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The universe is expanding faster than expected

quantamagazine.org

61–70 of 242 posts

Re: The universe is expanding faster than expected

#61
post #12
post #6

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I appreciate your optimism. I tend to be optimistic about the future myself. But there is no law of the universe that everything will work out ok. Only if we make the right decisions as a species and we don't get unlucky. I'm quite apprehensive that the great filter lies ahead - that technology accelerates too rapidly compared to our wisdom and we end up nearly destroying ourselves. We're getting the ability to progr…

What does it mean to not pass the great filter? Humanity or their successor stop existing?

There are multiple explanations for why the sky isnt lit up with radio and laser signals from advanced civilisation. The great filter is one explanation, that there are existential crises or threats that wipe out most civilisations or cause them to collapse to subsistence level. Nuclear war, biological weapons, ecological collapse, paper clip maximising AI, etc.

I once ran a Traveller RPG exploration campaign where one of the systems they visited looked really odd on sensors. Just fuzzy clouds and clumps and ring formations of diffuse metallic debris. It turned out it was all paper clips.

Re: The universe is expanding faster than expected

#62
post #19

One thing that really frustrates me about cosmology, or at least popular science reporting and books, is a particular kind of lack of intellectual rigor. Specifically, even as a layman, it's clear that observation and model are being conflated. Cosmology is a science in the broadest sense of being a field of human knowledge, but it isn't a science the way that, for example, physics is. It would better be described as…

I agree with you here. A phrase that always echoes in my mind when discussing cosmology is "All models are wrong - some models are useful" The farther you venture from the verified useful section of a model (by which I mean - the farther you are from model predications that have been validated with observational evidence), the less you should trust it - ALL MODELS ARE WRONG! And for most sciences - this isn't a huge…

Note that the most distant astronomical object we've observed has a redshift of 11, corresponding to a light travel distance of 13.4Gly. This means that if our models are correct and the universe is indeed about 13.8 billion years old, then we've seen 97% of the universe's history. Including the microwave background in that pushes the number to 99.997%.

Re: The universe is expanding faster than expected

#63
post #42
post #19

One thing that really frustrates me about cosmology, or at least popular science reporting and books, is a particular kind of lack of intellectual rigor. Specifically, even as a layman, it's clear that observation and model are being conflated. Cosmology is a science in the broadest sense of being a field of human knowledge, but it isn't a science the way that, for example, physics is. It would better be described as…

I think observation and model almost necessarily have to be conflated. What we really see is light hitting our retina, or if you want to go one layer further, nerve impulses in our visual cortex. Everything else is model. So if we accept that everything is model, then what you are really advocating is using verbose descriptions in terms of a fairly established model rather than succinct descriptions in a more specula…

Thank you for helping clarify what I'm saying. You've definitely got it right. To elaborate, consider the difference between calculating the distance to a star in the Milky Way using parallax where the model is basically just assume your eyes work plus trigonometry and calculating the distance to other galaxies where far more assumptions are required.

Edit: response from cygx is completely missing the point about control vs selection.

Re: The universe is expanding faster than expected

#64
post #13
post #4

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Don't worry too much about it. In the end, everything will be nearly 0k.

The worry is that not only will we be utterly destroyed, but that the destruction will be so thorough it will blow backward through time erasing all events that ever happened and making it so that we never even lived. That means everything we experience right now didn’t happen, we are just seeing a probability of what could happen but didn’t because it’s all destroyed. These lives mean nothing.

Why is that a worry? I find it absolutely beautiful.

Re: The universe is expanding faster than expected

#65
post #60

A few years ago, a published article suggested an alternative to the universe expanding is increasing mass. Older objects increase their mass and therefore are red shifted. Why is this alternative plausible theory recieving such little attention? Edit: changed mass decay to increase in mass. I misremembered the theory.

But you are the oldest, because every distant object that you see only shows its past. The further, the younger.

Good point. The theory is that mass is increasing not decaying. Here's the paper: https://www.google.com/amp/s/phys.org/news/2013-08-cosmologi...

Re: The universe is expanding faster than expected

#66
post #31
post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No, you are absolutely wrong here. But before I explain why I need to ask a question: are you by chance a young-earth creationist? Because your rhetoric here is very similar to that employed by YECs. (The reason I ask is that my explanation is going to be different if you are not a YEC than if you are.)

I'm engaging in dialectic, not rhetoric. I don't believe rhetoric has a place on this site, at least not from me. Since this is a site dedicated to intellectual curiosity, why don't you please present me with both?

It is important to note that you did not answer the question.

Re: The universe is expanding faster than expected

#67
post #63
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think observation and model almost necessarily have to be conflated. What we really see is light hitting our retina, or if you want to go one layer further, nerve impulses in our visual cortex. Everything else is model. So if we accept that everything is model, then what you are really advocating is using verbose descriptions in terms of a fairly established model rather than succinct descriptions in a more specula…

Thank you for helping clarify what I'm saying. You've definitely got it right. To elaborate, consider the difference between calculating the distance to a star in the Milky Way using parallax where the model is basically just assume your eyes work plus trigonometry and calculating the distance to other galaxies where far more assumptions are required. Edit: response from cygx is completely missing the point about con…

Which is no different in other branches of physics: Have you ever seen a quark?

If you have a model that makes testable predictions, it's science. Cosmology is not only science, but physics, making your original comment contrasting the two kind of nonsensical...

Re: The universe is expanding faster than expected

#68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is because information in your brain is constrained by physics. It takes tangible time for signals to travel between neurons. When you're young, you're small, and the distances are shorter. As you age, you grow in size, and the signal length grows also. Thus as you grow you literally think slower; though hopefully, more effectively (wisdom). Your perception of time changes accordingly.

What you wrote has no basis in reality whatsoever. In fact, nerve conduction is slower in children than adults due to underdeveloped myelination.

My flippant guess would be that time perception changing with age would be related to the NMDA receptor. NMDA receptor function decreases with age[0]. My personal anecdotal experience with NMDAR antagonists is that it feels like the `Turbo` mode on old IBM compatibles[1] -- i.e. downclocking. And the slower you process, the faster the world seems to move around you.

[0]: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3181613/

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turbo_button

Re: The universe is expanding faster than expected

#69

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is because information in your brain is constrained by physics. It takes tangible time for signals to travel between neurons. When you're young, you're small, and the distances are shorter. As you age, you grow in size, and the signal length grows also. Thus as you grow you literally think slower; though hopefully, more effectively (wisdom). Your perception of time changes accordingly.

I'd say that subjective passage of time is more related to the amount of time you've lived. When a year is 10% of your total lifetime, it seems a lot longer than when it's 2% of your lifetime.

I always took it as the number of new experiences you’re having. A work week might feel slower than a vacation week in the moment, but vacations tend to be more memorable. It’s shocking how much stuff you can pack into a few memorable days while months blur together.

Re: The universe is expanding faster than expected

#70
post #62

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I agree with you here. A phrase that always echoes in my mind when discussing cosmology is "All models are wrong - some models are useful" The farther you venture from the verified useful section of a model (by which I mean - the farther you are from model predications that have been validated with observational evidence), the less you should trust it - ALL MODELS ARE WRONG! And for most sciences - this isn't a huge…

Note that the most distant astronomical object we've observed has a redshift of 11, corresponding to a light travel distance of 13.4Gly. This means that if our models are correct and the universe is indeed about 13.8 billion years old, then we've seen 97% of the universe's history. Including the microwave background in that pushes the number to 99.997%.

....no?

We have a sampling of data from 99.997% of the timeline — but the sample itself is extremely sparse.

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