Earlier quoted context omitted.
'Not ever' is a broad statement. Would you rule out off-planet mining and manufacturing? Or the scaling of artificial meat production?
Why would off-planet mining and manufacturing make things easier?
Jeff Bezos says AI is in a bubble but society will get 'gigantic' benefits
661–668 of 668 posts
Re: Jeff Bezos says AI is in a bubble but society will get 'gigantic' benefits
#662Earlier quoted context omitted.
In the next couple of decades? Starship is real, space mining companies are real, NVIDIA Cosmos is real, robotics development is nascent, but real and thrilling. Ordinary market forces will ensure the uptake of robotics. You're calculating the expense of returning mined resources using past metrics that are superseded altogether in this scenario. For instance miniaturization suddenly won't be necessary for mining com…
>metrics that are superseded altogether in this scenario. For instance miniaturization suddenly won't be necessary for mining companies wishing to send gear to asteroids Nothing in the near future is superceding the tyranny of the rocket equation. It'll still be extremely expensive to send equipment to and retrieve material from space even if the spacecraft and mining equipment were literally free.
[1] https://orbitalindex.com/archive/2023-03-15-Issue-210/
[2] https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=50157.0
Re: Jeff Bezos says AI is in a bubble but society will get 'gigantic' benefits
#663Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's worth noting that due to advances in technology, it is possible to deliver the same show for less money and time. The average "how to cook on a food network" show was, ultimately, one person in the kitchen of a large home cooking for the camera, produced once a week. There are plenty of people delivering that style of cooking show with high production quality today. Obviously it's not the same because some thing…
A wide range of things have gotten dramatically cheaper, but that only goes so far. Many YouTube channels make great use of Zoom calls for example. It’s still generally a compromise vs an actual face to face conversation. Safety is another real concern. People have died doing stuff solo that wouldn’t have been particularly dangerous with minimal supervision.
> Many YouTube channels make great use of Zoom calls for example. It’s still generally a compromise vs an actual face to face conversation.
A lot of today's news footage with experts etc. these days is also not shot from studios but from online calls. Actually flying somebody out onto location is pretty uncommon; and I would say with the rise of filmed podcasting, that podcasters are more likely to have people on set than television news is.
Re: Jeff Bezos says AI is in a bubble but society will get 'gigantic' benefits
#664Earlier quoted context omitted.
A wide range of things have gotten dramatically cheaper, but that only goes so far. Many YouTube channels make great use of Zoom calls for example. It’s still generally a compromise vs an actual face to face conversation. Safety is another real concern. People have died doing stuff solo that wouldn’t have been particularly dangerous with minimal supervision.
I mean as far as this goes > Many YouTube channels make great use of Zoom calls for example. It’s still generally a compromise vs an actual face to face conversation. A lot of today's news footage with experts etc. these days is also not shot from studios but from online calls. Actually flying somebody out onto location is pretty uncommon; and I would say with the rise of filmed podcasting, that podcasters are more l…
Re: Jeff Bezos says AI is in a bubble but society will get 'gigantic' benefits
#665It's very hard to find anything other than half saying AI is in a bubble, and we will pop any day now, and the other half declaring AGI by 2029, when a new revolution will begin. If you follow the hard science and not the money, you can see we're somewhere in-between these two takes. AI datacenters requiring new power plants is unsustainable for long-term growth. Meanwhile, we have LLMs accepting bullshit tasks and c…
> Meanwhile, we have LLMs accepting bullshit tasks and completing them. Would you mind elaborating on that? I’m not quite sure what you mean.
Re: Jeff Bezos says AI is in a bubble but society will get 'gigantic' benefits
#666Earlier quoted context omitted.
Pretty sure discord and slack are not useless…
Discord and slack are evolutions of msn messenger and icq. Not web chat rooms.
Re: Jeff Bezos says AI is in a bubble but society will get 'gigantic' benefits
#667Earlier quoted context omitted.
I mean as far as this goes > Many YouTube channels make great use of Zoom calls for example. It’s still generally a compromise vs an actual face to face conversation. A lot of today's news footage with experts etc. these days is also not shot from studios but from online calls. Actually flying somebody out onto location is pretty uncommon; and I would say with the rise of filmed podcasting, that podcasters are more l…
Daily TV News is limited by travel times. If some story breaks finding the right person and getting them on an airplane and then into a studio can be impractical.
Re: Jeff Bezos says AI is in a bubble but society will get 'gigantic' benefits
#668Earlier quoted context omitted.
Discord and slack are evolutions of msn messenger and icq. Not web chat rooms.
Discord is literally a web chat room. It operates over the web. Its interface is a re-branded web browser. You chat in it. There are rooms (although I suppose people call them "channels," implying a conceptual link to IRC).
Discord is not.