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Adoption of EVs tied to real-world reductions in air pollution: study

keck.usc.edu

631–640 of 661 posts

Re: Adoption of EVs tied to real-world reductions in air pollution: study

#631

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That ... still sounds more dangerous than liquid gasoline to me. Though I suppose if it were cheaper and as plentiful then the world would switch. Gasoline was after all a byproduct of kerosine processing.

You think something that goes "puff" and emits a wee puff of flame every so often is more dangerous than something that just sprays liquid dynamite all over the incident?

I know someone who took a drill to a small propane tank and ended up life flighted to the hospital. Perhaps the equivalent with a gas can would be worse? I just don't see it.

Re: Adoption of EVs tied to real-world reductions in air pollution: study

#632

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I looked into PHEVs on my last vehicle shopping go-round, since few pure EVs met my cargo size requirements (stroller/baby life is a whole thing). Ultimately, it was way more worth it to go all the way up to an F150 Lightning than to go with a good PHEV, partly due to up-front cost, but mostly due to ongoing cost: I will need to change the oil on the electric motors maybe every 150,000miles, and I never need an emiss…

The cost to maintain and inspect a PHEV engine in most vehicles is so minuscule as to be a rounding error. Engine oils last a long time these days.

When you've got kids, there's no such thing as "rounding errors" in terms of time costs.

It's an entire chore I never have to do. That time savings is significant when I'm already underwater all the time.

Re: Adoption of EVs tied to real-world reductions in air pollution: study

#633

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"Coal in the EV?" Based on that I no longer believe you are an expert of any chemistry or energy. Or you are really bad at making jokes maybe? Regardless, electricity for your EV comes from somewhere, right? It's powered by a coal power plant in much of the US, with electrical energy transduced (effective loss at every transduction point) through countless parts and miles of electrical equipment before it reaches you…

Oh no, am i bad at making jokes?, Or is your argument a joke? > It's powered by a coal power plant in much of the US, with electrical energy transduced You are wrong. Please provide sources and peer reviewed study that says that. Even wikipedia says you are wrong!, look up share of coal power plants in electrical supply! Where did you get that fact from? So what debate can I have with you if you can't even start from…

>Oh no, am i bad at making jokes?, Or is your argument a joke?

No my argument was serious. You've sliced your data gratuitously. You're also making rude jokes, and I think there are HN rules about that somewhere. But, I'll forgive you.

Right where you found your data (you shouldn't use Wikipedia for science), is a map of coal plants in the US. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_coal-fired_power_stati...

You looked up the share of energy for the US as if every vehicle owner spends equal time driving in every city. That's dishonest. A vehicle owner typically drives in one city nearly all the time. If that city is coal powered as we can see, many are, that owner should not operate an EV. But policy relying on blanket data like yours would incentivize their doing so. That's bad for everyone, except the policymaker and his buddies selling EV related products.

The primary point, however, is that EVs move the pollutants up the supply chain. The car itself is non-emission, but the power plant and battery cycle are not! And the alternative power sources aren't really clean either. Nuclear, for example, requires mining, enrichment, etc. (all carbon heavy) and then we still need to deal with disposal which doesn't even exist! We're sweeping that under the rug when we call that clean energy. We don't have a solution for waste so we just exclude it from our impact calculations? Ridiculous.

Now add a toxic battery on top of all of that, and all of the mining and waste disposal associated with it. You've moved your pollutants to China, added shipping lanes, and dumped more oil and now lithium into the ocean. This may be worse overall and it's for sure worse for owners of cars in coal powered locations.

But you do get to say that the EV in a vacuum is zero emissions (at the location of inertial output only). Nice work!

Your argument zoomed out to blanket statement the US where it suits you, and then zoomed in to the car itself to exclude where your pollutants are. It's truly very dishonest. That argument is damaging to the public interest and to the environment, and insults the sciences.

Re: Adoption of EVs tied to real-world reductions in air pollution: study

#634
post #612

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes? Bikes are an incredibly segregating means of transport. They are inherently limited in range, and they are largely incompatible with any other transit mode. So you create an environment where all the housing within bike range from good jobs is unaffordable for most people. And the most democratic mode of transport? Cars. They provide far greater accessibility.

> Bikes are an incredibly segregating means of transport. A bike costs on the order of a few hundred dollars; there's essentially no barrier to entry. Comparing them with cars on this metric is laughable. Must be 18 or so and able bodied, obtain an expensive license, purchase the actual very expensive vehicle, pay for constant upkeep in insurance, fuel, repairs, and risk serious accidents. All of this is an insane ba…

> Comparing them with cars on this metric is laughable. Must be 18 or so and able bodied, obtain an expensive license, purchase the actual very expensive vehicle, pay for constant upkeep in insurance, fuel, repairs, and risk serious accidents. All of this is an insane barrier to entry.

Just wait until you hear how much transit costs!

> And where exactly is this place you describe where everyone commutes exclusively by bike? Ooops, right, it doesn't exist, never has, probably never will. So you're just making stuff up.

Who said anything about exclusivity? Please point out with a hyperlink.

> I adore your conversational technique of adding positively charged words like "democratic" and "accessibility" without any justification or explanation, just to make it seem like you have an argument.

I provided a link in this thread. Go on, dispute it.

Re: Adoption of EVs tied to real-world reductions in air pollution: study

#635

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> This is economics 101. OK. And did you go to Economics 201? Because there, you might have learned that the basic economic principles you describe as "economics 101" are the equivalent of the "spherical cow in a frictionless vacuum"-type examples you get in introductory physics classes. In the real world, demand is affected by all kinds of things, and sometimes, a product or service is just no longer desired by the…

Your entire point hinges on EVs idrying up the oil market that there is no more demand. But ICEs don't run on oil, they run on gas or diesel. Oil is used in far more industries (aviation, ships). Plus, you cannot account for business models that become viable, that haven't been viable before. People come up with new ideas all the time.

...No? It doesn't?

My point is not that if there are no more ICE cars, there will be no market for oil. It's that the portion of the market for oil that has, heretofore, serviced ICE cars is starting to disappear, and it won't be coming back, nor will it be repurposed to service anything else, to any significant degree.

The broader point is that, because of the environmental consequences, people all over the world are diligently working on ways to eliminate the other markets for oil. And they will also not be coming back.

Oil is on its way out, period. Not this year, not this decade, possibly not this century...but it's going. And the world will be much, much better off for it.

(It's just possible that there will be some tiny fraction of the current uses for oil that we can't find any meaningful replacement for, but it's not going to be much.)

Re: Adoption of EVs tied to real-world reductions in air pollution: study

#636

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Oh no, am i bad at making jokes?, Or is your argument a joke? > It's powered by a coal power plant in much of the US, with electrical energy transduced You are wrong. Please provide sources and peer reviewed study that says that. Even wikipedia says you are wrong!, look up share of coal power plants in electrical supply! Where did you get that fact from? So what debate can I have with you if you can't even start from…

> Oh no, am i bad at making jokes?, Or is your argument a joke? No my argument was serious. You've sliced your data gratuitously. You're also making rude jokes, and I think there are HN rules about that somewhere. But, I'll forgive you. Right where you found your data (you shouldn't use Wikipedia for science), is a map of coal plants in the US. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_coal-fired_power_stati... You looke…

You select your 'facts' to fit your narrative.

If the obvious fact - coal is 20% of energy production in the US and falling - you worm yorself around it.

If you want to look at the US as a country, you use number of the country.

As such, coal is 20% of power used by EV.

A massive improvement.

Point dismissed, try something else.

> The primary point, however, is that EVs move the pollutants up the supply chain.

Massively less then ICE, have you researched the oil production chain or does it magically appear at the pump for you at no cost?

Have you researched the actual pollution numbers of your car?

> Now add a toxic battery on top of all of that, and all of the mining and waste disposal associated with it.

Source?

> You've moved your pollutants to China, added shipping lanes, and dumped more oil and now lithium into the ocean.

What added shipping lanes?, one more EV, one less ICE. Transport is the same.

> But you do get to say that the EV in a vacuum is zero emissions (at the location of inertial output only). Nice work!

I say it is massively better then ICE! I also say that I like not breathing cancerous ICE car exhaust.

> Your argument zoomed out to blanket statement the US where it suits you

I zoomed it to country level where you left it and where we can talk.

You, being defeated, had to imagine a very unrealistic scenario where you think you're right.

> It's truly very dishonest.

What you are doing is, yes.

> That argument is damaging to the public interest and to the environment, and insults the sciences.

Did you look in the mirror and say that?

Alas, my comment is for others amusent that might stumble onto this thread.

You are arguing in bad faith so good luck, you're wrong!

Re: Adoption of EVs tied to real-world reductions in air pollution: study

#637
post #32

Earlier quoted context omitted.

tragically, because of efficiency standards, modern engines are known to burn oil . Otherwise you may be smelling cars who have had the cats stolen.

A lot of old cars also since new cars are so expensive.

2005-ish cars were more reliable and had better emissions profiles compared to cars today. Yes cars today are more advanced ,but less reliable, so their emissions overall are worse.

Re: Adoption of EVs tied to real-world reductions in air pollution: study

#638
post #618

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Indeed it adds up, over ten thousand kilometers, to a lot less wear than the equivalent coast-then-hit-the-brakes in an ICE. If I follow your reasoning correctly.

Less wear on your brake pads. More on the tires.

So, you say that smoother braking (engine braking) causes more wear on tires than harsher braking (applying brakes)?

How so?

Re: Adoption of EVs tied to real-world reductions in air pollution: study

#639
post #638

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Less wear on your brake pads. More on the tires.

So, you say that smoother braking (engine braking) causes more wear on tires than harsher braking (applying brakes)? How so?

What? No. We definitely didn't follow one another. I'm confused where we misunderstood one another now.

For the purposes of tire wear, applying regen braking in a car is the same as applying brake pads. Generating 5kW of electricity of 10 seconds vs generating 5kW of heat for 10 seconds, same same.

Let's say you're on the highway driving in an EV. You have cruise control on. You go down a hill. The EV's cruise control applies regen braking down the hill, using the tires to slow you to your desired speed.

Let's say you do the same in an ICE vehicle. You will coast down the hill, gathering speed. Cruise control in an ICE vehicle generally will not brake for you. So more of your energy from the hill gets removed as air resistance. When you slow due to air resistance it does not wear the tires.

The same logic applies each time you push the gas pedal slightly harder than you needed to and then back off.

Re: Adoption of EVs tied to real-world reductions in air pollution: study

#640

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You think something that goes "puff" and emits a wee puff of flame every so often is more dangerous than something that just sprays liquid dynamite all over the incident?

I know someone who took a drill to a small propane tank and ended up life flighted to the hospital. Perhaps the equivalent with a gas can would be worse? I just don't see it.

Okay, so barring deliberate stupidity, then.

You cannot burst an automotive propane tank, no matter how you might try. You could probably drill a hole in it with a decent drill bit (it's thick steel) or cut it open with an angle grinder, or even gas axe your way in.

But, as I say, deliberate stupidity aside, it's not just going to burst on you.

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