Earlier quoted context omitted.
Also getting a perfect score on AIME (math) is pretty cool. Tongue in cheek: if we progress linearly from here software engineering as defined by SWE bench is solved in 23 months.
Just a few months ago people were still talking about exponential progress. The fact that we’re already going for just linear progress is not a good sign
We are still at 7mo doubling time on METR task duration. If anything the rate is increasing if you bias to more recent measurements.