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Nvidia predicts AI models 1,000,000X more powerful than ChatGPT within 10 years

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Re: Nvidia predicts AI models 1,000,000X more powerful than ChatGPT within 10 years

#61

I have a probably really stupid question but I'm going to ask it because I really don't know the answer. What's stopping someone from starting a distributed effort to train an open source ChatGPT model, like Folding@home but for AI? Is it a technical limitation with how models are trained, difficulty of coordination, something else?

The models are extremely large to ship around, sync, and load on consumer hardware over the internet. Maybe there are better ways to build and train a model for a distributed use case though.

[deleted]

Re: Nvidia predicts AI models 1,000,000X more powerful than ChatGPT within 10 years

#62

Translation: nVidia is talking up the hype that can increase its stock price (now that the cryptocurrency hype is over)

Do you think it’s all hype and no substance? Any opinion of how much is hype, and how much is real?

Re: Nvidia predicts AI models 1,000,000X more powerful than ChatGPT within 10 years

#63
post #14

There is not enough written text to scale a model like ChatGPT at even 10x its current parameters, so improvements will have to come from optimizations and/or longer training (at diminishing returns).

GPT-4 Will Have 100 Trillion Parameters — 500x the Size of GPT-3

That is just an internet rumor and officially denied by OpenAI.

Re: Nvidia predicts AI models 1,000,000X more powerful than ChatGPT within 10 years

#64
post #47

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The model that's used by Stable Diffusion is only around ~4 GB in size.

which would make traditional distributed training prohibitively slow. You would have to sync the weights with residential internet speeds (10s of MB/s) instead of PCI-e Speeds (10s of GB/s).

If you want to add new stuff to Stable Diffusion - you don't have to retrain the main model from scratch. You can train it only on a few hundred images at a time and then add the resulting model as an extension or merge it into the main model. People train their models on a single celebrity or a single artist that way.

Other types of AI could be trained in a similar way.

Re: Nvidia predicts AI models 1,000,000X more powerful than ChatGPT within 10 years

#66

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I imagine it could. Something for it to contend with though is that our published media, soap operas, reality tv, so and so, don’t really reflect what we humans are like in real life. They’re caricatures of us.

But instagram/tiktok has real data + you messages, people you know and talk to and listens to you 24/7. If they will be able to predict 1B of humans and social dynamics then I guess it’s enough of training data to basically simulate reality. EDIT: it gives insane “soft” power so pretty sure NSA etc. are working on this

Imagine the power of 1,000,000 tiktok videos! That would really be simulated reality.

Re: Nvidia predicts AI models 1,000,000X more powerful than ChatGPT within 10 years

#67
post #64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

which would make traditional distributed training prohibitively slow. You would have to sync the weights with residential internet speeds (10s of MB/s) instead of PCI-e Speeds (10s of GB/s).

If you want to add new stuff to Stable Diffusion - you don't have to retrain the main model from scratch. You can train it only on a few hundred images at a time and then add the resulting model as an extension or merge it into the main model. People train their models on a single celebrity or a single artist that way. Other types of AI could be trained in a similar way.

Is this amenable to merging from thousands in one go or do you have to train -> merge -> train -> merge to not overwrite each other's trainings?
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