This has been obvious for months -- Romer has been yelling from the rooftops about it -- and yet no major western govt save the Brits have attempted to even try this strategy. Madness.
Because the more effective and proven strategy is to simply pay businesses and people to lockdown. It has been effectively eliminated in both Australia and NZ this way. And the impact to the economy is significant but it's turning out to be far less severe than the rest of the world and their on/off again strategy.
Frequent, rapid testing could turn national Covid-19 tide within weeks
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Re: Frequent, rapid testing could turn national Covid-19 tide within weeks
#62Earlier quoted context omitted.
No, that's exactly my point. Even if it went according to your best possible plan, all you do is reset it back to Jan 2019. Or did you mean we're all going to do daily testing and contact tracing forever?
I mean daily testing until we have two weeks of zero cases. Worldwide (or mandatory two weeks isolated quarantine at customs). This is what new Zealand did, so it is possible, but it is logically very hard for anyone not an isolated island.
Re: Frequent, rapid testing could turn national Covid-19 tide within weeks
#63Earlier quoted context omitted.
I mean daily testing until we have two weeks of zero cases. Worldwide (or mandatory two weeks isolated quarantine at customs). This is what new Zealand did, so it is possible, but it is logically very hard for anyone not an isolated island.
Worldwide with quarantines from customs is virtually impossible. Customs can't stop human or cocaine trafficking from making it into the country, much less undocumented immigration. All you need is a half dozen sick people who are trying to hide from the authorities, and you're back to square one. Most countries are not islands.