Earlier quoted context omitted.
Gas plants are only the most expensive in the simple cycle configuration. Combined cycle plants are competitive with other forms of baseload generation. The trouble is the response time. With day ahead forecasting, we can try to turn that peak load into base load. Grid operations are a non trivial part in how this AI energy situation plays out.
Batteries are an even bigger deal. You can completely stop building single stage peaker gas turbines when it gets economical to just drop a 2GW / 1 GWh battery pack next to every gas plant. When demand spikes, you just discharge the battery while you heat soak the steam turbine and the drum to prepare it for increased load.
Covering electricity price increases from our data centers
61–70 of 110 posts
Re: Covering electricity price increases from our data centers
#62We've moved past asking where the energy comes from or how our planet will survive this critical phase. These days, it's about framing - every country is scrambling to up their game just to stay in power. The companies that are riding this wave are spending millions in marketing, lobbying and billions on consuming energy so that they can make trillions in valuation. I am also an ardent user of AI - but sometimes I do…
There's nothing particularly worse about money spent on AI vs. anything else. I don't feel guilty for having 6 shirts even though I can only wear one at a time.
Re: Covering electricity price increases from our data centers
#63Earlier quoted context omitted.
How will that happen? China is building more generation as we speak. And I mean a lot . The gap is widening and the rate of change is even worse, thanks to "clean beautiful coal" or whatever Trump said.
You are aware that China is building dozens of new coal power plants right? Just this year they have commissioned 50.[1] Granted, it's less than before, but still much more than other developed countries. [1] https://abcnews.com/International/wireStory/china-building-c...
Re: Covering electricity price increases from our data centers
#64Earlier quoted context omitted.
So with the AI is doing more of the work and you need less humans, what are you doing with the extra humans to eliminate their no-longer-productive resource consumption? Saying “we can do the same work with less resource use” doesn’t mean resource consumption is reduced. You’ve just gone from humans using resources to humans using the same resources and doing less work, plus AI using more resources.
The thing is, there are many interplaying dynamics here that are impossible to unravel. This is why I called it "napkin math", because figuring out the full ramifications of this change is a pretty large economic problem that nobody has figured out! For instance, I think operating at this level of productivity is unsustainable ( https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46938038 ). As discussed in detail by the recent "AI…
Re: Covering electricity price increases from our data centers
#65We've moved past asking where the energy comes from or how our planet will survive this critical phase. These days, it's about framing - every country is scrambling to up their game just to stay in power. The companies that are riding this wave are spending millions in marketing, lobbying and billions on consuming energy so that they can make trillions in valuation. I am also an ardent user of AI - but sometimes I do…
This is by far the best article I've seen on it [0]. Which leads me to conclude: if you use coding agents, then yes, it's definitely a concern. Yet if you drive daily, even an EV, it's very small compared to that. Let alone flying. Personally, even if my "AI emissions" are at 10x his estimated usage (they almost certainly aren't), the other sacrifices I make to reduce emissions have such an impact that I'd still be multiple times below the national average.
Note how the above measures energy usage (kWh), not emissions. For anyone taking fossil fuel transit regularly, whether ICE car/taxi/airplane, AI usage is all but guaranteed to be meaningless compared to their transport emissions. One hamburger is at least 5x more emissions than his "median say with Claude Code", so there's another one. If you're feeling guilty, track how much beef you're eating, cut it down by 20% and use agents to your hearts content.
Now of course, a different form of AI usage like image generation and especially video generation is incomparably more energy-intensive per query. We'd need separate math on that.
Re: Covering electricity price increases from our data centers
#66We've moved past asking where the energy comes from or how our planet will survive this critical phase. These days, it's about framing - every country is scrambling to up their game just to stay in power. The companies that are riding this wave are spending millions in marketing, lobbying and billions on consuming energy so that they can make trillions in valuation. I am also an ardent user of AI - but sometimes I do…
> trillions in valuation.
This is more or less literally the "yes we destroyed the planet, but for a brief moment we created trillions in shareholder value" meme. Perhaps we need to take a step back and ask to what extent this benefits humans as humans, not as economic units. Especially given the explicit threat in the AI marketing material to destroy all creative industries and replace human fulfilment and even connection with AI.
Re: Covering electricity price increases from our data centers
#67Earlier quoted context omitted.
The US consumes 100 million aluminum soda cans per day. We lived without aluminum soda cans for 100k years
You can't compare soda cans with computational results, we can't teleport soda cans up and down cheaply, but we can cheaply beam data up and down.
Re: Covering electricity price increases from our data centers
#68Earlier quoted context omitted.
> These things are so hideously inefficient. Quite the opposite, really. I did some napkin math for energy and water consumption, and compared to humans these things are very resource efficient. If LLMs improve productivity by even 5% (studies actually peg productivity gains across various professions at 15 - 30%, and these are from 2024!) the resource savings by accelerating all knowledge workers are significant. Si…
How is a human consuming 27 gallons of water in an 8 hour work shift?
Re: Covering electricity price increases from our data centers
#69Please do hang your datacenters in space so as not to piss away your waste heat in our rivers, soils or atmosphere. Go to the bathroom upstairs, don't use our ecosystem as your latrines if you can direct it straight to the CMB.
I wish HN would have a downvote penalty mechanism, where the number of replies on comments you downvote should be at least x percent, say 50%. Oh no the burden of actually explaining why you want to de-emphasize a comment.
Re: Covering electricity price increases from our data centers
#70We've moved past asking where the energy comes from or how our planet will survive this critical phase. These days, it's about framing - every country is scrambling to up their game just to stay in power. The companies that are riding this wave are spending millions in marketing, lobbying and billions on consuming energy so that they can make trillions in valuation. I am also an ardent user of AI - but sometimes I do…