Live data from Hacker News

Schools are safer than they were in the 90s

news.northeastern.edu

61–70 of 93 posts

Re: Schools are safer than they were in the 90s

#61
post #48

Analysis of two decades in the UK, where in 1997 they banned video games and mental illness: 1996: 16 children and their teacher shot dead 1997-2018: 0 shot dead

How does a nation ban mental illness?

(original post is obviously sarcasm: the UK banned handguns.)

Re: Schools are safer than they were in the 90s

#62
post #51

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Law is not the only variable and is not deterministic. Social environment and cultural values are of great influence. The US media glorifies violence and yet censors the reality of it. How many of those other countries with stricter gun control laws have been involved in as many violent conflicts across the globe as the US?

The UK has invaded everywhere and has a total ban on handguns after the school shooting incident. (also, perhaps surprisingly to Americans, school trained me on guns at 14: http://atc.wikia.com/wiki/L98A2_Cadet_GP_Rifle )

This discussion is framed around recent decades, not centuries. The US has been far more violent than the UK on the world stage in recent decades.

Re: Schools are safer than they were in the 90s

#64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Logically, it seems more practical to worry about things you can control, than those that you can't. "There is only one way to happiness and that is to cease worrying about things which are beyond the power or our will." -Epictetus

I think you're underestimating yourself. I can control my own actions, so my worry about heart disease can inform my dietary choices. We can control gun violence by influencing culture or changing laws, so gun control is an appropriate subject of worry. We cannot control the sun going supernova. We shouldn't worry about that.

Good point. Judging from history though, law has been quite unsuccessful at preventing the problem of murder.

Re: Schools are safer than they were in the 90s

#66
post #52
post #48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How does a nation ban mental illness?

And I'm pretty sure the UK still has video games?

Sorry, it was a reference to some people claiming the causes of gun sprees are video games or mental illness.

In fact in 1997 the UK simply banned handguns.

Re: Schools are safer than they were in the 90s

#67
post #25

I have seen those studies pop up from time to time on HN with conclusions altering between "it's reachin worrying proportions", "there is an increase", "there is no increase", "they are so rare as to not worth considering". From what I understand, the decision of what kinds of shootings are included has a large influence on the conclusion - e.g., the "there have been 18 shootings in 2018 so far" articles from a while…

It's not clear to me why this study would set those thresholds for the underlying data (4+ Victims & 2+ deaths), this seems to downplay the number of incidents. At the very least there should be some explanation of why this limit is in place, as it has a significant impact on the findings.

Closest thing I can find to an accurate data-set is here: https://www.kaggle.com/ecodan/us-school-shootings-dataset/no.... Data seems to be a blend of a northwestern study and the wikipedia list of shootings.

Re: Schools are safer than they were in the 90s

#69
post #26
post #6

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The numbers are so tiny that comparisons are pretty much irrelevant. Since 1996 there have been just 8 mass k-12 shootings (incidents involving 4 or more school deaths, excluding the assailant), in a nation of 330 million people. That's so far into small numbers territory that any comparisons are guaranteed to be overwhelmed by noise.

> incidents involving 4 or more school deaths That number seems suspicious; you'd get a very different answer if your criterion was "any gunshot wound at a school", for example. But that definition might be a better match for what people think of as a school shooting. (e.g. Northern Ireland had a very large number of terrorist attacks where a warning was given allowing evacuation - would they not count as terrorist i…

Any gunshot would at a school probably includes a very different pattern of behavior. If someone wants to murder (or maim) a specific person, or small group of people, they may carry that out with a gun, because it's expedient, but might switch to a knife if guns aren't available. If someone wants to murder (or maim) a large number of people, guns or explosives are really the only practical means; mass knifings have happened, but are even more rare than mass shootings.

Re: Schools are safer than they were in the 90s

#70

Can someone say "Security Theater"? In cases like these I like to take the Freakonomics formula for risk, that outrage factors more into observed risk than actual danger. We're more worried about Terrorism than Heart Disease, even as we have far more control over the latter.

I would argue heart disease being the leading cause of death in many 'developed' countries strongly indicates that we, as a society, do not have control over it.

We don't, or we can't? As a country, we can do things to force people to avoid the risk factors and take mitigating actions.
Post reply on HN