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Bitcoin is a Ponzi

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631–640 of 684 posts

Re: Bitcoin is a Ponzi

#631
post #511
post #483

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> No. They instead take your money, buy coal, and burn it. Nothing is left. Interesting, I never thought of it that way, and it makes sense. Since money is not created or destroyed the balance sheet on inflows and outflows of BTC to dollars must be zero at all times. And some x% (which is variable) of it is transferred to miners which is the so-called "transaction" cost. I guess there must be a point at which the bub…

Yeah pretty much. Except the miners don’t take the money, they burn the money. Mining has low barriers to entry (more or less) so you’d expect low profit margins. And the major costs are energy (lost forever) and ASICs (unfit for other purpose) So while most industries have costs that feed back into economy, mining costs are just burnt. But yeah beyond that it’s just musical chairs. Depends entirely on inflows. And t…

I was looking for a graph that describes total transaction fees for the life of BTC in USD last night. Couldn't find one.

Re: Bitcoin is a Ponzi

#632

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I didn't state any facts. I started with "I bet" and included "must be". Those are pretty clear opinion markers. Your reply is also confused. Is the majority of money laundering denominated in USD and other real currencies? I'd believe it, because that's where the money is. But I'm saying the proportion of Bitcoin transactions that are fincrime-related is surely much higher than that of total USD transactions. This s…

From https://www.unodc.org/unodc/en/money-laundering/overview.htm... > The estimated amount of money laundered globally in one year is 2 - 5% of global GDP, or $800 billion - $2 trillion in current US dollars. Due to the clandestine nature of money-laundering, it is however difficult to estimate the total amount of money that goes through the laundering cycle. From Treasury via ABA Banking Journal ( https://bankingjo…

Ok? None of that contradicts my notion.

Re: Bitcoin is a Ponzi

#633
post #526

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Many of these same arguments apply to gold. Do you think gold is (mostly) useless today? If yes, when did it stop becoming useful? Do you think it was always useless?

When you mine gold, you get gold, and gold is nice. If we could magically make 100x the gold, that would be great! Current gold investors would be sad but it would be a win for the world. Bitcoin mining produces heat, and maintains the bitcoin network. It doesn’t actually increase the supply of anything: the total number of bitcoins is arbitrary. The real value is whatever the network produces (happiness in its hodle…

Good your are specific of Bitcoin and not a non mining blockchains as Ethereum.

Re: Bitcoin is a Ponzi

#634

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A lot of people compare the Tulip craze to Bitcoin but the differences in the properties of each should make it clear why Bitcoin has a higher chance of maintaining value over time. The qualities that Bitcoin has, have typically been sought after in other high valued commodities. Things like longevity and (protocol enforced) scarcity are previously things attributed to gold and remains one of the reasons why gold con…

I agree that bitcoin has exactly one of the properties that makes gold valuable. It lacks the others though: you can actually use gold for a wide range of applications, from electrical to cosmetical, and it's rarity actually makes it even more useful as decoration, as it becomes a brag (look how much expensive gold I can afford). You can't build electrical circuits from bitcoin, nor can you wear them as a necklace(I…

I don't believe utility is the driving force of gold as a store of value and if anything I would say it competes with it. I can assure you that most of the gold reserves in the world aren't holding gold with the future intent of having its value tied to its usage in circuits or beauty products, they're using it as a store of value. Being a store of value has utility in itself so again I implore you to look at arguments from someone who has studied Bitcoin a lot more extensively than I have and can give more hard data and context to the usage of similar commodities for comparison (i.e. the author of The Bitcoin Standard)

Re: Bitcoin is a Ponzi

#635

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No it is not a pedantic evasion, with a Ponzi scheme, you get sent money. On a regular legally defined basis. That money has to come from somewhere. Bitcoin doesn't have to send you a check every month or it collapses.

> with a Ponzi scheme, you get sent money Still pedantry. You're arguing that it's not a Ponzi scheme NOT because it funds promises to existing players with money coming in from new players (which is pretty much the standard definition), but because TECHNICALLY they have to "sell" their coins to get paid. That technicality doesn't change the direction the money is flowing. It's just not relevant.

Bitcoin doesn't fund anything. There are no promises. What you are describing is just speculative investment in general. There is a difference between speculative investment in general and a Ponzi scheme, what is it?

Re: Bitcoin is a Ponzi

#637

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The properties of it being difficult/impossible to confiscate and its privacy make it valuable in oppressive regimes. A refugee could store their wealth in Bitcoin, leave their country, settle somewhere else, and access their Bitcoin without the risk of it being confiscated during the journey, because they can simply memorise the seed phrase (24 words). LOL, who in those countries would sell them bitcoin? You've pu…

Alex Gladstein has written about this at length. He works for the Human Rights Foundation and advocates Bitcoin for its humanitarian use cases. He has spoken to many people in these types of countries to get their take on it. See for yourself... https://bitcoinmagazine.com/authors/alexgladstein

I live in one of those countries. Nobody will accept my currency in exchange for bitcoin. I can't send money offshore to buy bitcoin.

I mean, just ask the Chinese how easy it is to get bitcoin today. The billionaires, millionaires, and political elite can get their hands on bitcoin sure no matter where in the world they are, but not the common man (the actual oppressed in those regimes).

Unlike Alex, I don't have a conflict of interest.

Re: Bitcoin is a Ponzi

#638
post #599

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Whereas virtually 100% of all money invested into crypto has been burned by miners. This is pretty easy to model. People like Bitcoin's provable global ledger and this is where the value lies. The value is not burned, it's embedded into this ledger.

> People like Bitcoin's provable global ledger and this is where the value lies. What real world value has this brought?

The ability for the Chinese rich to get money out of their country. For one.

Re: Bitcoin is a Ponzi

#639
Looking which country mined most coins and who purchased them, it's a big money transfer from the USA to China. And the US buyers fool themselves that it's a good investment by driving the price up.

[0] https://www.statista.com/statistics/1195753/bitcoin-trading-...

[1] https://www.statista.com/statistics/1200477/bitcoin-mining-b...

Re: Bitcoin is a Ponzi

#640
post #526

Earlier quoted context omitted.

When you mine gold, you get gold, and gold is nice. If we could magically make 100x the gold, that would be great! Current gold investors would be sad but it would be a win for the world. Bitcoin mining produces heat, and maintains the bitcoin network. It doesn’t actually increase the supply of anything: the total number of bitcoins is arbitrary. The real value is whatever the network produces (happiness in its hodle…

Good your are specific of Bitcoin and not a non mining blockchains as Ethereum.

Ethereum still has mining. But yes I do draw a distinction. I can at least conceive of how Ethereum might become super useful.
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