61–70 of 172 posts
I just watched Patlabor 2 last night, about a civil war in post-Cold War Japan. The main theme is the following: The thing about one-in-a-million events is that they are eventually going to happen once the other 999,999 occur. Thus a government which does not plan for one-in-a-million scenarios is truly derelict and incapable of survival.
Exceptionally well-armed NATO + JEF members, and Finland well within distance to use conventional artillery to turn St Petersburg to rubble. This is a public-awareness and support-building exercise rather than a real concern. This is like the RAF frequently issuing press-releases about intercepting Russian jets.
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Earlier quoted context omitted.
Uh.. If we turn St Petersburg into rubble, I doubt anyone will be worrying about a few trifling conventional weapons. NATO and Russia go at it, and we're all just sitting around next month waiting for the Chinese, Brazilians, Indians and South Africans to sort out who is responsible for which relief efforts. Actually, now I think about it, that quad will probably be far more concerned with determining the disposition…
NATO and Russia go at it and everyone is screwed, there will be no winners, nobody on the sidelines, no picking through the spoils.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
Uh.. If we turn St Petersburg into rubble, I doubt anyone will be worrying about a few trifling conventional weapons. NATO and Russia go at it, and we're all just sitting around next month waiting for the Chinese, Brazilians, Indians and South Africans to sort out who is responsible for which relief efforts. Actually, now I think about it, that quad will probably be far more concerned with determining the disposition…
> If we turn St Petersburg into rubble, I doubt anyone will be worrying about a few trifling conventional weapons Yes, exactly, that's why this isn't going to happen.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
My greatest hope at this point is that much of the Soviet arsenal would fail to function at this point. That might be a pipe dream, but it's what I got.
while I'm sure it's been poorly maintained, there only needs to be enough nukes to ruin global civilization, and it doesn't take that many. a few hundred, maybe, and back in the day they had thousands.
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Putin's successor is likely to be someone even less securely in power, and thus far less rational. I don't want to test our luck with what's left of the Soviet nuclear arsenal.