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Evergrande teeters on edge of default as $148M payment falls due

reuters.com

61–70 of 408 posts

Re: Evergrande teeters on edge of default as $148M payment falls due

#61
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

China has been waging economic warfare via equity markets for a while now. The U.S. hasn’t done anything to protect investors from billions in losses. Totally embarrassing.

The U.S. shouldn't protect investors from the free market? That's the free market at work. Investors are not entitled to be paid. All investments carry risk.

I agree with that, but that didn't happen in 2008.

Re: Evergrande teeters on edge of default as $148M payment falls due

#62
post #44
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

China has been waging economic warfare via equity markets for a while now. The U.S. hasn’t done anything to protect investors from billions in losses. Totally embarrassing.

A) What do you propose the US do? B) Why should the US do anything? If your risk profile when dealing with Chinese companies doesn't include the risk that the CPC will change the rules of the game later to benefit the domestic economy, you're a sucker.

A) I'd suggest that there are a wide variety of options here, reciprocal actions are common in diplomacy, so for instance the US could default on an equal amount of US debt that China holds, or perhaps pass a law that in the case of the bankruptcy of US companies bonds owned by Chinese nationals at any time after the proposal of said law (to avoiding them just selling them) are void.

Of course these options (and probably any other options you imagine) would have pretty wide reaching side effects - to the extent that I'm not even sure they are worth the cost - but they definitely exist.

B) Because transfer of wealth from US investors to China harms US interests, the US government exists to serve US interests and part of that is standing up for their nationals in international trade.

Re: Evergrande teeters on edge of default as $148M payment falls due

#63
post #48

Isn’t $148 million like four meme NFTs? Why would a large company be teetering on the edge for such a small amount of money?

From other articles the issue is that they can't even pay a "meme NFT" ...

If they can't pay that, what can they pay on their 300B in other debts?

Other news sources indicate they don't have money coming in, possibly NONE, the real estate market in China is getting cold... and they have unfinished projects that they already collected money on that require money to complete.

Re: Evergrande teeters on edge of default as $148M payment falls due

#64
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

China has been waging economic warfare via equity markets for a while now. The U.S. hasn’t done anything to protect investors from billions in losses. Totally embarrassing.

The U.S. shouldn't protect investors from the free market? That's the free market at work. Investors are not entitled to be paid. All investments carry risk.

Yes, the CCP changing the rules is “the free market.”

Re: Evergrande teeters on edge of default as $148M payment falls due

#65
post #44
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

China has been waging economic warfare via equity markets for a while now. The U.S. hasn’t done anything to protect investors from billions in losses. Totally embarrassing.

A) What do you propose the US do? B) Why should the US do anything? If your risk profile when dealing with Chinese companies doesn't include the risk that the CPC will change the rules of the game later to benefit the domestic economy, you're a sucker.

A) Fight back by limiting Chinese expansion with US financial influence. Sanctions, etc.

B) The US should do something, because if they don't, China will continue to take advantage of US ineptness. States have powers which investors simply don't have.

Re: Evergrande teeters on edge of default as $148M payment falls due

#66
post #42

Interesting about this is that Evergrande is defaulting only on foreign held debt. Not internal debt after a ccp mandate. If their economy continues its downturn then this precedent would hold for all debt. I would really watch personal funds and investments and insure they dont hold any chinese debt as an asset.

China has been waging economic warfare via equity markets for a while now. The U.S. hasn’t done anything to protect investors from billions in losses. Totally embarrassing.

Wait a second...

How is Evergrande's foreign debt default translate to "waging economic warfare via equity markets"? Of course China is responsible for its own domestic debt, because evergrande borrowed from state-backed banks. Are foreign debters also backed by Chinese government? Are you suggesting Chinese government should take responsibility for foreign investors?

And "for a while"? Name another case remotely matches "economic warfare".

Re: Evergrande teeters on edge of default as $148M payment falls due

#67
post #53
post #44

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A) What do you propose the US do? B) Why should the US do anything? If your risk profile when dealing with Chinese companies doesn't include the risk that the CPC will change the rules of the game later to benefit the domestic economy, you're a sucker.

The government should do everything* to protect me, the citizen. *Except the things that make me confused and angry, even if they benefit other citizens. Welcome to neoliberal hell.

Bashing on neolibs and alt-right isn't going to solve anything.

The problem with politics is the left knows it's not always right.

Re: Evergrande teeters on edge of default as $148M payment falls due

#68

How much exposure does the Western world have to this? My guess would be "not much". It'll sting some emerging market investors, but I don't think you'll see a massive knock-on here.

I think it's more like exposure of Chinese companies from international investors. It's going to be very tough to get fx credit lines for those construction companies from now on.

Re: Evergrande teeters on edge of default as $148M payment falls due

#69
post #55
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

China has been waging economic warfare via equity markets for a while now. The U.S. hasn’t done anything to protect investors from billions in losses. Totally embarrassing.

What is the US supposed to do, prevent anyone from being exposed to this situation? That's a wide ranging / impossible mandate there.

how about not let people invest in companies that are Chinese? since the CCP bans them from being listed anyways, now when you invest in Chinese companies your investing in some fake company in the Bahamas ...

Re: Evergrande teeters on edge of default as $148M payment falls due

#70
post #13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's Lehman-like in that I don't think China will be bailing anyone out. It's not Lehman-like in that the company isn't a tangled octopus in the middle of the financial system. Lots of investors exposed to developing markets will get burned, but I don't think the knock-on effects will be huge.

I think the complicating factor is that the Chinese housing market is where the people of China attempt to have savings. A major housing market panic in China could create a lot of despair and unrest in China.

Which would challenge CCP legitimacy, which would push the CCP to rely on the time tested tactic of blaming someone else and going to war over it.

I really, really hope I'm wrong about that.

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