> having 10,000 H100s just means that you can do 625 times more experiments than s1 did I think the ball is very much in their court to demonstrate they actually are using their massive compute in such a productive fashion. My BigTech experience would tend to suggest that frugality went out the window the day the valuation took off, and they are in fact just burning compute for little gain, because why not...
This is pure speculation on my part but I think at some point a company's valuation became tied to how big their compute is so everybody jumped on the bandwagon.
S1: A $6 R1 competitor?
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Re: S1: A $6 R1 competitor?
#62Earlier quoted context omitted.
Here you go: https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.11.11.623004v1
I'm not convinced. This is using the tooling and paradigms invented by humans.
If a human uses such a paradigm to success it is the same.
Re: S1: A $6 R1 competitor?
#63> If you believe that AI development is a prime national security advantage, then you absolutely should want even more money poured into AI development, to make it go even faster. This, this is the problem for me with people deep in AI. They think it’s the end all be all for everything. They have the vision of the ‘AI’ they’ve seen in movies in mind, see the current ‘AI’ being used and to them it’s basically almost t…
What is even the possible usage of AI for national security? Generating pictures of kittens riding nuclear weapons to the very end like in Dr Strangelove?
Re: S1: A $6 R1 competitor?
#64Re: S1: A $6 R1 competitor?
#65That sovereign wealth fund with tik tok might set a good precedent; when we have to 'pour money' into these companies we can do so with stake in them held in our sovereign wealth fund.
Re: S1: A $6 R1 competitor?
#66Re: S1: A $6 R1 competitor?
#67Earlier quoted context omitted.
and: https://github.com/simplescaling/s1
When you're only used to ollama, how do I go about using this model?
However, once that happens, you can run it (and any GGUF model) from Hugging Face![0]
Re: S1: A $6 R1 competitor?
#68S1 is fully supervised by distilling Gemini. R1 works by reinforcement learning with a much weaker judge LLM.
They don't follow the same scaling laws. They don't give you the same results. They don't have the same robustness. You can use R1 for your own problems. You can't use S1 unless Gemini works already.
We know that distillation works and is very cheap. This has been true for a decade; there's nothing here.
S1 is a rushed hack job (they didn't even run most of their evaluations with an excuse that the Gemini API is too hard to use!) that probably existed before R1 was released and then pivoted into this mess.
Re: S1: A $6 R1 competitor?
#69Earlier quoted context omitted.
This is pure speculation on my part but I think at some point a company's valuation became tied to how big their compute is so everybody jumped on the bandwagon.
Matt Levine tangentially talked about this during his podcast this past Friday (or was it the one before?). It was a good way to value these companies according to their compute size since those chips are very valuable. At a minimum, the chips are an asset that acts as a collateral.
Re: S1: A $6 R1 competitor?
#70S1 (and R1 tbh) has a bad smell to me or at least points towards an inefficiency. It's incredible that a tiny number of samples and some inserted tokens can have such a huge effect on model behavior. I bet that we'll see a way to have the network learn and "emerge" these capabilities during pre-training. We probably just need to look beyond the GPT objective.