Earlier quoted context omitted.
Let's accept this premise (which amounts to essentially "we don't know what we don't know") and I'll ask a natural follow up question: what is the difference between colonizing the Moon and colonizing Mars in terms of problems we'd need to solve and thus technology we'd likely gain?
The ISRU profiles of both bodies are significantly different and Mars has much higher gravity. The Moon is, first and foremost, a weapons platform, and any every competent military sees it as such. There will never be a functioning colony on the Moon until the Earth is unified under a single government. Mars is far enough away that colonization is possible, and the technology needs are so dramatic that we’ll have to…
This just isn't true. To quote Isaac Arthur, "there is no such thing as an unarmed spaceship". Kinetic energy is all the weapon you need.
Any colony on the Moon or Mars would need to be essentially self-sufficient from day one because the cost of getting payloads to eitehr are so vast to be uneconomical.