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Big red font at top says "EMBARGOED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MARCH 29 00:01 AM EDT. No media coverage & no online linking." I'm sorry but who do these people think they are? Next...
They have 900 signatures already..
"Please stop training these AI" is almost comical, even if they are right and the signers are significant. It would be far more effective to lobby for legislation on, say, liability related to the use of AI, data privacy (especially when it comes to training datasets), psycological manipulation, actual AGI research bounds and so on. They are just burning donator money with messages like that, and the research is not…
Is anyone even trying to develop an AGI by the way? I mean a language model is neat, may even pick up some emergent features, but in the end it has no real identity. It's basically a memoryless computer doing improv where it tries to pick continue a conversation someone else had.
> ... nonhuman minds that might eventually outnumber, outsmart, obsolete and replace us... loss of control of our civilization... I don't think these concerns are very likely, but I find them considerably easier to imagine than a VC-funded company voluntarily surrendering market advantage.
All your datacenter are belong to us too
GPT-4 might be close to the best we'll get on the general LLM model front for a while since they trained on a huge chunk of web text. Next real advances will probably be in tuning them for specific applications in medicine, law, accounting, marketing, coding and etc. As someone running a one man company I can't wait for the cost of accounting, legal and copywriting to approach 0. Cost of shipping products will also g…
Can an AGI be controlled, and if it is, who will dictate its actions and to whom will the benefits accrue. What happens to the service economy and the political stability when the middle class paper pushed get decimated.
Corporations, of course.
Capitalist society has never achieved a consensus on the proper limits of corporate power. There is a school of thought, popularized by Milton Friedman, that says the only duty of corporations is to their stockholders. This is about to backfire. If we treat AIs as a component of corporate power, there are few limits on what they can do.
Changes will come when AI systems start outperforming CEOs. Which may not be far off.
You don't necessarily need jobs because you don't need money. What you need is wealth. I am going to leave it to PG to explain the difference [1]: Wealth is not money. Wealth is stuff we want: food, clothes, houses, cars, gadgets, travel to interesting places, and so on. You can have wealth without having money. If you had a magic machine that could on command make you a car or cook you dinner or do your laundry, or do anything else you wanted, you wouldn't need money. Whereas if you were in the middle of Antarctica, where there is nothing to buy, it wouldn't matter how much money you had.
In the next 10 years, AI/robots will generate wealth at an unprecedented scale. Food, clothing and shelter will be plentiful. The industrial revolution didn't make human lives miserable, it made it better. AI/robots will be the same. Because of productivity gains humans will work very little, and yet live comfortably.
As a practical example of how this works, look to Alaska. If you lived in Alaska last year and had a pulse you received $3,284 just for living there. Where does the state get money for this? Oil. Oil is not the only possible source of wealth. AI & robots will generate wealth at unprecedented scale, and humans will reap the benefits, the same way Alaskans reap the benefits of their natural resources.
The upside of AI if done right - nobody ever having to work again The downside of AI if done wrong - end of humanity
It doesn't take a rocket scientist to determine we've made AIs go from thinking like an ant to thinking like a 6-year-old in a few years. Anybody who believes we won't make AI 2, 3, 27 times smarter than any human who ever lived is kidding themselves.
Now ask yourself, if there was a human that was 27 times smarter than anybody else (and could self-replicate at will), how long would it be until that individual took control over the world?
GPT-4 might be close to the best we'll get on the general LLM model front for a while since they trained on a huge chunk of web text. Next real advances will probably be in tuning them for specific applications in medicine, law, accounting, marketing, coding and etc. As someone running a one man company I can't wait for the cost of accounting, legal and copywriting to approach 0. Cost of shipping products will also g…
I’m not sure I’m looking forward to the politics that would come out of 10-20% of the previously middle class becoming instantly redundant and out of (middle-salary) work. That’s the fast path to fascism, unless we’re able to quickly implement UBI and other major societal overhauls.