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Hong Kong mourns the end of its way of life

nationalgeographic.com

61–70 of 288 posts

Re: Hong Kong mourns the end of its way of life

#61
post #2

"Way of life"? Way to trivialize their loss of freedom and autonomy and habeas corpus .

"way of life" is a specific piece of terminology used in Article 5 of the Basic Law of Hong Kong which is why it's often referred in this way.

The exact wording is "The socialist system and policies shall not be practised in the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, and the previous capitalist system and way of life shall remain unchanged for 50 years."

Re: Hong Kong mourns the end of its way of life

#62
post #54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The best predictor for future behavior is past behavior: China is testing the waters, in some cases in a quite literal sense (South China Sea), and you're correct that how the world reacts to Hong Kong and the Xinjiang "re-education camps" will be seen as a vital piece of information in the future when deciding on how to proceed with other "problematic" regions: for example Taiwan, which in the case where strong-armi…

You forgot that Chinese invasion on Indian borders left some 50+ people killed just 3 months ago. You can't give a pass by saying "They're just testing waters". Everything in war is testing waters.

I'm not "giving them a pass" for anything, that's your interpretation of what I wrote.

Re: Hong Kong mourns the end of its way of life

#63

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Money & power are greater than protesting/democracy is what people are waking up to. It's been that way since forever but a lot of dogma keeps people docile to the idea that change is made from the "people" instead of a few elect individuals by birth with circumstances of wealth and power.

If the broad population decides you’re done; you’re done. Doesn’t matter what wealth or power you think you’ve got.

This is not true at all.

Lobbying has more power in congress than actual voting does.

Re: Hong Kong mourns the end of its way of life

#64
post #9
post #5

The rest of the world needs to wake up and realize that China is not messing around. There will be a long list of Hong Kong’s if we continue to look the other way to authoritarian regimes.

US administration repeatedly failed to honour quite a number of defence treaties as of lately.

The US has a long history of failed honouring of international laws. Why should they honour any treaties? There are not many countries that are allowed to support coups against elected leaders of one country with impunity, or are allowed to kill people in other countries by drone, or force other countries to implement their sanctions. With their actions in the Middle East, South America or Kosovo they have provided the blueprints according to which Russia and China now act. What is the status of the sanctions against Saudi Arabia for the assassination of Khashoggi? Are there no more, right? You don't read about Raif Badawi anymore. Because we and our allies are the good ones. It is this hypocrisy that has brought us today's problems in the first place

Re: Hong Kong mourns the end of its way of life

#65

Earlier quoted context omitted.

War happens and is almost continually necessary to keep abusive and hurtful groups at bay. Go fight somewhere else when necessary/appropriate, or the the fight will come to you eventually. These are broad brush strokes, I know, but the principle holds true across the centuries.

Not an easy decision to make, when nuclear weapon exists. And that "somewhere else" --- wherever that is --- is someone's home. Please don't say it as if it's a duel in the wilderness.

I think war can still go on between nuclear armed nations - Tradional naval war happens in a localized region whereas the nuke option with current ICBMs is a complete and utter destruction of the country. Imagine 200 ICMBs landing in the US or China. So, I think this would be the last resort and not the first.

Nuclear deterrance works when one party is actually suicidal and weak (North Korea), because if they smell blood, it will be serious. It doesn't work when both states are on equal footing - neither one is going to push the red button when there are other options to solve the disputes such as traditional skirmishes.

Re: Hong Kong mourns the end of its way of life

#66
post #24
post #5

The rest of the world needs to wake up and realize that China is not messing around. There will be a long list of Hong Kong’s if we continue to look the other way to authoritarian regimes.

In the last decade : - Russia annexed Crimea; - Turkey took control of most of the Syrian land across its borders; - Israel continuously colonised bits of Palestinian land; - China is now taking political control of Hong Kong; - UAE forces tool over the Socotra Islands; The West's reactions so far have been ranging from ineffectual economic sanctions to completely ignoring it. I would expect similar "annexations" by…

This is comparing apples and oranges.

Hongkong is a Chinese territory that was annexed by a European colonial power then handed back (so pretty much exactly what the US want to see, right?). China is not annexing any foreign territory, it's managing its territory the way it sees fit. The aim of making noise is to create trouble for the Chinese government, it's a cynical, but classic, game with HK used as pawn because, of course, the West does not actually generously care about HK, they have 'friends' who manage their countries in the same way or worse.

Crimea is objectionable because of the method used. But no-one is willing to make too much noise because it's Russia, sure, but also because everyone knows that Crimea was Russian territory until the 1950s when it was moved to Ukraine by the USSR and because the majority of the population is Russian and quite happy with being back in Russia. When the time is right for everyone to save face and get something this will be accepted and everyone will move on.

On the other hand Turkey has indeed very plainly invaded a foreign country. But they are good friends of ours (well... at least still friends strategically). Arguably the same goes for Israel.

Re: Hong Kong mourns the end of its way of life

#68

Does anyone here have an informed opinion on what will happen to Taiwan?

Did an MBA in Hong Kong, just finished earlier this year. A lot of my classmates are mainland Chinese. Bunch of them would regularly talk with each other and say that military action was the only way to resolve the situation, China needs to send its military to Taiwan and overrun the Taiwanese defenses quickly. Baffles my mind that they're so ready to default to war.

Some other mainland Chinese people are more nuanced in their thoughts. I have no idea about population percentages for opinions. But this a world-class top 20 MBA school, and had one undergraduate student die while protesting (fell off a building). Bunch of these classmates are educated with masters degrees from American universities. If they default to war, I'm a bit concerned, I'd expect them to see more nuance in the world. For them, it's not really war of course, as Taiwan was always theirs in the first place in their eyes. Any foreign interference in the matter is a slap in the face of Chinese sovereignty, was the same for Hong Kong.

Hong Kong is a difficult situation because the entire world agrees that Hong Kong belongs to China. Taiwan is difficult in that most of the world has agreed that Taiwan belongs to China, that is the crux of the One China policy that China forces all countries to agree to if they want to have diplomatic and trade relations with China. If you break with the One China policy, you break diplomatic and trade relations with China. Don't see most countries willing to take that step. Big game of chicken.

For what it's worth, the Chinese government's official stance is that military action is a last resort option only if diplomatic negotiations fail.

Re: Hong Kong mourns the end of its way of life

#69

What has happened to Hong Kong is a strong canary-in-the-coal-mine indicator for other Chinese territorial disputes [i]. With Hong Kong it was somewhat inevitable but I can't help but imagine how different it would be if the US and EU/Britain (as leads) would have strongly denounced their approach. I suspect in a decade from now the West will be lamenting how Hong Kong was the right opportunity to stifle China's ambi…

We can no longer say "the west" and expect a unified response - brexit, the constant attacks on member nations of NATO by Trump, The Iran deal that Europe still backs but the US doesn't.

There's a reason Russia and China are bold right now.

EDIT: I get it, it's politically charged, but I remind everyone to discuss, rather than downvote, based on your own political opinion.

Re: Hong Kong mourns the end of its way of life

#70
post #30

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This probably implies violence/war. Not many want violence these days.

War happens and is almost continually necessary to keep abusive and hurtful groups at bay. Go fight somewhere else when necessary/appropriate, or the the fight will come to you eventually. These are broad brush strokes, I know, but the principle holds true across the centuries.

Sounds like the justifications for the Iraq wars.
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