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I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

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Re: I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

#61

Post by mgrandl »

zeroonetwothree wrote: post #49
mgrandl wrote: post #19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Does everything always need precedence?

I think you mean precedents but in any case the precedent is that often a new tech is heralded with “this time is different! Ignore the precedents” and yet so far that has been wrong every time. One day the sun won’t rise in the morning but it’s not something I’m going to plan on happening in my lifetime.

Jep, sorry not an native english speaker.

It’s been wrong every time, except for the times it wasn’t. Nobody remembers those though. Something something confirmation bias.

Re: I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

#62

Post by nosianu »

raincole wrote: post #60
nosianu wrote: post #34

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Has this been true for any technology, ever? Yes? Try abacus, slide rules or mechanical calculating machines vs electronic calculators. Or ancient vs modern computers and software. They didn't even have "end-users" like we understand them now, every computer user was a specialist. Programming. Writing. Quill vs. ballpen, but also alphabets vs what you had to write before. Photography, more than one big jump in usab…

And all of these still require skills today. Yes, electronic calculators too.

See https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45983440

Re: I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

#63

Post by nosianu »

zeroonetwothree wrote: post #43
nosianu wrote: post #34

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Has this been true for any technology, ever? Yes? Try abacus, slide rules or mechanical calculating machines vs electronic calculators. Or ancient vs modern computers and software. They didn't even have "end-users" like we understand them now, every computer user was a specialist. Programming. Writing. Quill vs. ballpen, but also alphabets vs what you had to write before. Photography, more than one big jump in usab…

Are you really claiming that calculators require no skill?

See https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45983440

Re: I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

#65

Post by AuthAuth »

frde_me wrote: post #11
AuthAuth wrote: post #8

Earlier quoted context omitted.

AI tools will get easier and easier to use. There will be no skill level required to use them effectively.

Has this been true for any technology, ever? In that the curve of skill to output quality will be completely flat? I would be suspicious of this claim.

We can already see it. Take a look at AI image generation a few years ago. People were creating complex prompts, tweaking values, adding overlay models, stringing together several AI tools to get to a decent output. Now you can get a better result typing a simple phrase into one of the many major AI web interfaces. Tools like adobe have simplified all these features to the point where they can be learnt in under 5mins.

This is only going to be the start once AI gets good it will be so easy to use I doubt there will be any human unable to use it. Its the nature of natural language queries and companies working to build a model that can handle "anything" thrown at it.

Re: I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

#66

Post by stego-tech »

Dilettante_ wrote: post #46
IncandescentGas wrote: post #9

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Identifying the 1% of ai use cases that are useful and refusing to have your attention stolen by the 99% that is mild melting garbage will be the key ai skill for the ai future

So same as with the internet

This is both the sickest burn and truest statement I’ve read today.

Here, have a (digital) shortbread cookie: o

Re: I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

#67

Post by 113 »

criley2 wrote: post #28
bigstrat2003 wrote: post #20

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The only prediction that I think is robust is: Those who use AI as tool today will replace those that aren't tomorrow. That's not a robust prediction. Many people who don't use AI today simply don't do so because they've tried it, and found it subtracts value. Those people will not be replaced tomorrow, they will merely reevaluate the tool and start using it if it has started to add value.

If jobs were based on self-perceived value addition there would never be a layoff ever Your executive team is going to "remove" non-AI folks regardless of their claims about efficiency. Just like they forced you to return to office while ignoring the exact same efficiency claims. They had realestate to protect. Now they have AI to protect.

Then the answer isn't to adopt AI it's to unionise.

Re: I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

#68

Post by mostlysimilar »

criley2 wrote: post #28
bigstrat2003 wrote: post #20

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The only prediction that I think is robust is: Those who use AI as tool today will replace those that aren't tomorrow. That's not a robust prediction. Many people who don't use AI today simply don't do so because they've tried it, and found it subtracts value. Those people will not be replaced tomorrow, they will merely reevaluate the tool and start using it if it has started to add value.

If jobs were based on self-perceived value addition there would never be a layoff ever Your executive team is going to "remove" non-AI folks regardless of their claims about efficiency. Just like they forced you to return to office while ignoring the exact same efficiency claims. They had realestate to protect. Now they have AI to protect.

As always, the answer is that we need to found our own companies and stop letting the vampires suck our blood.

Re: I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

#69

Post by ffsm8 »

moron4hire wrote: post #51
criley2 wrote: post #28

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If jobs were based on self-perceived value addition there would never be a layoff ever Your executive team is going to "remove" non-AI folks regardless of their claims about efficiency. Just like they forced you to return to office while ignoring the exact same efficiency claims. They had realestate to protect. Now they have AI to protect.

"Now they have AI to protect," you're ultimately talking about corporate leadership being susceptible to the sunk cost fallacy here. But AI investment is a particularly easy sunk cost to get out of compared to real estate. Real estate has lease obligations and moving costs; it will cost you a lot more in the short term to get rid of your real estate. AI you could just stop using and immediately see cost reduction.

There are trillions invested innit at this point.

50 year lease write off would be peanuts compared to what's been invested with the expectation of payouts

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