opus 4.6. Opus 4.6 was (is!) a giant leap, the largest since Gemini 2.5 pro. Didn't hallucinate anything and produced honestly mind-blowing analyses of the collection as a whole. It was a clear leap forward. Sonnet 4.6 feels like an evolution of whatever the previous models were doin…
Given than Sonnet is the cheaper “workhorse” alternative for Opus, isn’t this expected?
Re: Claude Sonnet 4.6
#669Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Its also worth noting that if you can create a business with an LLM, so can everyone else. And sadly everyone has the same ideas Yeah, this is quite thought provoking. If computer code written by LLMs is a commodity, what new businesses does that enable? What can we do cheaply we couldn't do before? One obvious answer is we can make a lot more custom stuff . Like, why buy Windows and Office when I can just ask clau…
We said the same thing when 3D printing came out. Any sort of cool tech, we think everybody’s going to do it. Most people are not capable of doing it. in college everybody was going to be an engineer and then they drop out after the first intro to physics or calculus class. A bunch of my non tech friends were vibe coding some tools with replit and lovable and I looked at their stuff and yeah it was neat but it wasn't…
> To actually execute on these things takes a different kind of thinking
Agreed. Honestly, and I hate to use the tired phrase, but some people are literally just built different. Those who'd be entrepreneurs would have been so in any time period with any technology.
Re: Claude Sonnet 4.6
#670Earlier quoted context omitted.
Last I checked, the tractor and plow are doing a lot more work than 3 farmers, yet we've got more jobs and grow more food. People will find work to do, whether that means there's tens of thousands of independent contractors, whether that means people migrate into new fields, or whether that means there's tens of multi-trillion dollar companies that would've had 200k engineers each that now only have 50k each and it's…
More jobs where? In farming? Is that why farming in the US is dying, being destroyed by corporations and farmers are now prisoners to John Deer? It’s hilarious that you chose possibly the worst counter example here…
More output, not more farmers. The stratification of labor in civilization is built on this concept, because if not for more food, we'd have more "farmer jobs" of course, because everyone would be subsistence farming...