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My AI skeptic friends are all nuts

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Re: My AI skeptic friends are all nuts

#631
post #558

I’m an AI skeptic. I’m probably wrong. This article makes me feel kinda wrong. But I desperately want to be right. Why? Because if I’m not right then I am convinced that AI is going to be a force for evil. It will power scams on an unimaginable scale. It will destabilize labor at a speed that will make the Industrial Revolution seem like a gentle breeze. It will concentrate immense power and wealth in the hands of pe…

If you’re skeptical it should be because you genuinely believe it doesn’t have value. Otherwise it’s disingenuous and you’re just opposed to the idea. Dissembling just makes your argument weaker.

Re: My AI skeptic friends are all nuts

#632

> "LLMs can’t write Rust" This really doesn't accord with my own experience. Using claude-code (esp. with opus 4) and codex (with o3) I've written lots of good Rust code. I've actually found Rust helps the AI-pair-programming experience because the agent gets such good, detailed feedback from the compiler that it can iterate very quickly and effectively. Can it set up great architecture for a large, complex project f…

I agree, the latest models are not bad at Rust. Most issues I have when writing LLM-assisted Rust code are related to dependencies.

There are a lot of v0.x.x crates in Rust with frequent updates and breaking changes. As LLMs "learn" from code in the wild, they are exposed to different way to use the same crate and thus fail to produce working code "from memory".

But as soon as you explain how to use it with the latest syntax, they are able to fix the code.

Re: My AI skeptic friends are all nuts

#634
post #627

I'm mostly skeptical about AI capabilities but I also think it will never be a profitable business. Let's not forget AI companies need to recoup a trillion dollars (so far) just to break even [1]. VCs are already doubting if the billions invested into data centers are going to generate a profit [1 and 2]. AI companies will need to generate profits at some point. Would people still be optimistic about Claude etc if th…

Hence the flurry of articles, controversial interviews and aggressive marketing and the pitch to replace all white color jobs.

Re: My AI skeptic friends are all nuts

#635
>Important caveat: I’m discussing only the implications of LLMs for software development. For art, music, and writing? I got nothing. I’m inclined to believe the skeptics in those fields.

What a strange disclaimer. Image generation was a (career)killer feature long before vibe coding was halfway useful.

Re: My AI skeptic friends are all nuts

#636
He forgot "but the 15 year old behemoth codebase that doesn't fit in any context window and isn't well documented and changing of which requires changing tons of ancillary files not easily connected to each other logically".

That's what a lot of the highest paid programmers work on. I work in such a firm and the agent they have for us is incapable. And it's the latest and greatest from whoever coders love to rave about online.

I love that AI written tests and other generally greenfield things work well and can be vetted quicker than writing and getting the code oneself. But for most more complex tasks it's not there. I'm ready when it is though

Re: My AI skeptic friends are all nuts

#637

I tried to take this article seriously, but it seems more like HN ragebait than an actual attempt at discussion. The engagement bait appears to be working, given all of the comments. It’s like half of the arguments are designed as engagement bait with logical consistency being a distant concern: > If hallucination matters to you, your programming language has let you down. This doesn’t even make sense. LLMs hallucina…

agree - it is written like clickbait or worse like a sponsored piece.

> But “hallucination” is the first thing developers bring up when someone suggests using LLMs, despite it being (more or less) a solved problem.

really ? what is the author smoking to consider it a solved problem ? This statement alone invalidates the entire article in its casual irreverence for the truth.

I use copilot everyday, and I know where it shines. Please dont try to sell it to me with false advertising.

Re: My AI skeptic friends are all nuts

#638
This blog post makes me actively want to use something besides fly. Putting aside the massive condescension in the article…

… most of the code you write is tedious boilerplate? What do you do all day? I can honestly say the most tedious code I write is migrations, because I have to edit three files. I do this like once a week. It would take way longer to explain to an ai what to do than just do it myself.

… you run the ai on your procrastination and as a result do heads down work? Seriously? 1, programming with AI is like playing a slot machine. It keeps you hooked just on the verge of winning the jackpot for far longer than the tedious task would have distracted you. And let’s say a good agentic case - it runs for 30 minutes before it’s done. That’s not even enough time to “boot up” a serious problem, and your already having to put it aside to go check the work you yourself are saying is mediocre? And you’re advocating to run multiple of these? Even the most ardent vibe covers I know talk about babysitting the agents. How is this unlocking deep work time in any way shape or form?

… craft is relagated to hobbies? I guarantee you, this person loves Linear. It was probably written on a MacBook. This whole “we solve real problems” BS is just a cop out because being great is hard.

… mediocre code is good code? All code is a liability. If you generate 10 times the code, and are admitting it’s the lowest bar of quality possible, it is at a minimum 10x the liability on your shoulders.

… letting LLMs refactor your tests? Serious question, who actually does this? Because I would LOVE to have LLMs write tests for me. I have tried every. single. time. I need to write something that needs a lot of tests to ask LLMs for tests for TWO YEARS, and not once have I ever used a single test it generates. It generates worse tests than it does code, and the last thing I want is 42 asserts in 8 tests across 600 LoC that nobody understands that poorly tests what should have been 2 asserts in 2 tests in 12 lines of code.

Re: My AI skeptic friends are all nuts

#639
This article is ridiculous

Q: but the code that AI generates is incoherent gibberish

Guess what, life’s tough. Fixing incoherent gibberish is part of the job you wuss. Honestly, I bet you write incoherent gibberish. Would you rather be fixing incoherent gibberish that an AI wrote or incoherent gibberish that you wrote?

Q: but I have to re-do everything it touches. Everything takes me ten times as long!

What are you, some kind of vibe-coding YouTuber? Everything taking ten times as long is part of the job, cupcakes. What’s important is that now it takes ten times as long automatically. I like the way Zed does it, where it tells you to leave while it’s changing stuff.

Re: My AI skeptic friends are all nuts

#640
This article doesn’t address literally THE argument I have against LLM usage: that it will degrade major human skills like reading, writing, and yes, coding

But I’m at least grateful for LLMs making me more aware of how important it is for me to focus on my own skills building. I will never use it because I value having those skills sharp

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