Earlier quoted context omitted.
What does it mean to be a skeptic here? Have you tried ChatGPT? Copilot?
Perhaps I should have said "AI hype-skeptic"? I am just not seeing the productivity gains that others claim ITT.
Artificial intelligence is losing hype
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Re: Artificial intelligence is losing hype
#62I've trained as a neuroscientist and written a book about consciousness. I've worked in machine learning and built products for over 20 years and now use AI a fair bit in the ed-tech work we do. So I've seen how the field has progressed and also have been able to look at it from a perspective most AI/engineering people don't -- what does this artificial intelligence look like when compared to biological intelligence.…
I am yet to see any reasoned argument for why it is easy to build real AI and that it will come fast.
As you said, AI has been there for decades and stagnated for pretty much the whole time. We've just had a big leap, but nothing says (except BS hype) that we're not in for a long plateau again.
Re: Artificial intelligence is losing hype
#63This supposed “cycle” has been crazy it’s been about 1.5 years since gpt4 came out, which is really the first generally capable model. I think a lot of this “cycle” is media’s wishful thinking. Humans, especially humans in large bureaucracies, just don't move this quickly. Enterprises have barely had time to dip their toes in. For what it’s worth hype doesn’t mean sustainability anyway. If all the jokers go onto a ne…
I’ve had a lot of corporate clients this year Large and small, entire development teams are completely unaware of the basics of “prompt engineering” for coding, and corporate has an entirely regressive anti-AI policy that doesnt factor in the existence of locally run language models, and just assumes ChatGPT and cloud based ones digesting trade secrets. People arent interested in seeing what the hype is about, and ar…
Re: Artificial intelligence is losing hype
#64Earlier quoted context omitted.
How are you using AI to double your coding productivity? Are you using ChatGPT, or Claude, or GitHub Copilot? I am an AI-skeptic, so I am curious here. Thanks!
I've tried various AI coding solutions and have found at best a mild boost but not the amazing multipliers I hear about online. Copilot gives you some autofill that sometimes can be helpful but often not that helpful. I think the best it did for me was helping with something repetitive where I was editing a big list of things in the same way (like adding an ID to every tag in a list) and it helped take over and finis…
I don’t remember the last time I thought one of its suggestions was useful. For me LSP has been the real game changer.
Re: Artificial intelligence is losing hype
#65Earlier quoted context omitted.
How are you using AI to double your coding productivity? Are you using ChatGPT, or Claude, or GitHub Copilot? I am an AI-skeptic, so I am curious here. Thanks!
I've tried various AI coding solutions and have found at best a mild boost but not the amazing multipliers I hear about online. Copilot gives you some autofill that sometimes can be helpful but often not that helpful. I think the best it did for me was helping with something repetitive where I was editing a big list of things in the same way (like adding an ID to every tag in a list) and it helped take over and finis…
That's why there are a lot of tools that help to setup a proper workflow around these LLMs.
For terminal-based workflow, you can checkout aider or plandex.
For GUI-based workflow, you can try 16x Prompt (I built it).
Re: Artificial intelligence is losing hype
#66I've trained as a neuroscientist and written a book about consciousness. I've worked in machine learning and built products for over 20 years and now use AI a fair bit in the ed-tech work we do. So I've seen how the field has progressed and also have been able to look at it from a perspective most AI/engineering people don't -- what does this artificial intelligence look like when compared to biological intelligence.…
What signs do you see that make you believe that the next level (biological intelligence) is on the horizon?
Re: Artificial intelligence is losing hype
#67Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Seriously I am a 2x coder compared to what I was because of this. You probably shouldn't advertise that.
I am highly skeptical that a competent coder sees a 2x boost.
Re: Artificial intelligence is losing hype
#68I've trained as a neuroscientist and written a book about consciousness. I've worked in machine learning and built products for over 20 years and now use AI a fair bit in the ed-tech work we do. So I've seen how the field has progressed and also have been able to look at it from a perspective most AI/engineering people don't -- what does this artificial intelligence look like when compared to biological intelligence.…
This means you are sure we are close to automated driving, engineering and hospitality?
Re: Artificial intelligence is losing hype
#69I was out at Defcon this year and it was all about AI this, AI that, AI will solve the worlds problems, AI will catch all threats, blah blah blah blah...
I think that’s what people like about AI, it’s hope, maybe you won’t have to learn anything but still be productive. Sounds nice ?
Re: Artificial intelligence is losing hype
#70I've trained as a neuroscientist and written a book about consciousness. I've worked in machine learning and built products for over 20 years and now use AI a fair bit in the ed-tech work we do. So I've seen how the field has progressed and also have been able to look at it from a perspective most AI/engineering people don't -- what does this artificial intelligence look like when compared to biological intelligence.…
> but I am yet to see any reasoned argument for why it is far more difficult and will take far longer I am yet to see any reasoned argument for why it is easy to build real AI and that it will come fast. As you said, AI has been there for decades and stagnated for pretty much the whole time. We've just had a big leap, but nothing says (except BS hype) that we're not in for a long plateau again.