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America’s semiconductor boom [video]

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Re: America’s semiconductor boom [video]

#61
post #9

how competitive will american made cpu's be? will american consumers just end up paying n * more for same product that the rest of the world gets from taiwan?

Have you seen how much of a premium Americans are already paying for chips in the face of constrained supply? Gamers are still buying them and so is everyone else Given that this is the same curiosity and question since pre-pandemic and now we have many examples of a premium, I think its not a real worry as long as the chips perform

everyone pays the premium now not just the USA.

this would represent an additional cost on top of that that only USA consumers pays.

Re: America’s semiconductor boom [video]

#62
post #49

If you haven't already, I encourage you to subscribe this guys channel - Asianometry. How he finds the time to reserach in such detail such a wide range of tek-related subjects is beyond me.

He probably has a team who helps him. He makes bank so not unrealistic

Mr Gemini and Mrs Claude

Re: America’s semiconductor boom [video]

#63

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I keep seeing this in every industry. "We can't give up America because they buy so much" "China needs the American market because they can't make up the numbers for the rest of the world combined in the short term" Can people here help answer where the heck does everyone have the money to buy all this stuff? Especially post COVID with all the layoffs? The US is only 5% of the world population. Europe isn't that poor…

It's wild but true. History provides a partial explanation. In 1960 the US was 40% of the world economy while only being 5% of the world population. It's still about 25% of the world economy today. The thing is that WW2 decimated most of the advanced economies outside of the US, and for decades afterwards many of them simply weren't managed for growth (i.e. the Soviet bloc). So the US had a huge head start and never…

part of the problem is that to get yourself to export competitiveness, you have to essentially underpay workers through restrictions on capital and credit; and once you have done so, these export businesses become so central to the economy and to economic identity that it is politically tricky to reorient the economy.

Add on moralizing about how people should be making and not spending and you've got yourself a recipe for an export-oriented slowdown, since at some point the world won't be wealthy enough to keep raising your economy through only exports. We saw this in Japan, South Korea, and more recently Germany and China.

Re: America’s semiconductor boom [video]

#64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Maybe chaos monkeys help innovation

Chaos monkey yes...but more like desperation for survival. Its the same mentality that drives Israel. As been shown a few times, it mutates into a sick culture with unintended consequences...but obviously it does produce results.

[flagged]

Re: America’s semiconductor boom [video]

#65

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Chaos monkey yes...but more like desperation for survival. Its the same mentality that drives Israel. As been shown a few times, it mutates into a sick culture with unintended consequences...but obviously it does produce results.

"death river strategy"

Tell us more about your insights, as a clueless outsider

Re: America’s semiconductor boom [video]

#66
post #57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

America could import it if the current administration wasn’t so hell bent on repelling global talent through inflicting great cost and uncertainty upon the talent

Even this forum can’t decide whether skilled personnel are a boon because they positively contribute to the local economy, or a negative because they undermine employment prospects for locals.

There really is a big difference betwwwn needing to import engineers to create high end chips and WITCH companies using h1B to get cheap contractors to do enterprise dev or any software development except something really specialized

Re: America’s semiconductor boom [video]

#67
post #10

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I always thought it was funny that for my entire lifetime people have talked about Arizona being perfect for fabs because it's dry there and not subject to tremors meanwhile Taiwan where 60% of all chips are produced (and 90% of the most sensitive ones) is tropical and has earthquakes fairly frequently.

I can only imagine what the Taiwanese can do in Arizona. Truly a synergy for the ages.

China Airlines recently opened a new direct flight route between Taoyuan and Phoenix. They've been plastering it all over their plane signage. I thought it was funny that the flight must be pretty empty other than the handful of TSMC employees that need to go there.

Re: America’s semiconductor boom [video]

#68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you know about a topic well, his videos are not as accurate as he may try to make you believe

That’s a good point, he did a video in my space recently and while it sounded impressive it was clear he only had a surface level understanding of the domain. Still impressive, but I find it hard to trust folks that represent themselves as experts on topics they’re not really experts in.

Do you mind sharing which specific video it was?

Re: America’s semiconductor boom [video]

#69

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So are they going to give back the money they got from the feds to build them?

Intel didn't cancel any fabs in Arizona, one just came online. They killed plans Fabs in Poland and Germany, and the Ohio fab is on hold. You don't get the money up front, so nothing to give back.

Though the relevant governments in Poland and Germany probably spent a lot of time and effort (and money). Only some of them they will get back.

But I guess that's a risk they knew they were taking.

Re: America’s semiconductor boom [video]

#70
post #31

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Maybe that's why yields there are better? [1] [1] https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/semiconductors/ts...

Once you're in a air-conditioned environment the outside world doesn't matter. More likely he compared the 4nm yield to the 3nm yield in Taiwan?

The moisture of the outside world might not matter. But aircon doesn't protect you from earthquakes, alas.
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