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Google and Facebook are monopolies. Does it matter? [audio]

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Re: Google and Facebook are monopolies. Does it matter? [audio]

#61
post #14

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Agreed, I made a similar point recently[1], that a monopoly should be judged by lock-in, not by raw market percentage, which is an arbitrary measure anyway; no one cares that I have a monopoly on SilasX-labor. What matters is whether it's hard for others to offer alternatives to SilasX-labor and whether buyers can switch to that alternative. In that sense, you should worry about monopolies on OSes or rail routes, whi…

> a monopoly should be judged by lock-in, not by raw market percentage Monopolies are predominantly, in anti-trust law, judged by market (pricing) power, not raw market percentage. This directly relates to whether there is effective competition in the market—which may be slightly different than your question of whether buyers can switch to an alternative; it is more whether the alternative(s) are empirically substitu…

>Monopolies are predominantly, in anti-trust law, judged by market (pricing) power, not raw market percentage.

In theory sure. In practice, explain the Whole Foods/Wild Oats case, in which Trader Joe's/Albertson's/etc could start carrying the goods overnight.

>This directly relates to whether there is effective competition in the market—which may be slightly different than your question of whether buyers can switch to an alternative; it is more whether the alternative(s) are empirically substitutes rather than parallel non-substituting markets, whether or not buyers are able to switch.

My point is that there can be "effective competition" even if there are zero competitors at the moment; what matters is whether someone could come online and compete away the excessive profits, so you can't just look at the current competitors.

That's the point of toy example: there is zero alternative to me for SilasX-labor. You should not thereby conclude that there is "ineffective competition".

Re: Google and Facebook are monopolies. Does it matter? [audio]

#62
post #3

If they are, they are not a traditional monopolies. Traditional monopolies "control supply of a good or service, and where the entry of new producers is prevented or highly restricted." In this case, the supply of a good or service (social networking, webpage indexing and searching) are not controlled by Facebook and Google because they aren't finite resources. Anyone can index the web and anyone can build a social n…

Is this just not an network effects and lock-in?

Re: Google and Facebook are monopolies. Does it matter? [audio]

#63
post #60
post #49

The comments in social media related to the issue get repeatedly stuck into the term monopoly usually in the title in the article. This happens again and again. Please everyone. Get over it. The context is monopoly power, market failures, unfair competition and antitrust law. Networked plaform technologies are very different from traditional monopolies: zero price, increasing returns, imperfect competition, spillover…

This view of "traditional monopolies" isn't actually that traditional. From the end of the Gilded Age to through the LBJ administration, antitrust law was focused on reducing market concentration, barriers of entry, and anti-competitive behavior. Only in the 60's did Robert Bork and the Chicago School start to chip away at this way of thinking. By the end of the Reagan administration, Bork's idea that a firm is only…

There are two problems. Enforcing good old-fashioned antitrust system has effectively stopped and there is no new solutions to new problems.

Re: Google and Facebook are monopolies. Does it matter? [audio]

#64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Traditional monopolies "control supply of a good or service, and where the entry of new producers is prevented or highly restricted." It might not be prevented or restricted in the traditional sense, but the barrier to relevant market share has become nearly impossible to cross. The alternatives you cite, besides maybe DDG, aren't serious contenders to Google or Facebook. Now, perhaps they would be if people paid t…

The reason Google remains market dominant is because nobody is offering alternatives that the larger consumer market cares about, including DDG. People are more than willing to sell themselves to advertisers for a good experience, and that's exactly what Google provides. If some search engine came and produced vastly superior results to Google, people would absolutely switch. That's how Google came to power in the fi…

> If some search engine came and produced vastly superior results to Google, people would absolutely switch.

True, although that's unlikely to happen any time soon. (then again, how can we really predict any of this)

> That's how Google came to power in the first place: their results were just better.

That was also back when the barrier to entry was much lower, and there was a lot of low-hanging fruit for Google to pick both in search and other areas.

Let's say that someone today manages to get enough money and talent to build something that is at least equivalent to Google: I think people will overwhelmingly stick with Google because of the brand recognition and because "everyone else uses it." As both services would be free to use, there's nothing to force people to closely consider what merits their dollars will be spent on. Google could be highly censored and totally corrupt in other ways, but people will continue to use it because, as their wallets aren't being punished or used for nefarious purposes, they'll be willing to put up with seemingly benign abuse that they feel they have no part in perpetuating.

This is one reason why, even though I am not against advertising in and of itself, I despise what the state of digital advertising has done to the web and the world depending on it. And, as you stated, Google's advertising platform enables them to have many tentacles without the inherent need to own other companies; instead, they can have individuals businesses they don't own depend on their applications funded by ad revenue, making it a tremendously difficult choice for policy makers to split them up.

Re: Google and Facebook are monopolies. Does it matter? [audio]

#65
post #3

If they are, they are not a traditional monopolies. Traditional monopolies "control supply of a good or service, and where the entry of new producers is prevented or highly restricted." In this case, the supply of a good or service (social networking, webpage indexing and searching) are not controlled by Facebook and Google because they aren't finite resources. Anyone can index the web and anyone can build a social n…

I am not sure what you are referring to by a "traditional" monopoly. Your definition, "control supply of a good or service, and where the entry of new producers is prevented or highly restricted," sounds like the definition of any monopoly which seemingly covers Facebook and Google.

Monopolies are extreme examples of lack of competition in a market. One way non-competitive market equilibriums occur are when barriers to entry for potential competitors rises.

For Facebook and Google, the market externality that contributes to their monopoly-like market power is known as the Network effect (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Network_effect). This effect was first observed with the rise of the Bell System which ultimately required anti-monopoly intervention (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Breakup_of_the_Bell_System).

For Facebook, the network externality is a bit more straightforward since it is a first order effect in that new users looking to adopt or join a social network choose to join the one which has the most other users they are interested in (typically friends, but could also be public figures). This tendency becomes a self-reinforcing trend as more and more users join the single largest network. This dominance in users attracts advertisers which are the primary source of revenue for Companies whose primary product is a social network.

For Google, it's also an information play. The more users they can have an interaction with the more data they can scrape to feed their advertising engines. Once again, advertisers are incentivised to pay the best/biggest data troves which gives Google the ability to invest even more in providing and improving services to attract users. Which again, becomes a self-reinforcing cycle.

I wouldn't say that user loyalty/user's reticence for change is not a contributing factor, I think it is; I just don't think it would be correct to say Google and Facebook aren't the beneficiaries of monopoly-like market equilibriums. It's a stretch to call them true monopolies (actual singular market suppliers), but their market control and power are rapidly approaching, if not already equal to or greater than, that of historical examples of monopolies and targets of anti-trust legislation.

Re: Google and Facebook are monopolies. Does it matter? [audio]

#66

What matter are laws that are making harder to compete with them. Thanks to GDPR, you’ll probably never see a fb competitor emerge in Europe for example.

The argument they made in support of GDPR for reducing monopolies was pretty strong.

Re: Google and Facebook are monopolies. Does it matter? [audio]

#67

I'm old enough to remember when IBM was the unbreakable monopolist that would rule the computer industry forever. Then Microsoft was the unbreakable monopolist that would rule the computer industry forever. Now it's apparently FAANG. Just the fact that we have five monopolists should be enough to show thinking people that it's not a monopoly situation, if history isn't convincing enough.

> Then Microsoft was the unbreakable monopolist that would rule the computer industry forever

If Microsoft controller browsers, would Facebook and Google and Amazon and Netflix have had the neutral ground on which to grow and thrive?

Re: Google and Facebook are monopolies. Does it matter? [audio]

#68
post #3

If they are, they are not a traditional monopolies. Traditional monopolies "control supply of a good or service, and where the entry of new producers is prevented or highly restricted." In this case, the supply of a good or service (social networking, webpage indexing and searching) are not controlled by Facebook and Google because they aren't finite resources. Anyone can index the web and anyone can build a social n…

"Datapoly" For me, the reason they have such power in the marketplace is because they have the historical data on all these users. "Lock-in" can be overcome. Technical capabilities can be bettered by other companies, but when it comes to training sets, it's hard to start late...

IT's also the interactions. Think "likes" and website visits. All of which is packaged up and sold to advertisers.

Re: Google and Facebook are monopolies. Does it matter? [audio]

#69
At this point, Google in many cases offers the best service: DuckDuckGo is good, but Google is better. It is so good that it indexes the CIA's stuff: https://thehill.com/opinion/technology/416215-cia-operations...

This is without even considering google dorks, possibly one of the most powerful tools infosec researchers (or even average people) have to refine queries.

In the case of Facebook, it offers the best product because its product is really people (the whole "you-are-the-product" issue). Facebook has the most people, therefore the best product.

Offering the best product is not a monopoly. Don't forget that MySpace was "the" social network before Facebook, but was displaced. These are not necessary traditional monopolies, and therefore should receive consideration on how they should be treated.

Re: Google and Facebook are monopolies. Does it matter? [audio]

#70
post #11

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The service google and facebook provide is access to their captured audience. In the case of google that is the advertisement market with search and the platform of youtube. It is rather commonly known that many video producers are extremely unhappy using youtube but feel locked in since thats where the audience is, and the audience is equally locked in since youtube is where the producers are. New video platforms po…

And yet Netflix seems to be doing fine delivering video and competing with Youtube for users?

Not sure how those two compete...at all. This point actually works against you, because using momentum as a good, Netflix beats YouTube on movies because of their momentum in that category.

Which is why a big service like YouTube can't just walk in and steal their thunder. Kind of proving the point that critical mass in internet technologies is a type of good or "moat" that could, in some views, count as a monopoly.

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