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Ask HN: Is anyone else glad the crypto market is crashing?

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621–630 of 670 posts

Re: Ask HN: Is anyone else glad the crypto market is crashing?

#622

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Owning a stock is not the same as having controlling interest in the business and being able to take home your share of profits (or suffer your share of losses) from the business. It is interesting how the mind works to confuse these two things. Also, in the limit, if you owned all the stock in the world, you have destroyed the stock market. Because ultimately, stock market is about speculating the future potential o…

> Also, in the limit, if you owned all the stock in the world, you have destroyed the stock market Dead wrong, and indeed that is the difference to crypto. If you own all Bitcoins in the world, it is worth nothing and your net worth is zero. If you own all stocks in the world, you can direct all of those public companies to pay a large chunk of their profit to you every month in dividends, and make those companies do…

You are missing the emphasis on the market in stock market. By buying all the stocks of a company, you are basically taking company private – you own the company but the market for its stock is gone – and the value of what you own is the book-value of the business and access to its free cashflow. You don't own an instrument that gets you multiples on that anymore. Stock market gives you a multiple on the book value.

For example, if Elon Musk owned all of Tesla he would have access to $3.7B of its annual free cash-flow or $3.3B of net income. He won't be able to afford to buy Twitter with that. But because he has Tesla stocks which gets a huge multiple on those metrics, he can pledge a fraction of his fraction of ownership in Tesla to get a huge loan with which he is able to buy Twitter (and still enjoy his ownership rights of Tesla stocks!). That's because of stock market.

Re: Ask HN: Is anyone else glad the crypto market is crashing?

#624

Earlier quoted context omitted.

11 years now I fall into the category of people you are all collectively referring to as "crypto bros" The only difference being I don't shill pyramid schemes on the internet for profit. I kinda sit back and wait and take profit when it makes sense to me. I certainly don't tell other people about it when I do it.

I wouldn't call you a crypto bro then. I've mined and traded Bitcoin for around the same amount of time, so I can say comfortably that those in our situation have seen the cycles, and are rarely surprised, boom or bust. The crypto bros are the hypers and pumpers, infused with plenty of cockiness based on their own confirmation bias.

Thanks for this

Re: Ask HN: Is anyone else glad the crypto market is crashing?

#625

Earlier quoted context omitted.

When 9 people in a group of 10 see one person get lucky by owning more than 90% of the available assets around them and not seeing an iota of it going to them, you are about to get a lesson in how unlucky you can also be.

But this is the nature of a casino. One out of ten people gets a big payout for the same basic actions. If you're among the other nine people like I am, you take it in stride. You don't jump and cannibalize the guy who won. Not least because your self-esteem shouldn't be contingent upon how much money you have compared to someone else. People who win big randomly can't really be proud of what they have. But if you kn…

This isn't about losing 1% of your wealth gambling.

This is about wealth inequality. This is about watching as resources are entirely captured for a very small few. But history will continue to teach lessons about what happens when the rich get too big for their britches.

Re: Ask HN: Is anyone else glad the crypto market is crashing?

#626
post #255

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think how the SV techbros in this thread view cryptobros is probably fairly similar to how most of society views SV techbros.

...this is actually a very astute observation. I think HN could benefit from some self-awareness sometimes.

I've pointed out this thread of comments to other people who I think should read some of the sentiment in these comments. It is absolutely amazing how polarizing this subject can become in specific forums

Re: Ask HN: Is anyone else glad the crypto market is crashing?

#627

It's less that I'm glad the market is crashing, and more that I'm glad that the insufferable crypto bros are finally getting a punch to the mouth. Seriously, these people are the worst. Your average "crypto investor" has no skills, no mathematical foundations, nothing. Except for pure stupid luck, and the ability to spew inane crypto babble 24/7. And yes, they think they are much smarter than you, because they achiev…

Here is my weird tin foil hat theory that explains, like, a lot of what's been going in the world in the past twenty years. A significant fraction of young single men feel a deep compulsion to indulge in risky behavior with a potential high reward in order to make a name for themselves or earn their place in society. I don't know if it's genetic, cultural, both. But for many young dudes, it's not enough to simply wor…

There's also this new-fangled social media anxiety pressure whereby most people only share and put out the AMAZING GAINS and HOW AWESOME their lives are.

I feel like social media ups the ante on a lot of borderline or negative human traits because instead of CONNECTING us it's actually pushing us further apart.

It's a tangential thought I know but the fact that there exist people bragging/boasting/ saying LOOK AT ME LOOK AT ME LOOK HOW EASY IT IS - this creates a pretty unhealthy feedback loop and like you said, there's no value there.

I have smaller kids and I fear for their mental well being because of the pressures of the internet and how it's bleeding into reality in weird new ways that aren't exactly healthy.

Re: Ask HN: Is anyone else glad the crypto market is crashing?

#629
post #370

I'm not really invested or care for crypto, I'd rather it not be around. But I don't see how this is any different than when bitcoin hit $17k and also "crashed" and everyone talked about how this was the end and crypto had a good run. Then it got even bigger. Now that you have institutional investors in this pie and not just those dudes you knew in college, its not going anywhere. People are automatically putting ret…

This time interest rates are going up, inflation is going up, and commodities are going up. "Only when the tide goes out do you discover who's been swimming naked". Well, cryptobros don't even have a fig leaf...

But eventually interest rates will go down, and people will begin diversifying again instead of desperate rebalancing, and diversifying with modern snake oil investment marketing that's advertised in the media and online means opening crypto positions. I don't think we will ever see people up and walking away from ever investing in crypto again. Consider also how many buyers are probably waiting for a crash to get in on even more crypto on discount.

Re: Ask HN: Is anyone else glad the crypto market is crashing?

#630

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah because the fed is hiking rates due to crypto causing inflation? Or it was crypto that was used for extreme QE? Or was it crypto that caused companies to inflate their stock values via buybacks? Not to mention crypto marketcap and volume is a drop in the bucket compared to securities.

Crypto marketcap is a huge lie.

The point being, regardless of whether or not the crypto marketcap is a lie or not, is that it pales in comparison to the marketcap of securities. Meaning, the crypto market has little to no weight in influencing traditional markets.
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