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AI outperforms law professors in Stanford Law study

law.stanford.edu

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Re: AI outperforms law professors in Stanford Law study

#62
post #30

Marc Andreessen argued that we've already reached AGI. He says that the top AI models give better answers than 99% of people he has access to, and he has access to some of the best people in their field. I'm getting more convinced. I mean, sure it makes dumb mistakes sometimes but its a particular set of self serving mistakes, commenting out tests in order to pass. We obv don't want this behavior but I wouldn't say i…

> Marc Andreessen argued that we've already reached AGI. He says that the top AI models give better answers than 99% of people he has access to, and he has access to some of the best people in their field.

He stands to make billions if enough people believe him — unless you also do, consider that you’re the mark. For example, if that was true, it would have to mean that AI companies either aren’t letting customers use the good models or are instructing them to frequently make errors which reveal a fundamental lack of reasoning ability.

Consider also that his wealth means he hasn’t had to defend an idea stringently since the 90s. I wouldn’t be surprised if he does think LLMs give deep answers because it often looks that way until you critically review the response and ask questions like what’s missing which require you to have a decent understanding of the problem domain.

Re: AI outperforms law professors in Stanford Law study

#63
post #7

As a software engineer I have some intuition for what the risks are of letting agents do some tasks vs others. I don't have a similar intuition calibrated for what could go wrong when asking AI to draft a legal document. Some things seem harmless, i.e. drafting a will, but I don't really know- our legal system is notoriously rife with footguns.

I think this is probably true for most skilled professions. AI is best used in the hands of folks already knowledgeable in the skills/professions they are using it for. I liken it to me googling things as a sysadmin vs. Jane from accounting doing it. The non-tech end user is far more likely to make the problem worse, or install something sketchy from the ad riddled results than I am, or one of my help desk employees…

> I wouldn't really want to rely on my lawyer to use AI to write code for me.

Yet that is exactly what a lot of C-Suiters (many of whom are lawyers), are doing.

Re: AI outperforms law professors in Stanford Law study

#66
post #7

As a software engineer I have some intuition for what the risks are of letting agents do some tasks vs others. I don't have a similar intuition calibrated for what could go wrong when asking AI to draft a legal document. Some things seem harmless, i.e. drafting a will, but I don't really know- our legal system is notoriously rife with footguns.

I think this is probably true for most skilled professions. AI is best used in the hands of folks already knowledgeable in the skills/professions they are using it for. I liken it to me googling things as a sysadmin vs. Jane from accounting doing it. The non-tech end user is far more likely to make the problem worse, or install something sketchy from the ad riddled results than I am, or one of my help desk employees…

im not so sure

i think devs overestimate their own role and underestimate others

i am seeing lawyers and doctors roll out their own software with AI

but we dont have their training and experience

Re: AI outperforms law professors in Stanford Law study

#67
post #7

As a software engineer I have some intuition for what the risks are of letting agents do some tasks vs others. I don't have a similar intuition calibrated for what could go wrong when asking AI to draft a legal document. Some things seem harmless, i.e. drafting a will, but I don't really know- our legal system is notoriously rife with footguns.

I think this is probably true for most skilled professions. AI is best used in the hands of folks already knowledgeable in the skills/professions they are using it for. I liken it to me googling things as a sysadmin vs. Jane from accounting doing it. The non-tech end user is far more likely to make the problem worse, or install something sketchy from the ad riddled results than I am, or one of my help desk employees…

It's like that in engineering, for sure. My background is in aerospace and there are lots of things that a reasonably technically-inclined random can probably do passably. It takes an engineer to know which tasks those are, though.

I would imagine it's similar in law, in that it takes a lawyer or judge to know where the foot guns lie.

Re: AI outperforms law professors in Stanford Law study

#68
post #22
post #7

As a software engineer I have some intuition for what the risks are of letting agents do some tasks vs others. I don't have a similar intuition calibrated for what could go wrong when asking AI to draft a legal document. Some things seem harmless, i.e. drafting a will, but I don't really know- our legal system is notoriously rife with footguns.

I would think that LLMs would be better at avoiding foot-guns. That’s a situation where you have a list of well known rules and potential pit falls, and the work of the lawyer is to apply those to a fact pattern. That’s something that has been hard to automate programmatically, because the fact patterns are similar but different. LLMs, however, seem to excel at applying general principles to differing fact patterns.

But can an LLM come up with questions like what the definition of is is? Seems to me there's a lot of "depends on how you read it" type of stuff that lawyers excel at finding novel interpretations. So what coders thinking of as rules are much less straight forward to understand when it comes to laws

Re: AI outperforms law professors in Stanford Law study

#69
post #2

He is basically an AI professor for law. This study just confirms his existence: https://juliannyarko.com/ Stanford and its donors of course want to replace anyone but its administrators, so they cheer on such anti-intellectual nonsense.

This is the state of HN. Created new account. Accused without evidence. Emotional clickbait.

Re: AI outperforms law professors in Stanford Law study

#70
post #30

Marc Andreessen argued that we've already reached AGI. He says that the top AI models give better answers than 99% of people he has access to, and he has access to some of the best people in their field. I'm getting more convinced. I mean, sure it makes dumb mistakes sometimes but its a particular set of self serving mistakes, commenting out tests in order to pass. We obv don't want this behavior but I wouldn't say i…

Getting the right answers is just half of it, you need to know the right questions to ask. I haven't yet seen AI crack that one.
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