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Correlation behind adblock growth surge and AdSense revenue doldrums

blog.pagefair.com

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Re: Correlation behind adblock growth surge and AdSense revenue doldrums

#61
post #20

How solid are those numbers? 25% sounds like a lot to me for your 'average user' kind of people, who make up the vast bulk of people on the internet. The curve also looks a bit optimistic.

Not solid at all, at least according to the traffic I get. In verticals like HN it is quite likely to be high, but in the real world it's not. If anything I would wager that AdBlock usage is declining because of the dramatic increase of mobile traffic.

Re: Correlation behind adblock growth surge and AdSense revenue doldrums

#62
post #15

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm interested to see how the web business model changes in the next decade. I think it's likely that web advertising is a dead end. There's been a number of articles about how Facebook advertising is a waste of money, ad impressions are down in general, and like this article describes, Adblock is really taking off. I think, and desperately hope, that we're going to see more voluntary subscription type services like…

I used to block ads before we noticed that 30% of our website revenue was lost to adblocking. We realised that people weren't intentionally blocking ads on our site, but probably due to some bad advertising that pushed them over the edge somewhere else on the internet. There was nothing we could do, so started a new business (PageFair). In your post, you are correctly angry at advertisers. But adblocking doesn't puni…

I think I have never-ever bought something via a banner. I will always read several comparison reviews first. SO ads don't get blocked in my browser for some reason, but the quality of their job ads is very low (e.g. no salary info in 99% cases) and it only works well for open-source-high-rep type of developers anyway. So basically just a timewaster for both me and an ad-provider. Hence block all-around :).

Re: Correlation behind adblock growth surge and AdSense revenue doldrums

#63
post #13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Are your ads image-only, or can they be Flash, iframes, or include scripts?

Only text and/or static images with strict limited on how they are displayed so that they are not annoying or intrusive. No scripts, so no viruses, and no third party trackers or creepy stuff like that either.

Will those ads know that I bought/browsed for something several month ago and still try to sell me similar products that I no longer need?

Re: Correlation behind adblock growth surge and AdSense revenue doldrums

#64
post #30

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes-which is a shame. I think that Google has violated the acceptable ad policy and should be removed. Here's an article from when the change was made to Adblock Plus http://gizmodo.com/google-supposedly-paid-off-adblock-plus-t...

Sorry to be that guy, but your use of the hyphon ”-” makes it hard to read your post. A hyphon with no spaces around it joins the two or more words into a single concept. A man-child is a single entity. In your usage here and above, all you need is a space on either side. A "yes-which" first parsed as a typo of "yes-witch", which I supposed would be a witch who agrees a lot. On the other hand, "Yes - which..." Now it…

The hyphen-with-spaces is a poor substitute for an em dash (— -- if HN supported HTML entities).

Where emdashes are non-operational, I prefer a pair of hyphens surrounded by spaces -- which at least looks more like an em dash.

Your comment is meta, but not inappropriate or abrasive. Civil commentary regarding common misusage has value, and I hope your comment will emerge from the grey.

Re: Correlation behind adblock growth surge and AdSense revenue doldrums

#65
post #15

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm interested to see how the web business model changes in the next decade. I think it's likely that web advertising is a dead end. There's been a number of articles about how Facebook advertising is a waste of money, ad impressions are down in general, and like this article describes, Adblock is really taking off. I think, and desperately hope, that we're going to see more voluntary subscription type services like…

I used to block ads before we noticed that 30% of our website revenue was lost to adblocking. We realised that people weren't intentionally blocking ads on our site, but probably due to some bad advertising that pushed them over the edge somewhere else on the internet. There was nothing we could do, so started a new business (PageFair). In your post, you are correctly angry at advertisers. But adblocking doesn't puni…

Good luck to you, but it never works. As you say, there's no way to discriminate between relevant & polite ads and spammy ads except for human intervention. I'm not involved in the business (clearly), but I think the overheads are sufficiently small in the advertising business that that's just not viable.

That's why I don't think advertising is a viable business model for web content in the long term. Spammers are going to spam, users are going to install adblocking software to get rid of the spam, and whatever's left will either get caught up in adblock or be too cost ineffective for businesses to bother with.

Re: Correlation behind adblock growth surge and AdSense revenue doldrums

#66
post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This this this. There are some huge players in the online advertising world who are supposed pillars of innovation and sustainability, but they have really failed at keeping sketchy, scammy, or downright malicious advertisers away. Inaction here will kill their industry. Google ads look like results and link to sites with malicious software downloads. iOS apps are full of "you have one unread message!" misinformation…

> Inaction here will kill their industry. That's the part I'm less certain about. I would've expected it to happen already; they're hurting themselves, but so far not fatally.

We need to get web browsers to ship with Adblock from the start. You'd be insane to set up an email server without some form of spam filtering, why not do the same with browsers?

Yes, it would collapse the current web business model. I fully support this.

Re: Correlation behind adblock growth surge and AdSense revenue doldrums

#67
post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Are you including Adblock Edge? How is that doing?

Pagefair is basically "Clean ads as a service." If they detect your using Adblock plus, they'll server you an ad, adblock plus won't block, because they pay adblock plus. (And because they claim to follow adblock plus's policy of 'good ads'). Which is annoying, because if you aren't using adblock plus, you don't get decent ads (just the standard ads), so ultimately it defeats the goal of adblock which is to make all…

> adblock plus won't block

I was wondering if this is true. It is! Take a look:

Here's ABP's policy on "acceptable ads":

https://adblockplus.org/en/acceptable-ads

From there, you can find the "acceptable ads" whitelist:

https://easylist-downloads.adblockplus.org/exceptionrules.tx...

And indeed, PageFair has a few domains listed. Fascinatingly, there's also a link to a forum thread where the whitelist was requested:

https://adblockplus.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=20718

That thread links to a page that uses PageFair. After enabling a bunch of JavaScript domains (what, you're still not running NoScript?), an ad does indeed show up:

http://forums.utopia-game.com/forumdisplay.php?1583-Suggesti...

Rather hilariously, the ad is for a "Free Mp4 Player" and links to Ask.com or something. If this is PageFair's idea of the future of quality advertising, I don't think their company is long for this world.

Re: Correlation behind adblock growth surge and AdSense revenue doldrums

#68
post #65

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I used to block ads before we noticed that 30% of our website revenue was lost to adblocking. We realised that people weren't intentionally blocking ads on our site, but probably due to some bad advertising that pushed them over the edge somewhere else on the internet. There was nothing we could do, so started a new business (PageFair). In your post, you are correctly angry at advertisers. But adblocking doesn't puni…

Good luck to you, but it never works. As you say, there's no way to discriminate between relevant & polite ads and spammy ads except for human intervention. I'm not involved in the business (clearly), but I think the overheads are sufficiently small in the advertising business that that's just not viable. That's why I don't think advertising is a viable business model for web content in the long term. Spammers are go…

Replying to myself to ask Sean a direct question. Your ads appear to be really crap quality. "Free Mp4 Player" with a link to Ask.com is really your idea of better advertising?

See also: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8021255

Re: Correlation behind adblock growth surge and AdSense revenue doldrums

#69

How do I Adblock this pagefair thing?

It's easy. If you ever see one of our ads, you can permanently opt out using the close button. We're working hard not to show the kinds of ads that most adblock users would want to block. We currently have < 1% opt outs.

The point is, I don't ever want to see one of your ads. Not even one. Whatever detection method you're using, I also want to block. Sorry if I sound like a prig, but I object in principle to advertising and the consumerism it seeks to instill.

Re: Correlation behind adblock growth surge and AdSense revenue doldrums

#70
post #66

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Inaction here will kill their industry. That's the part I'm less certain about. I would've expected it to happen already; they're hurting themselves, but so far not fatally.

We need to get web browsers to ship with Adblock from the start. You'd be insane to set up an email server without some form of spam filtering, why not do the same with browsers? Yes, it would collapse the current web business model. I fully support this.

As much as I loathe ads myself, I don't think it's a good idea to default to blocking ads, not the least because the definition of an ad is a little hard to capture completely without either false negatives or positives. Different people also have different ideas on what they consider acceptable ads, so it could be a form of unwanted censorship to some.

Default to showing all the content, but let people make their own choice on what to filter out.

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