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Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

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61–70 of 278 posts

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#61

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Oh well, those banks should have had a backup plan

The backup plan is state money.

No. The backup plan is to screw the people. Slash interest rates, eliminate fractional reserve requirements, and buy corporate bonds and securities.

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#62

Man, with (currently) four comments mentioning that this is "what bankruptcy is for", I think the point of the article might have been missed. This isn't some sneaky "one weird trick", and that's not the reason Bloomberg is reporting on it. In fact, the tone of the article to me is, "yup, companies do it all the time, but..." And the "but" is: But the moves threaten to upend huge swaths of the real estate market and…

I would have assumed malls were already on the out prior to COVID - I assume this is just accelerating the timeline? I think every mall the knew of growing up and in college is no more except for the largest (Kind of Prussia). Did your Malls usage also include stripmalls?

Have a look at the chart a the bottom article. Looks it was going down about 5% per quarter during last year.

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#63

I wonder how Apple will respond if malls start collapsing. (I’ve heard rumor that) they pay just pennies on the dollar for their store leases because they draw so much foot traffic to the malls. I can’t imagine them keeping stores open in the middle of a nearly empty mall, but I’ve only ever seen pictures of an Apple store that wasn’t in a mall or strip mall.

My guess would be they’d move their mall based stores to better locations. They have a lot of non-mall stores to use as examples, including every one of their flagship stores.

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Everyone still wants to live in cities. Firms want to settle in cities. If shops close, it wont change much.

If the shops close, do people still want to live in cities? Isn't that part of the point of living in a city - that you have all these businesses easily within reach?

It's the jobs. People didn't migrate from rural to urban in the last several hundred years because they wanted the shops, they went where the highest concentration of jobs were. Moving to a rural area won't help people find jobs.

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#65

Man, with (currently) four comments mentioning that this is "what bankruptcy is for", I think the point of the article might have been missed. This isn't some sneaky "one weird trick", and that's not the reason Bloomberg is reporting on it. In fact, the tone of the article to me is, "yup, companies do it all the time, but..." And the "but" is: But the moves threaten to upend huge swaths of the real estate market and…

isn't that the point of capitalism, the fit live the poor die? Let the poor malls die, if their business model fails. We shouldn't force a failed business to last longer than society needs it to, otherwise that's something beyond capitalism.

In a situation like this, capitalism hits its limits. Don’t get me wrong, Im a thorough going capitalist. To me it’s simply a consequence of respecting individual freedoms and individual property rights. The rest of capitalism flows from those two principles.

In this situation though, when there is a threat to society as a whole either military or natural, there’s a legitimate role for society to pull together and coordinate our actions. That’s what government is for. All societies can benefit from consensus and leadership, especially in situations like this.

If their business model really fails, then fine, that’s because there’s enough value in alternative providers that these ones are no longer needed. However in temporary crises it’s possible that the process of dissolving businesses can leave a gap in the provision of valuable or even vital services that the market cannot fill fast enough. Markets are incredibly powerful, but they aren’t omniscient or omnipotent.

This is why although I’m a believing capitalist, I think there is a role for regulation and even bailouts in extraordinary circumstances. I’ll even extend that to individuals, a crisis can hit any of us just as it can hit a business. I don’t see that necessarily as socialism, just good management when done judiciously and proportionately. Ultimately it’s about fairness and good outcomes. I’ve no time for ideologies.

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#66

Man, with (currently) four comments mentioning that this is "what bankruptcy is for", I think the point of the article might have been missed. This isn't some sneaky "one weird trick", and that's not the reason Bloomberg is reporting on it. In fact, the tone of the article to me is, "yup, companies do it all the time, but..." And the "but" is: But the moves threaten to upend huge swaths of the real estate market and…

On the other hand: what would they go do about it then? It the business fails it fails. It's not like you can pretend it is not failing and have them pay rent with their non-existent money.

Germany is proving that you can do that. Businesses are not required to file for bankruptcy anymore (because of covid), they can just pretend everything is fine and their banks do not need do depreciate their debt. Bubble alert is buzzing louder every day. If that exemption law will not be prolonged after end of September interesting things will probably follow

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#67

Man, with (currently) four comments mentioning that this is "what bankruptcy is for", I think the point of the article might have been missed. This isn't some sneaky "one weird trick", and that's not the reason Bloomberg is reporting on it. In fact, the tone of the article to me is, "yup, companies do it all the time, but..." And the "but" is: But the moves threaten to upend huge swaths of the real estate market and…

> Malls are going to start becoming ghost towns

... even more.

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#68
post #50

Man, with (currently) four comments mentioning that this is "what bankruptcy is for", I think the point of the article might have been missed. This isn't some sneaky "one weird trick", and that's not the reason Bloomberg is reporting on it. In fact, the tone of the article to me is, "yup, companies do it all the time, but..." And the "but" is: But the moves threaten to upend huge swaths of the real estate market and…

Oh no, not the poor poor commercial real estate developers! Anyway all the malls died like decades ago. Have you been to a mall lately? As far as I can tell the only people who go are folks engaged in drug transactions and busloads of tourists from SE Asia.

Sadly the RE people will be fine. They were sitting on a lot of cash, and they're now converting retail spaces into high-tech distribution centers.

The people who will be screwed are retail workers.

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#69

Man, with (currently) four comments mentioning that this is "what bankruptcy is for", I think the point of the article might have been missed. This isn't some sneaky "one weird trick", and that's not the reason Bloomberg is reporting on it. In fact, the tone of the article to me is, "yup, companies do it all the time, but..." And the "but" is: But the moves threaten to upend huge swaths of the real estate market and…

Malls being ghost towns is a side story. After the 2008 residential MBS crash, as I understand it, a lot of that money moved to the then relatively stable commercial MBS market. If that market goes toes up in turn, with this...

(That hasn't been in the news for a few months, so I had to look around for some perspectives. Cf. https://daily.jstor.org/the-commercial-real-estate-markets-i... and, perhaps more controversially, https://www.propublica.org/article/whistleblower-wall-street..., suggesting that some of the same practices that turned the residential market into a crash-in-waiting may have been applied in the commercial market as well.)

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#70
post #50

Man, with (currently) four comments mentioning that this is "what bankruptcy is for", I think the point of the article might have been missed. This isn't some sneaky "one weird trick", and that's not the reason Bloomberg is reporting on it. In fact, the tone of the article to me is, "yup, companies do it all the time, but..." And the "but" is: But the moves threaten to upend huge swaths of the real estate market and…

Oh no, not the poor poor commercial real estate developers! Anyway all the malls died like decades ago. Have you been to a mall lately? As far as I can tell the only people who go are folks engaged in drug transactions and busloads of tourists from SE Asia.

This isn't just malls. This is concerning ALL retail/commercial real estate, a lot of which has still been heavily used.

Behind this is a lot of overvalued debt, which is at risk. Large institutions essentially treat this debt like dollars and have a bunch of their holding spread across a bunch of mortgage-backed securities such as these. Effectively, debt needs to be written off, and as such, "dollars" will disappear. This could result in some serious deflation.

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