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Fed increases target rate to 3.75-4.00%

federalreserve.gov

61–70 of 183 posts

Re: Fed increases target rate to 3.75-4.00%

#61
post #33

This will do nothing for actually impacting inflation. Instead it will crash the economy. Real inflation seems to be due to price gouging by companies[0], combined with energy increases due to OPEC price fixing [1], and rent increases due to collusion [2] and corporate domination housing market [3]. Jerome Powell had no answers to the Senate Oversight committee when asked how increasing rates would actually reduce th…

No post body was provided.

Re: Fed increases target rate to 3.75-4.00%

#62
post #42
post #33

This will do nothing for actually impacting inflation. Instead it will crash the economy. Real inflation seems to be due to price gouging by companies[0], combined with energy increases due to OPEC price fixing [1], and rent increases due to collusion [2] and corporate domination housing market [3]. Jerome Powell had no answers to the Senate Oversight committee when asked how increasing rates would actually reduce th…

This is the current talking point du-jour of the American progressive left, but I think it's safe to say the Fed knows what they're doing and have done this before.

The "Fed" isn't some apolitical entity. It's lobbied and banks want to crash the economy so their wealthy clients can get in at the bottom.

They have an agenda.

Re: Fed increases target rate to 3.75-4.00%

#63

Not a huge increase. Inflation is under control in the sense it's not rising, but they need to still pull a ton of money out of the economy; or let it ride. Powell's speech doesn't matter at all until we see the results of midterms.

well good news for you then, a year from now they’ll just say inflation rose 2% from November 2022

despite still being 10% above November 2021

and your people will say “we did it guys!”

Re: Fed increases target rate to 3.75-4.00%

#64
post #20

Earlier quoted context omitted.

or it could mean people waste a lot less - we all know in the western world waste is gigantic

Easy to waste less of something you don't have much of.

Starvation because you can't afford enough food in the US is incredibly rare.

Re: Fed increases target rate to 3.75-4.00%

#65

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This affects mortgage rates, but not housing prices. If anything, housing prices should decrease a bit as rates go up, since people tend to buy based on monthly payment which is house price + rate. Therefore, your down payment should be just as effective as it was before, particularly if it's enough to pay for much of the house and keep your monthly payment lower.

This should be happening, but prices do not seem to be falling in-line with what we would expect. I have no answer as to why this is.

There hasn't been enough time. Mortgage rates have only been high (-ish, not really that high historically) for a matter of months. Home sales are down quite a bit, so people are now sitting on houses that are priced at old prices, but are slow to sell because buyers consider it "too much". The sellers will be forced to cut prices to make sales, but that takes a while because it's emotional.

Re: Fed increases target rate to 3.75-4.00%

#66

"I am once again asking for" a common sense explanation for how increasing interest rates will reduce the prices of retail food and gas. (This should be the new Deleuze meme.)

It won't, because the current inflation is supplyside-driven, not expectations-driven. But if we transition to an expectations-driven inflation regime, that's really bad, because it would require much more severe action to bring under control. The Fed is doing this as a preventive measure to keep expectations-driven inflation from taking hold. It sucks, but it's being done to prevent more pain later.

But most measures of demand for durable goods show that it is up.

Re: Fed increases target rate to 3.75-4.00%

#67
post #42
post #33

This will do nothing for actually impacting inflation. Instead it will crash the economy. Real inflation seems to be due to price gouging by companies[0], combined with energy increases due to OPEC price fixing [1], and rent increases due to collusion [2] and corporate domination housing market [3]. Jerome Powell had no answers to the Senate Oversight committee when asked how increasing rates would actually reduce th…

This is the current talking point du-jour of the American progressive left, but I think it's safe to say the Fed knows what they're doing and have done this before.

Ah yes, the almighty Fed which knew exactly what to do in 2020, 2008, 2001, 1990, 1987...

Re: Fed increases target rate to 3.75-4.00%

#70

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This affects mortgage rates, but not housing prices. If anything, housing prices should decrease a bit as rates go up, since people tend to buy based on monthly payment which is house price + rate. Therefore, your down payment should be just as effective as it was before, particularly if it's enough to pay for much of the house and keep your monthly payment lower.

This should be happening, but prices do not seem to be falling in-line with what we would expect. I have no answer as to why this is.

I think partially because housing is inelastic, the demand outweighs the supply. People already in homes would rather not move than sell at a loss, especially those who have a low mortgage rate from the past few years locked in. New homes being built were delayed due to COVID(and now maybe due to interest rates?).

So even with rising rates its moreso a matter of staying stagnant rather than rising more, at least up to a certain point.

At least thats how I've read it explained.

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