I think one of the main reasons it's so hard for new developers to make money is that -- as has been said so often -- discovery is broken on the App Store. The "new" category basically doesn't exist anymore, and even if it did there are a ton of new apps being released _daily_. For everyone's complaints about Apple's stringent review process, there's a ton of crapware on there, which makes customers really hesitant t…
I disagree. The issue is not exposure to customers, it is the mindset of customers. The market has matured as smartphones have become ubiquitous and free apps have come to dominate the market. Direct sales have simply faded because they are less lucrative at the highest level, and users have re-based their perceptions around that. Even if you could get your paid app to the top of the charts and attain maximum exposur…
A moderately profitable app can give an independent developer the runway they need to bootstrap and follow up with more mainstream ideas.