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Amazon.com Announces Second Quarter Sales Up 20%

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Re: Amazon.com Announces Second Quarter Sales Up 20%

#61
post #60
post #57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Growing 20% at Amazon's size is why the stock is worth so much. Almost all companies have slowed down long before this point. Amazon is still growing like a late stage startup. It's really a remarkable feat.

Are Facebook, Google, Microsoft also still considered late stage Startups? FB Growth 28% YoY, P/E 26.51, Mkt Cap 573B GOOG Growth 19% YoY, P/E 25.90, Mkt Cap 788B MSFT Growth 12%, P/E 27.69, Mkt Cap 1.07T They all have a much more reasonable P/E. Agreed that it's harder to achieve growth from a massive base, but they're also priced from being able to continue doing so much better than their competitors.

It's pretty meaningless to look at P/E for tech companies and compare it to a retail company.

But for those companies it's also pretty impressive, market beating growth.

Re: Amazon.com Announces Second Quarter Sales Up 20%

#62
post #11

Proof I have no idea how the stock market works: “Wow, that’s insane, their stock must have popped back over 2k because of this news!” checks ticker “Down 2.5% after hours...?”

As always, it's due to the results being below Wall St estimates that are already priced into the stock which is still trading at an insanely expensive 100 P/E ratio.

This is an important point. The stock market doesn't try to reward companies with higher share prices, it tries to find the correct price and stabilize there.

If your company is expected to do well, that performance is already built into your stock price. Doing exactly as well as expected, even if you've doubled your profits, won't cause your share prices to change at all. Because everyone already expected you to do that, so they were willing to pay more money to own your stock even before the official news.

The only thing that changes the stock market drastically is a surprise.

Re: Amazon.com Announces Second Quarter Sales Up 20%

#63
post #61
post #60

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Are Facebook, Google, Microsoft also still considered late stage Startups? FB Growth 28% YoY, P/E 26.51, Mkt Cap 573B GOOG Growth 19% YoY, P/E 25.90, Mkt Cap 788B MSFT Growth 12%, P/E 27.69, Mkt Cap 1.07T They all have a much more reasonable P/E. Agreed that it's harder to achieve growth from a massive base, but they're also priced from being able to continue doing so much better than their competitors.

It's pretty meaningless to look at P/E for tech companies and compare it to a retail company. But for those companies it's also pretty impressive, market beating growth.

> It's pretty meaningless to look at P/E for tech companies and compare it to a retail company.

Tech stocks usually have higher P/E's than retailers, but for comparison here are the P/E Ratios of the world's largest retailers:

    WMT 38.8
    COST 34.33
    KG 9.24
    WBA 10.75
    HD 21.73
    TGT 15.39

Re: Amazon.com Announces Second Quarter Sales Up 20%

#64
post #27
post #11

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As always, it's due to the results being below Wall St estimates that are already priced into the stock which is still trading at an insanely expensive 100 P/E ratio.

Price/Sales is 4.01, lower than GOOG, FB or MSFT. They are going for growth, not profit. No valuation metric is perfect, but P/E is particularly useless for this company.

PEG

EDIT: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PEG_ratio

Re: Amazon.com Announces Second Quarter Sales Up 20%

#65
post #30
post #27

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Price/Sales is 4.01, lower than GOOG, FB or MSFT. They are going for growth, not profit. No valuation metric is perfect, but P/E is particularly useless for this company.

They're not a Startup, they've been "going for growth" for a 1/4 of a century, eventually you need to make a profit to justify your Market Cap. Just because profit isn't a goal for AMZN doesn't mean it's not a vital financial metric.

I don't understand why companies don't just let there stock price fall. This makes no material difference to the operating of the company, right?

Re: Amazon.com Announces Second Quarter Sales Up 20%

#66
post #63
post #61

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's pretty meaningless to look at P/E for tech companies and compare it to a retail company. But for those companies it's also pretty impressive, market beating growth.

> It's pretty meaningless to look at P/E for tech companies and compare it to a retail company. Tech stocks usually have higher P/E's than retailers, but for comparison here are the P/E Ratios of the world's largest retailers: WMT 38.8 COST 34.33 KG 9.24 WBA 10.75 HD 21.73 TGT 15.39

Yes, but now look at their growth as well and you'll understand Amazon's valuation is not wholly out of line.

Re: Amazon.com Announces Second Quarter Sales Up 20%

#67
post #30

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They're not a Startup, they've been "going for growth" for a 1/4 of a century, eventually you need to make a profit to justify your Market Cap. Just because profit isn't a goal for AMZN doesn't mean it's not a vital financial metric.

I don't understand why companies don't just let there stock price fall. This makes no material difference to the operating of the company, right?

Rising stock price is helpful for retaining high value employees that are compensated with stock

Re: Amazon.com Announces Second Quarter Sales Up 20%

#68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't understand why companies don't just let there stock price fall. This makes no material difference to the operating of the company, right?

Rising stock price is helpful for retaining high value employees that are compensated with stock

I guess. You could just pay them more though.

Re: Amazon.com Announces Second Quarter Sales Up 20%

#69
post #66
post #63

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> It's pretty meaningless to look at P/E for tech companies and compare it to a retail company. Tech stocks usually have higher P/E's than retailers, but for comparison here are the P/E Ratios of the world's largest retailers: WMT 38.8 COST 34.33 KG 9.24 WBA 10.75 HD 21.73 TGT 15.39

Yes, but now look at their growth as well and you'll understand Amazon's valuation is not wholly out of line.

> Yes, but now look at their growth as well and you'll understand Amazon's valuation is not wholly out of line.

Then please lay out your understanding of what justifies AMZN's price in your eyes as you've yet to quote a single figure.

The only reason why WMT's P/E is so high (and their Market Cap doubled in since 2016) is because of their success in their e-commerce business which saw 37% growth YoY.

You've been saying AMZN is a retail business whose financials can't be compared to Tech stocks which is clearly untrue, AMZN's retail business is less than 1/2 the size of Walmart yet they're worth 3x more who would've been worth even more if they didn't give out dividends which AMZN can't dream of doing at their current valuation.

Re: Amazon.com Announces Second Quarter Sales Up 20%

#70

What a life, sales are up 20% and there are frowns all around...

Obviously not literally what happened, but selling a dollar for 90 cents would help boost the sales figures but hurt the bottom line. Sales alone doesn't tell the whole story.
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