Earlier quoted context omitted.
So you want to achieve that the illegal agressor wins…? The Ukrainians certainly does not want the war to end this way.
> illegal agressor Are there any "legal agressors" ?
Yes
U.S. pauses all military aid to Ukraine
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Re: U.S. pauses all military aid to Ukraine
#632Earlier quoted context omitted.
It would come as no surprise if Russian intelligence has some juicy blackmail material.
Against the man that seemingly suffered no setback from "grab her by the pussy" and all the various lawsuits?
Yes. For example if he were caught in the act with other men? That might cause the MAGAs to turn on him.
Re: U.S. pauses all military aid to Ukraine
#633Earlier quoted context omitted.
It would come as no surprise if Russian intelligence has some juicy blackmail material.
Against the man that seemingly suffered no setback from "grab her by the pussy" and all the various lawsuits?
Imagine having fun with animals, men, children, bsdm and so on. That's not even bottom of the pit.
I mean he was a good friend with epstein and there are numerous videos of their friendly encounters (so did clinton, gates and so on just to be clear). Go figure.
But I think he is just a small insecure emotional boy at the core, and thats enough if you know which buttons in which order to push. ruskies somehow figured that out, it seems israelis too during his first term.
Re: U.S. pauses all military aid to Ukraine
#634Earlier quoted context omitted.
You don’t think Norwegians will hesitate to give trump the peace price if he does what he does?
They absolutely will not give it to Trump. If anyone will get it, it will be the people of Ukraine.
Dude 'nobel' peace prize has nothing to do with actual scientific Nobel prices as they were originally intended, its highly political medal for various political stances and activism dobe by very different people.
The list of its recipients with properly shameful past ain't short neither and I don't recall a single one recently which wasn't somehow controversial to put it mildly.
Re: U.S. pauses all military aid to Ukraine
#635Comments are disappointing for hacker news standard. This pause was predictable (I predicted it in Nov 2024). It's negotiation leverage to steer toward an immediate resolution of the war. An immediate resolution of the war cuts losses: Ukraine loses territory, but keeps its sovereignty. The challenge is that there aren't many other viable paths. An indefinite forever war, with high risk of a Ukraine state collapse, i…
> The idea that Russia's economy will collapse is highly unlikely. Yeah, no way it's collapsing when the central bank rate is at 21%.[0] Totally unrelated, but might I interest you in a lucrative land opportunity in Florida? [0] https://apnews.com/article/russia-interest-rates-0fa1d7385be...
Certainly Russia's economy has difficulties. It has inflation roughly 9-10% and (dangerously low) unemployment around 1%. Russia's Central Bank key rate needs to be extremely high to fight its inflation because it is not as primary a lender as the US Fed for example - there's way more private lending. The inflation is caused by raising labor costs (due to unemployment), supply chain disruptions from sanctions, and weakening of the ruble due to printing of money to fund the war.
Thus far Russia's economy has grown substantially due to the war - expansion of its industrial base. This is factoring inflation in. What's happening right now is that Russian economic growth due to military industry is slowing down, and Russia is not likely to continue growing its economy at near the same rate.
Russia is most likely heading into an era of stagflation (high inflation and low growth). This isn't a collapse of the economy. It's not great, but its not a way to end the war.
One option could be to tank oil prices (into the $40/barrel range, currently $70/barrel range) and keep that for years. Due to Russia's reliance on energy income this would disrupt the Russian budget and it would either need to cut social spending or go into debt (e.g. to China) to continue without shelving social programs.
The point is that the Russian economy isn't on the brink of collapse. Due to the national security nature of a hostile military alliance at its doorstep, it's likely to make hard choices if put into such a situation (e.g. go into debt).
Re: U.S. pauses all military aid to Ukraine
#636Earlier quoted context omitted.
I have trouble following the logic here. Putin has not been able to conquer the whole of Ukraine after 3 years, but somehow, suddenly, he will be able to conquer all of the Baltic states without breaking a sweat? So which is it? Is the Russian army fighting with shovels or are they a ferocious horde that is unstoppable? Those two things cannot be true at the same time. I am getting tired of people parroting this narr…
As someone living in the Baltics, most people here are fully aware that when Putin chooses to attack we would have trouble holding the mythical 72 hours for full NATO help to arrive. If NATO help is not coming it is over quite quickly. You have to remember that Ukraine has/had 40 million population, Baltics has about 7 million. We also do not have the miles of mined out defenses that Ukraine has had since 2014. We do…
> We also do not have the miles of mined out defenses that Ukraine has had since 2014.
I'd say you guys should have started building yesterday. Like what the heck to wait for? This isn't some temporary blip but permanent course of direction.
Want to avoid having thousands of sleeper agents with double citizenship causing mayhem before invasion? Revoke it all for dual citizens that won't revoke their russian one, its time to pick side.
Re: U.S. pauses all military aid to Ukraine
#637The USA stands in miserable disgrace.
I'm not sure what to think. Ukraine can't militarily defeat russia or reclaim its lost territory, and as long as it continues to try to do so, there will be war and the world will be less stable. But if a line is not drawn against russia, I think we have every reason to believe putin will continue to conquer more land over time. Russia is the source of instability, but it can't be defeated or reasoned with. What to d…
I guarantee you that Russia could've been reasoned with if it was forced to face Ukraine with the full might of US support for another 4 years. Maybe there would need to be some concessions so Putin can look like he came out with a win to the Russian media, but Putin wouldn't have kept going as he was.
Re: U.S. pauses all military aid to Ukraine
#638while pausing the “aid” may save the US gov money; the money was mostly coming back to the US anyway in the form of weapons purchases. NYT: > The order takes effect immediately and affects more than $1 billion in arms and ammunition in the pipeline and on order. Mr. Trump’s directive also halts hundreds of millions of dollars in aid that Kyiv can use only to buy new military hardware directly from U.S. defense compan…
And everyone in Europe will want our governments and armies to stop buying stuff made in the US, especially weapons and ammo. Why support your country with our money if you don't want to support us at all? Your defence companies will face huge losses because of this.
Those F35s are a security risk at this point. Better migrate to Typhoons, Rafales and Gripens etc and have some unified research re radars and missiles to split costs.
Re: U.S. pauses all military aid to Ukraine
#639"Free world" my ass. As a European, the US has always been my favorite country and I've been basically universally pro-US all my life. The Recent US decisions managed to turn it 180 degrees for me, in a matter of basically a couple of months. As I consider myself to be a more or less statistical normie, I assume theres many, many more people like me. So: fuck US & eat shit, go suck Putins dick while the EU & the rest…
Could be the development of this attitude is part of the point.