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SVB Hall of Shame

svbhallofshame.wordpress.com

61–70 of 307 posts

Re: SVB Hall of Shame

#61
I don't think I agree with this as a mark of "shame". Were these companies wrong to pull money out of SVB when they (correctly) thought the bank might be insolvent or headed for trouble?

Are we celebrating those who left their money in, despite the warnings, when they could have potentially lost it all if the government didn't step in and make an unprecedented promise to honor the deposits? Would that have been "heroic" in some way? I personally don't think so, that seems more like stupidity if the potential consequence is your company losing all it's money and going bankrupt for outside reasons.

SVB as an institution sponsored lobbyists to lobby against regulations meant to keep banks stable, then without those regulations they failed to self-regulate properly and failed massively. That is IMO pretty shameful. But I don't blame any clients of theirs for taking money out when they saw a potential instability. They did not create that instability; that instability created the bank run.

Re: SVB Hall of Shame

#62
post #4

> The board was asleep at the switch. They are now unemployable. That's not really how this works. The CAO of the bank was CFO of Lehman. People in these positions just get credit for the fact that they had a front row seat for this sort of financial implosion, so they can (theoretically) help whoever else's board they join avoid that sort of thing. > But those players within the venture capital community who were si…

> The people in the VC community who triggered the bank run did the right thing by their startups. How do you arrive at this conclusion? Without a run on the bank none of this would have happened.

Once the run started then VCs who had not previously had a negative stance on SVB may have done right by their startups, but yeah not the ones who actually started it in the first place.

Re: SVB Hall of Shame

#63
Banks don't have to issue demand deposit accounts if they want to invest your money while you "loan it to them".

How rude for the contractual obligation of a bank be asked to uphold their end of the deal. thats rude and racist. customers at that bank were real jerks.

Re: SVB Hall of Shame

#64
Why didn't more SVB depositors take advantage of the SVB offering for sweeping cash funds into insured accounts?

https://prospect.org/economy/2023-03-13-silicon-valley-bank-...

> Importantly, SVB was part of the network of cash sweep banks; it had an offer on its website about it. But according to Adam Levitin, there were only $469 million in reciprocal deposits, which is where cash sweep would show up. In other words, almost nobody banking at SVB used them.

Re: SVB Hall of Shame

#65
post #6

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The people in the VC community who triggered the bank run did the right thing by their startups. I don't really have a horse in this race, but: while the above argument makes sense, what about all their future startups? Everyone says nice things about how it was good to have this bank that understood startups and treated them well, and now that is all gone. And no one who had deposits lost their money anyway. It se…

You're right, but it is entirely prisoner's dilemma. The rational decision, when you know you cannot control how others will act, is to minimize the pain. If you saw the HN thread on Thursday, there were founders posting that they were told it will be fine. How do you think they were feeling on Friday? And it is not a personal decision, continuity of business is a pretty big deal. Nobody in the company would forgive…

On Friday I was feeling that Circle/USDC was wrong that those who initiated transfers on Thursday should have them completed even if others with uninsured (above $250K) lost theirs.

From their article:

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.circle.com/blog/an-update-o...

> We have reason to believe that under applicable FDIC policy, transfers initiated prior to a bank entering receivership would have otherwise been processed normally.

In other words it shouldn't be entirely dependent on whether they were in the bank run. Earlier transfers, yeah.

In a bank run situation people were rushing to the bank and tying up the phone lines. Panicking shouldn't be encouraged to such a degree as to make millions of dollars depend on it.

The amount recoverable ended up not depending on whether an SVB customer attempted a late withdrawal. And that's good. I would have expected it even if depositors had to settle for a portion of their funds.

Re: SVB Hall of Shame

#66
post #6

> The board was asleep at the switch. They are now unemployable. That's not really how this works. The CAO of the bank was CFO of Lehman. People in these positions just get credit for the fact that they had a front row seat for this sort of financial implosion, so they can (theoretically) help whoever else's board they join avoid that sort of thing. > But those players within the venture capital community who were si…

> The people in the VC community who triggered the bank run did the right thing by their startups. I don't really have a horse in this race, but: while the above argument makes sense, what about all their future startups? Everyone says nice things about how it was good to have this bank that understood startups and treated them well, and now that is all gone. And no one who had deposits lost their money anyway. It se…

What exactly did SVB do for startups that other banks could not?

Re: SVB Hall of Shame

#67
post #29
post #8

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The bank run seems to have occurred after the insolvency. The bank was appears to have been insolvent (from the currently available information), though they avoided their books showing the fact by having bonds marked as “HTM”. When a bank is insolvent, it’s best to shut it down as soon as possible, to avoid the bank engaging in risky behavior to ‘make back’ the missing money.

Bonds that are HTM would have been profitable. They just weren't sellable for a profit on the open market (at the time they needed to sell them), because their yield was too low. So, as far as I have read, it wasn't until there was a run that they needed to dramatically increase liquidity. With so much of their holding being HTM, they were stuck. The issue was a mismatch in the timeframes (which was the fatal problem…

But Fox News told me it was because they were woke?

Re: SVB Hall of Shame

#68
post #6

> The board was asleep at the switch. They are now unemployable. That's not really how this works. The CAO of the bank was CFO of Lehman. People in these positions just get credit for the fact that they had a front row seat for this sort of financial implosion, so they can (theoretically) help whoever else's board they join avoid that sort of thing. > But those players within the venture capital community who were si…

> The people in the VC community who triggered the bank run did the right thing by their startups. I don't really have a horse in this race, but: while the above argument makes sense, what about all their future startups? Everyone says nice things about how it was good to have this bank that understood startups and treated them well, and now that is all gone. And no one who had deposits lost their money anyway. It se…

Harder to have future startups if your current portfolio dies.

Re: SVB Hall of Shame

#69
post #6

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The people in the VC community who triggered the bank run did the right thing by their startups. I don't really have a horse in this race, but: while the above argument makes sense, what about all their future startups? Everyone says nice things about how it was good to have this bank that understood startups and treated them well, and now that is all gone. And no one who had deposits lost their money anyway. It se…

You're right, but it is entirely prisoner's dilemma. The rational decision, when you know you cannot control how others will act, is to minimize the pain. If you saw the HN thread on Thursday, there were founders posting that they were told it will be fine. How do you think they were feeling on Friday? And it is not a personal decision, continuity of business is a pretty big deal. Nobody in the company would forgive…

>You're right, but it is entirely prisoner's dilemma.

But part of what makes that whole bit of game theory interesting is that it has a lot more complexity then just the simple version. Yes in a plain prisoner's dilemma betray can make sense, but in an iterated prisoner's dilemma that's no longer true. That's been part of the debate around the whole debacle, for much of SV's history it was very much iterated, it wasn't just about any one company for VCs or even founders, there was some interest in the overall ecosystem. Some very successful people only found success after multiple failures, but success could pay for it all in the end. VCs too, maintaining the ecosystem mattered. In that sense, killing the goose laying the golden eggs, even if there is some short term payoff, is still clearly a poor idea.

There was an HN piece sometime in the last few days I think talking about this and speculating/arguing that the rise of unicorns changed the community from iterated towards the more singular game. If it only took a single megahit to cash out forever, then incentives might be more towards selfishness vs thinking about the next company and the next after that.

>If you saw the HN thread on Thursday, there were founders posting that they were told it will be fine. How do you think they were feeling on Friday?

Sure, but how do you think they were feeling Monday? Or now? Zero threat to deposits after all for anyone including those who sat tight, but they lost a valuable service and icon, invited other problems and scrutiny, etc. While I'm sure lots will confidently say they did the right thing and that purely looking out for #1 was "responsible" I suspect there are at least a few who have some real regrets, even if SVB absolutely made very stupid choices as well.

Re: SVB Hall of Shame

#70
Hmm...

If I was a powerful VC I would have shorted the stock and then went to the latest Silicon Valley venture capital social hour event and made a point of mentioning I had with drawn my billions.

This plot right out of Billions.

Since I'm not material investor in SVB, I can't see that this would be a red flag for the SEC?

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