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Is Facebook dying?

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Re: Is Facebook dying?

#61
post #30

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's so predictable that someone posts this on every submission with a question headline. Seriously, it's old. We get it. Just move on.

If I ran the world I'd ban all links to wikipedia and lesswrong entries on "laws" and "fallacies". They never actually contribute anything to the discussion.

Neither do most fallacies.

Re: Is Facebook dying?

#62

Is communicating with friends dying? Sure, nearly six billion people do it. But I for one am dealing with a serious case of burnout. And I know I'm not alone. Ok, I admit: The question that serves as the headline for this post seems on the surface a bit absurd, if not downright crazy. Any day now seven billionth person is about to communicate with friends, and that's a population more than 21 times that of the United…

Your kids as just finding out that people that talk too much about themselves are boring. On facebook there is an army of people ready to post what they ate for breakfast, what they saw on TV, and so on. These people just want an audience to watch what they are doing (mostly uninteresting stuff heh).

That army is also on Twitter, Tumblr, Google+, Wordpress, LiveJournal, MySpace, and any other free website that allows them to publish themselves for others to publicly see. That doesn't mean that those services aren't useful to those of us who have friends that aren't narcissists.

If your Facebook news feed (or your Twitter stream, or whatever else) is full of nothing but self-indulgent crap, then maybe you should find some better people to be friends with?

Re: Is Facebook dying?

#63
post #5

Several of my friends have quit Facebook. Many on multiple occasions. Nearly all of them have eventually come back. Many of them multiple times. I think the ones who are still gone will come back sometime. Some inevitably won't. But I think the number of people who dislike Facebook enough to never want to use it are in the extreme minority. I think most people just don't think about whether it's evil or not. It's jus…

I can't believe that anyone really thinks Facebook, at least in anything close to its current form, will still exist in 20 years. It'll just be something we all nostalgically laugh about from time to time, just like AOL or Geo Cities.

Re: Is Facebook dying?

#64

It seems a little hasty to proclaim the death of Facebook based on a sample size of two kids. In fact, when I worked in marketing, I used to dread statements from leadership (or whomever) that began with "My kid was doing X, so we should get into X," or "I heard about Y on the radio, so I wonder...," etc. Dangerously flawed assumptions can come from this line of reasoning. Anecdotal samples can be useful to form hypo…

Fair enough, but I think the reason this is getting upvoted so much is because I think many of us can relate to the content in the article, so maybe there is something here worth considering. After all, with many predecessors like Friendster and Myspace, most people that left didn't even bother to delete their accounts, they just stopped using the service. As far as anecdotal evidence, I'm seeing the same thing happe…

I didn't say there's no merit to the article, or that its point might not be right. It might just be. Rather, what I'm saying is that I'd like to see some actual analysis and data on this subject for once, instead of just everyone's anecdotes.

I'm pretty sure we've all got anecdotes about how our friends, kids, neighbors, co-workers, etc., are slowing down or stopping their Facebook use. And that may well mean something big. But it's equally possible that we, our peers, and our children, are not a representative sample. Or that we're just not the core FB user base. Etc.

I guess what I'm saying is that I'm open to the conjecture posed in the article. I may even be partially inclined to believe it. But I'm skeptical until I see real evidence.

Re: Is Facebook dying?

#65
tl;dr another reporter has deciding that since Facebook is waning in his household, it everyone else will probably start hating it.

I'm not convinced this article provides any value, except as Yet Another thread where people can weigh in on "why I don't use Facebook anymore" or "why you're all wrong, Facebook is fine."

Re: Is Facebook dying?

#66

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Fair enough, but I think the reason this is getting upvoted so much is because I think many of us can relate to the content in the article, so maybe there is something here worth considering. After all, with many predecessors like Friendster and Myspace, most people that left didn't even bother to delete their accounts, they just stopped using the service. As far as anecdotal evidence, I'm seeing the same thing happe…

I think stories like this get upvoted because a certain percentage of HN users want FB to fail. A certain percentage (probably other people) want Google to fail and upvote those stories. A certain percentage want YC to fail and upvote those stories. A certain percentage want Apple to fail and upvote those stories. I don't think anything meaningful can be derived from such upvote patterns.

Since it's absolutely impossible for anyone to legitimately relate to the proposed sentiments because in reality all people are is haters... That's what you're saying. So let's disregard any and all anecdotes.

Re: Is Facebook dying?

#67

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Your kids as just finding out that people that talk too much about themselves are boring. On facebook there is an army of people ready to post what they ate for breakfast, what they saw on TV, and so on. These people just want an audience to watch what they are doing (mostly uninteresting stuff heh).

That army is also on Twitter, Tumblr, Google+, Wordpress, LiveJournal, MySpace, and any other free website that allows them to publish themselves for others to publicly see. That doesn't mean that those services aren't useful to those of us who have friends that aren't narcissists. If your Facebook news feed (or your Twitter stream, or whatever else) is full of nothing but self-indulgent crap, then maybe you should f…

Actually I found that most people acted like they had an alter ego. When they are online they are boring, but when you meet them personally they are nice people.

I'm pretty happy with my friends, I just don't feel the need for something like facebook and the need for filtering stuff that I never had to filter before.

For those that find facebook to be so great, more power for them.

Re: Is Facebook dying?

#68

Is communicating with friends dying? Sure, nearly six billion people do it. But I for one am dealing with a serious case of burnout. And I know I'm not alone. Ok, I admit: The question that serves as the headline for this post seems on the surface a bit absurd, if not downright crazy. Any day now seven billionth person is about to communicate with friends, and that's a population more than 21 times that of the United…

Your kids as just finding out that people that talk too much about themselves are boring. On facebook there is an army of people ready to post what they ate for breakfast, what they saw on TV, and so on. These people just want an audience to watch what they are doing (mostly uninteresting stuff heh).

Not to mention the "braggart" economy that is springing up. People are now broadcasting their lives - truly or falsely - across social networks to increase others opinions of them.

Re: Is Facebook dying?

#69
post #63
post #5

Several of my friends have quit Facebook. Many on multiple occasions. Nearly all of them have eventually come back. Many of them multiple times. I think the ones who are still gone will come back sometime. Some inevitably won't. But I think the number of people who dislike Facebook enough to never want to use it are in the extreme minority. I think most people just don't think about whether it's evil or not. It's jus…

I can't believe that anyone really thinks Facebook, at least in anything close to its current form, will still exist in 20 years. It'll just be something we all nostalgically laugh about from time to time, just like AOL or Geo Cities.

...or myspace or friendster or orkut or tribes.net or ...

Re: Is Facebook dying?

#70
Not sure about the headline but it makes sense what his kids are doing. Reddit and Tumblr allow much more freedom and do not try so blatently hard to profit from traffic.

Facebook is dying a slow death for what it was once used for: fun. They have too much cash on hand to disappear any time soon. But users will grow tired of Facebook as a pleasurable diversion. Because Facebook will keep trying harder and harder to make money. Because the traffic will gradually slow down. When you make all your money from display ads, and the traffic begins to slow, you get desperate. Slowly, Facebook is inching toward this inevitability.

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