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Sora: Creating video from text

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Re: Sora: Creating video from text

#631

Does anyone know how to handle the depression/doom one feels with these updates? Yes, it's a great technical achievement, but I just worry for the future. We don't have good social safety nets, and we aren't close to UBI. It's difficult for me to see that happen unless something drastic changes. I'm also afraid of one company just having so much power. How does anyone compete?

Best way to deal with the sense of doom imo is to actually use it. You'll find how dumb it really is by itself, and how much of your own judgment/help/editing is still necessary to get anything usable. It might look like magic from these manicured press releases, but once you get your hands on it, it quickly becomes just another tool in your toolbox that, at best, helps you do the work you were doing anyway, more quickly.

Re: Sora: Creating video from text

#633
Obviously concern yourself with your job and what you need to do to ensure you can obtain buying power going forward, but most problems and concerns about things like these go away if you just turn off your tech, or really be intentional about your usage.

Extremely hard to do, it is, but you’ll become quasi-Amish and realize how little is actually actionable and in our control.

You’ll also feel quite isolated, but peaceful. There’s always tradeoffs. You can’t have something without giving up not-something, if that makes sense.

Edit: So, essentially, ignorance is bliss, but try to look past the pejorative nature of that phrase and take it for what it is without status implications.

Re: Sora: Creating video from text

#634

Does anyone else feel a sense of doom from these advancements? I'm definitely not a Luddite, I've been working professionally as a programmer for quite some time now, but I just can't shake this feeling. And this is not in the "I might lose my job to this" kind of feeling, that's obviously there, but it's something deeper, more sinister. I don't think I can explain it properly. Anyway, videos look incredible. I genui…

yes this is both exciting and scary.

Re: Sora: Creating video from text

#635
Another step in the trend of everything becoming digital (in film and otherwise). It used to be that everything was done in camera. Then we got green screens, then advanced compositing, then CGI, then full realistic CGI movies modeled after real things and mocap suits. Now we're at the end game, where there will be no cameras used in the production of a movie, just studios of people sitting at their computers. Because more and more, humans are more efficient at just about anything when aided by a computer.

Re: Sora: Creating video from text

#636
I question how much anyone has really used these models if they actually think these systems can replace people. I’ve consistently failed to get professional results out of these things and the degree of work required to get professional results makes me think a new class of job will be created to get professional results out of these systems.

That being said, there is value in these systems for casual use. For example, me and my girlfriend got into the habit of sending little cartoons to each other. These are cartoons we would have never created otherwise. I think that’s pretty awesome.

Re: Sora: Creating video from text

#637

The Hollywood Reporter says many in the industry are very scared.[1] “I’ve heard a lot of people say they’re leaving film,” he says. “I’ve been thinking of where I can pivot to if I can’t make a living out of this anymore.” - a concept artist responsible for the look of the Hunger Games and some other films. "A study surveying 300 leaders across Hollywood, issued in January, reported that three-fourths of respondents…

Honest question: of what possible use could Sora be for Hollywood?

The results are amazing, but if the current crop of text-to-image tools is any guide, it will be easy to create things that look cool but essentially impossible to create something that meets detailed specific criteria. If you want your actor to look and behave consistently across multiple episodes of a series, if you want it to precisely follow a detailed script, if you want continuity, if you want characters and objects to exhibit consistent behavior over the long term – I don't see how Sora can do anything for you, and I wouldn't expect that to change for at least a few years.

(I am entirely open to the idea that other generative AI tools could have an impact on Hollywood. The linked Hollywood Reporter article states that "Visual effects and other postproduction work stands particularly vulnerable". I don't know much about that, I can easily believe it would be true, but I don't think they're talking about text-to-video tools like Sora.)

Re: Sora: Creating video from text

#638

In less than a few hours Gemini 1.5 is old news. Sam is doing live demos on Twitter while Google just released a blog. Didn't think Google would be the first of the Facebook, Apple, Google and Microsoft to get disrupted.

I disagree, Gemini 1.5 is still impressive (if true) with the 10 million context size!

The context size is 1 million... They said "they tested up to 10".

Re: Sora: Creating video from text

#639

I think the implications go much further than just the image/video considerations. This model shows a very good (albeit not perfect) understanding of the physics of objects and relationships between them. The announcement mentions this several times. The OpenAI blog post lists "Archeologists discover a generic plastic chair in the desert, excavating and dusting it with great care." as one of the "failed" cases. But t…

It doesn't understand physics.

It just computes next frame based on current one and what it learned before, it's a plausible continuation.

In the same way, ChatGPT struggles with math without code interpreter, Sora won't have accurate physics without a physics engine and rendering 3d objects.

Now it's just a "what is the next frame of this 2D image" model plus some textual context.

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