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Watch What Happens When You Push Away Skilled Immigrants

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Re: Watch What Happens When You Push Away Skilled Immigrants

#61

> "Cities’ productivity would increase, as would the wages of native-born high-skilled Americans, if more H-1B workers and skilled permanent residents were allowed to come." Please stop with this non-sense. You can be for or against the H-1B program, i don't care, but there is zero doubt that US citizens would be collecting way higher paychecks if the H-1B program did not exist. Thats simply supply and demand on the…

Stop equating H1B with cheap labor. This is gross generalization. There certainly are some companies taking advantage of the program by paying H1B's less, but most of the people on H1B get paid the same as an American citizen would get paid. There is a mandatory step in an H1 application called Labor Condition Application [1] which needs to be approved by the US Government. This makes sure that the H1B applicant is being paid same or higher than the average wage for that occupation in the area.

People on H1B can't even change their location without filing another such application. So, no, H1B immigration does not lead to lower wages for citizens.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Labor_Condition_Application#At...

Re: Watch What Happens When You Push Away Skilled Immigrants

#62
This is a throwaway account, but, hey, they have their place. I'm a regular HN commenter under another name(that you wouldn't recognize, I'm not secretly patio11 or something).

The article frustrates me, because it echoes a thought complex that seems almost willfully obtuse. It fails to address the actual reasons behind a desire for caution on immigration. This is somewhat forgivable because those with the most reason to want caution are the least likely to be able to explain why, or to have the confidence to do so. But it is somewhat unforgivable because presumably it is the job of those who write articles to tease that sort of thing out.

The article gives a litany of problems for which high-skilled immigrants are the solution: pensions, tax bases, shoring up the population of "declining regions." We are told that the "dark nativist rumblings of right-wing intellectuals like Anton, are doing the U.S. economy an enormous disservice."

This is Bloomberg, so that is the unpardonable sin, hurting the economy. But maybe there's more to life than the economy?

Consider Sen. Elizabeth Warren's The Two-Income Trap [0]. She posits that much of the income a family gains from working women goes to positional goods, like housing or (credentialed) education---but since other women are working as well, the net gain is much, much lower than what the simple income numbers would suggest. Perhaps a simpler example is simply housing in SF. Sure, you get paid a lot, but if your rent is correspondingly high, well...hmm. And that's assuming that you are being paid a lot.

Money is an abstraction. Sometimes it's a leaky abstraction. What price air? What price true love? How much do loving, still-together parents cost? How much to block all ads on the Internet, forever? Just because you can't buy these things doesn't mean they're not wealth, in the pg "wealth is what people want" sense.

If you held Google stock, and they doubled the amount of ads you see, Bloomberg would say you were up. But, well, now the internet sucks for you.

So...how much is your vote worth? How much is it worth to live somewhere where the opinions of most of the electorate match up with yours?

How much would you pay for your child to attend a school where you're comfortable with the racial mix of the other students? This is taboo---even my villanous throwaway persona cringes writing it---but in practice people go to a lot of trouble. [2][3]

How much is social cohesion worth? [4] How much is a monolingual environment---and more specifically, the security of the implied cultural hegemony---worth?[5]

To really drive home the ridiculousness of the article, let's flip the scenario: imagine new research came out that demonstrated unequivocally that "immigrants are Bad for the Economy," and mirror-universe Evil Bloomberg wrote an op-ed citing such. Might you take issue with that, holding that they bring benefits not measured in GNP, and that this was a case of looking for keys under the streetlight?

I'm not arguing for any specific policies, which is good for all of us because I know jack shit about such. Rather, I'm arguing for the basic legitimacy of the nativist impulse. Humans of any origin like living in safe countries that they control.

"But though we had plenty of money, there was nothing our money could buy" - http://www.kiplingsociety.co.uk/poems_copybook.htm

[0]http://slatestarcodex.com/2014/06/28/book-review-the-two-inc...

[1]https://www.newsweek.com/why-schools-still-cant-put-segregat...

[2]https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2014/05/15/housi...

[3]https://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=128026...

[4]https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2014/08/08/resea...

Re: Watch What Happens When You Push Away Skilled Immigrants

#63

Immigration policies already set a very high barrier to entry, especially considering that 20% of the US population is functionally illiterate [1]. Immigration is the only hope for me to ever have a family. I was born in Switzerland to British parents who lived in France (in Geneva this is not unusual). Because I'm a citizen by descent, I can't pass on nationality to future children. My girlfriend is Taiwanese, and I…

Can someone who understands the mechanics of this ELI5 how this works? so the parent is a UK citizen but can't pass his citizenship on to his children? And his future wife is a taiwanese citizeen, but because he would have to enlist in the taiwanese army to become a citizen, they cannot raise their family there? Can someone flesh out the details for the clueless and unworldly like myself? What part do each of these t…

> What UK law prevents parent from marrying his GF and raise his children in the UK?

It is very difficult to immigrate into the UK. This is because fucking idiot racists appear to be influential in the polls, and governments keep tightening the requirements to appease the racists.

OP is a British citizen. OP is a British citizen by descent, which means their children are not automatically British citizens. OP's future wife is not a British citizen.

If OP wishes to move his wife and children here for more than 6 months they need a family visa. https://www.gov.uk/uk-family-visa

The family visa has minimum income requirements. https://www.gov.uk/uk-family-visa/proof-income

For the spouse you need a combined income of £18,600. If you already have children you need an additional £3,800 for the first child, and £2,400 for each additional children.

The rules for who is or isn't a UK citizen are quite complicated. Being born in the UK is neither required nor sufficient to get citizenship. If British parents give birth abroad their child will be British by descent. That child's children will be British if born in the UK, but not if born outside the UK.

Re: Watch What Happens When You Push Away Skilled Immigrants

#64

I am confused about something that seems very basic, and hoping somebody can help me out with this. I have always supported left politics, and I think I understand the basics of supply-and-demand economics. If immigrants come to the US looking for work instead of bringing work, there should be a higher supply of labor, driving the low-end pay-rate down. Given that the low-end rate has gone down significantly througho…

(Disclosure: I'm not a US national, and I don't live in the US)

In my limited personal experience chatting with employees and hiring managers from a couple of big name US tech companies, what I've come to realize is that occasionally they hire talented foreigners simply because they're talented. Of course this doesn't apply to every foreign hire they do, but if they find someone that fits their culture and is above the average by a big margin, they'll be happy to create a job on the spot for that person. So while we try to think of the job market as fixed thing with N available places at any given moment, this certainly doesn't fully apply to creative/innovative workplaces.

Re: Watch What Happens When You Push Away Skilled Immigrants

#65
post #52
post #48

Arguing immigration policy is usually better to do based on morality. Economic grounds is a hard proposition, since assuming the government budget is balanced we can split any given population in two groups; one which under a given time frame increases budget deficit when grown and the other which causes surplus when grown. If we only look at the economical aspect then the question about immigration is simply a crass…

> Here in Sweden a researcher did such study and unsurprisingly the result showed that for the time frame of 20 years the state economics from immigration is a net negative. I would be very interested to read this study. Can you please provide a source? What kind of immigration does the study account for? Is it refugee based or diversity based immigration which, naturally, could be a burden on the country because the…

> Can you please provide a source?

Sure, its was fairly rememberable since the new reportage went bad since the news reporter tried to address and ask question about the political aspects and the academic economy researcher was very academic about it. When they got the question "why did you do this study when it could be used as political material next election" the answer became something like "we were hired to do a study, and having knowledge about the subject is better than having no knowledge".

I also noticed that I did miss-remember a detail. The time frame was between 1983 and 2015, so 33 years rather than 20 years.

https://eso.expertgrupp.se/rapporter/tid-for-integration/ - report (there is a English summery linked on the page).

https://www.svt.se/kultur/medier/forskaren-i-uppmarksammad-i... - interview

> However, the article here is talking about the H1-B program

Yes, as I wrote that could change the result and if so it would make for a great news. Further studies is something that should be funded as the political environment around immigration is about as bad as it can be. I also believe the argument about immigration as humanitarian aid is a good one and focus the discussion towards reasonable middle ground rather than extremes.

Re: Watch What Happens When You Push Away Skilled Immigrants

#66

I am confused about something that seems very basic, and hoping somebody can help me out with this. I have always supported left politics, and I think I understand the basics of supply-and-demand economics. If immigrants come to the US looking for work instead of bringing work, there should be a higher supply of labor, driving the low-end pay-rate down. Given that the low-end rate has gone down significantly througho…

A higher supply of cheaper labour does contribute to the reduced pay but by far the biggest influence is the stagnation of wages over those 3 decades (i.e. it's not that wages have gone down, they just largely haven't gone up). Average, inflation adjusted wage growth has been projected as low as 0.2% year on year in some cases, and this affects most forms of work not just the low end.

> A higher supply of cheaper labour does contribute to the reduced pay but by far the biggest influence is the stagnation of wages over those 3 decades.

This only applies to low skilled, replaceable jobs and certainly not the high skilled ones. Because eventually there is a demand for better employees (which naturally comes with experience and skills) which leads to higher wages and wage growth. Look at what's happening in SV.

Re: Watch What Happens When You Push Away Skilled Immigrants

#67
post #53

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I was focusing on New Zealand, Canada, or Australia You should look into this for Canada and Australia. You don't need a job to apply for these if you meet the criteria: https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/se... https://www.immigrationdirect.com.au/work-visa/skilled-indep...

New Zealand's Skilled Migrant Category, Canada's Express Entry, and Australia's 186 & 187 visas are the focus of my hopes right now. Requirements are similar. Even if I get an independent visa, I still need a job to pay for food and shelter. My current savings would only last about 2 months, far too short for the 5 years of residency to get citizenship there.

> My current savings would only last about 2 months, far too short for the 5 years of residency to get citizenship there.

Right, but this will help you get there legally first, which gets you through the first hurdle. Then you obviously need to find a job there.

Re: Watch What Happens When You Push Away Skilled Immigrants

#68
post #65
post #52

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Here in Sweden a researcher did such study and unsurprisingly the result showed that for the time frame of 20 years the state economics from immigration is a net negative. I would be very interested to read this study. Can you please provide a source? What kind of immigration does the study account for? Is it refugee based or diversity based immigration which, naturally, could be a burden on the country because the…

> Can you please provide a source? Sure, its was fairly rememberable since the new reportage went bad since the news reporter tried to address and ask question about the political aspects and the academic economy researcher was very academic about it. When they got the question "why did you do this study when it could be used as political material next election" the answer became something like "we were hired to do a…

Thank you for the source. I'll read it!

> we were hired to do a study, and having knowledge about the subject is better than having no knowledge".

Haha. That's absolutely true.

Re: Watch What Happens When You Push Away Skilled Immigrants

#69
post #8

The H1B study sounds suspicious and the defence of the H1B program weakened an otherwise strong article. H1B abuses have been long documented so while there are legitimate benefits to it, they are outweighed by the problems.

You just made a claim too without any results let alone sources for those results.

So? I said the abuses have been long documented - and a quick Google search will bring up said documentation.

I see no need to present sources and results - I'm not claiming anything as fact, just stating opinion in a comment.

Re: Watch What Happens When You Push Away Skilled Immigrants

#70
post #34

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Also leftist but pro-immigration.. (although not American) I don't have a complete answer but I would point out that some of these immigrants do bring work, eventually. There is a photograph of Sergey Brinn in the article, Steve Jobs is another example. Also, economically, I am of the opinion that consumption is what drives the modern economy (for better or worse). The production is then typically figured out from th…

Sergeant Brinn went to Stanford. Steve Jobs went to Reed. Can you articulate an even somewhat critical relation between these examples and the minimum wage? I’m just not seeing it, but open if someone can connect the dots. I was unable to go to college without massive student loans and now I can’t afford to have children despite working obsessive hours. > I am of the opinion that consumption is what drives the modern…

What I am saying is that immigrants (or their kids) sometimes become entrepreneurs, that's all.

Regarding student loans, I am sorry to hear that, frankly situation in the U.S. is messed up. I honestly think you should support Bernie Sanders and his ilk if you want to change that.

What I am saying is pretty much standard Keynesian view of the economy: The economy can produce less than it potentially could (and have full employment, although that is tenuous) when there isn't large enough demand, that is consumer buying things and services.

This has not much to do with minimum wages, although in fact, raising minimum wage can most likely help to stimulate demand.

Regarding the cheap-labor made imports, these in fact hurt the foreign economies more than yours (because of the trade deficit, which most likely won't be equalized). The only way to prevent them (to some extent) would be to impose some form of import tariff.

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