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Microsoft Bets That Fusion Power Is Closer Than Many Think

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Re: Microsoft Bets That Fusion Power Is Closer Than Many Think

#61
post #59

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Construction costs for fission are largely bloated due to safety, activist and political concerns that span the realm of pragmatic and necessary to pure fantasy as well. Aneutronic fusion would (hopefully) bypass a lot of that.

* The safety is massively different than fission because there is no 'run away' reaction. If you turn off the power, fusion will stop. Fission will keep going once started, and can be very dangerous if the cooling system fails. * I do believe the fusion paths Helios is using emit neutrons, which is a big safety concern. Not only is neutron radiation directly deadly to humans, it's also a challenge to maintain contain…

Their combined D-D/D-He3 reaction will emit 6% of its energy as neutron radiation, compared to 80% for D-T. Mostly they'll be lower-energy neutrons, and it's only a 50MW reactor. They don't plan to make it bigger, just to make lots of them.

They're considering doing the D-D reaction in a separate reactor to produce the He3. The D-He3 reaction is purely aneutronic, and while some D-D will still happen, they can tune it so it doesn't happen much. That would mean very little neutron radiation at the power plants.

Re: Microsoft Bets That Fusion Power Is Closer Than Many Think

#62
post #61
post #59

Earlier quoted context omitted.

* The safety is massively different than fission because there is no 'run away' reaction. If you turn off the power, fusion will stop. Fission will keep going once started, and can be very dangerous if the cooling system fails. * I do believe the fusion paths Helios is using emit neutrons, which is a big safety concern. Not only is neutron radiation directly deadly to humans, it's also a challenge to maintain contain…

Their combined D-D/D-He3 reaction will emit 6% of its energy as neutron radiation, compared to 80% for D-T. Mostly they'll be lower-energy neutrons, and it's only a 50MW reactor. They don't plan to make it bigger, just to make lots of them. They're considering doing the D-D reaction in a separate reactor to produce the He3. The D-He3 reaction is purely aneutronic, and while some D-D will still happen, they can tune i…

> The D-He3 reaction is purely aneutronic, and while some D-D will still happen, they can tune it so it doesn't happen much. That would mean very little neutron radiation at the power plants.

Yea. I'm just very curious as to what these numbers look like in practice. Neutrons are essentially waste emissions with their plan, but physics and engineering constrains will determine how much they can tune out D-D reactions.

Re: Microsoft Bets That Fusion Power Is Closer Than Many Think

#63
post #61
post #59

Earlier quoted context omitted.

* The safety is massively different than fission because there is no 'run away' reaction. If you turn off the power, fusion will stop. Fission will keep going once started, and can be very dangerous if the cooling system fails. * I do believe the fusion paths Helios is using emit neutrons, which is a big safety concern. Not only is neutron radiation directly deadly to humans, it's also a challenge to maintain contain…

Their combined D-D/D-He3 reaction will emit 6% of its energy as neutron radiation, compared to 80% for D-T. Mostly they'll be lower-energy neutrons, and it's only a 50MW reactor. They don't plan to make it bigger, just to make lots of them. They're considering doing the D-D reaction in a separate reactor to produce the He3. The D-He3 reaction is purely aneutronic, and while some D-D will still happen, they can tune i…

[deleted]

Re: Microsoft Bets That Fusion Power Is Closer Than Many Think

#64

If we get fusion power and ai and longevity up in next 10-20 years it's going to be nightmare for ordinary people. Yeah, nightmare, not paradise.

Wide adoption of longevity tech is necessary to prevent population collapse. AI also doesn’t seem like it’s going to stay cooped up for long, there’s a solid chance that open source projects beat OpenAI to the punch as well if scaling is no longer productive beyond this point

What population collapse ? And why would longevity-extending techniques help ?

Re: Microsoft Bets That Fusion Power Is Closer Than Many Think

#65
post #58

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Construction costs for fission are largely bloated due to safety, activist and political concerns that span the realm of pragmatic and necessary to pure fantasy as well. Aneutronic fusion would (hopefully) bypass a lot of that.

When it becomes clear that fusion can displace coal those safety, activist and political concerns will immediately pop up again

And any country that chooses to keep using a dirty, unhealthy, more expensive, 250-year-old energy supply over helium-3 fusion will rapidly fall behind.

Re: Microsoft Bets That Fusion Power Is Closer Than Many Think

#66
post #65
post #58

Earlier quoted context omitted.

When it becomes clear that fusion can displace coal those safety, activist and political concerns will immediately pop up again

And any country that chooses to keep using a dirty, unhealthy, more expensive, 250-year-old energy supply over helium-3 fusion will rapidly fall behind.

Ok but that's a different story.

Just look at what's going on with solar https://twitter.com/ArmandDoma/status/1656323112349179907

Yes in theory it should be easy to shut these people up with fusion but historically it hasn't been.

Re: Microsoft Bets That Fusion Power Is Closer Than Many Think

#67

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Fusion releases energy when producing items lighter than iron. It requires energy to create atoms heavier than iron via fusion. It would cost huge amounts of money to produce an ounce of silver or gold that way.

I am not talking about tomorrow. I am talking about the potential of what you can do with the energy density.

Regardless of energy density, creating gold in a fusion reactor will still be more expensive than digging it out of the ground. We are far from exhausting that natural resource.

Re: Microsoft Bets That Fusion Power Is Closer Than Many Think

#68
post #67

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am not talking about tomorrow. I am talking about the potential of what you can do with the energy density.

Regardless of energy density, creating gold in a fusion reactor will still be more expensive than digging it out of the ground. We are far from exhausting that natural resource.

Again yes, but that's not the point. The point is you can't do that with any other energy source.

Re: Microsoft Bets That Fusion Power Is Closer Than Many Think

#70

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I wonder if there's already a paper, or a fictional book, about what happens if someone invents something that makes fossil fuels obsolete within, say, a year. The OPEC countries would suddenly be faced with losing one of their biggest income streams. It would be interesting to speculate... Of course there are different levels of obsolence, all the petrol cars won't disappear, unless someone invents a magic liquid to…

You still need fossil fuels for the chemical industry, transportation, etc. Even if electricity becomes cheap (we can already do that with wind and solar) changing everything else is a huge task.

Transportation is already in the process of shifting. EV cars and trains, obviously, are the present. EV cargo vans are "days away" from the present (especially looking at things like Walmart's massive uptake in EV logistics, but also Amazon and UPS and FedEx's various deals). EV semitrucks are "months away" from the present. Air and sea have the longest lead times and are indeed the furthest behind, but are seeing a lot of pressure to explore cheaper alternatives (and are talking about very interesting electrification ideas and are seeing prototypes and early adopters).
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