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Trump wins presidency for second time

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Re: Trump wins presidency for second time

#591
post #260

Something I've been wondering lately is how big of a blind spot I have from being habitually online. Like, I'll read the news, and I'll read political discussions on HN and r/politics and r/conservative and Twitter, and I'll try to get a sense of what everyone is thinking, but unfortunately I don't think that's possible. The posters on these sites all have one thing in common: they're into politics and current events…

Yep, spot on.

And these same people are gonna be pissed about a bunch of the stuff Trump does, because they truly had no idea what he was saying he would do.

This is how "thermostatic public opinion" works.

Re: Trump wins presidency for second time

#592

It's the economy, stupid: -Inflation is not prices; it is the rate of change in prices. Low inflation doesn't imply low prices. -Aggregate statistics don't necessarily explain individual outcomes. The Dems failed on this count massively, and have, for maybe the last 40 years, which is about the amount of time it took for my state to go from national bellwether (As goes Ohio, so goes the nation) to a reliably red stat…

> Inflation is not prices; it is the rate of change in prices.

Inflation is actually the increase in the money supply. The term is used wrong almost everywhere today.

Price indexes like the CPI are what measure the change in prices of a set of goods.

Inflation can influence prices since the supply of money changed, but they aren't directly linked.

Edit: getting plenty of requests for a source here, especially because you will find countless sources online using the price increase definition.

https://www.clevelandfed.org/publications/economic-commentar...

Re: Trump wins presidency for second time

#596

One of the original predictions that might be entertaining(?) to see would be the US having its first President "run" the country from prison... And the follow-up situation to witness, how different would that look, in the end? For those who think rather than just react, I guess it would not be as entertaining...?

No chance he gets a prison sentence for the NY case. He will get a suspended sentence or some other slap on the wrist. The Federal cases are dead. There is no chance they can continue while he is in office and they will be killed by the time he leaves.

Re: Trump wins presidency for second time

#597
For many this ended up with

"Have i felt better over the past 4 years" .

Imagine coming out of covid, without a recession, only to be hit with inflation (both parties to blame) and sky high interest rates coupled with all other stuff like illegal border crossing to lack of majority support from Women to Harris to Harris being a silent VP for 4 full years and thrown to lime light.

Re: Trump wins presidency for second time

#598
post #313

the biggest problem is the climate. with trump winning, most/all of the climate policies will be revered irreparably damaging our planet bringing us to the brink of extinction. ofc it won't be all trump fault, current trends are gloomy enough yet those are the very last few years to actually do something..

I think this is doubtful, and it's a testament to the way the IRA was written. There are now bipartisan constituencies who support different parts of it. And there was no real chance we were going to get anything new on the climate regardless of the outcome. I think this issue will just be status quo for this term.

Re: Trump wins presidency for second time

#599

2016 : Hilary Clinton - People felt that she was chosen because it was her turn 2020 : Kamala Harris - A candidate who never ever even did well in the primaries. I hope DNC learn from this and let people choose a candidate next time.

The DNC's #1 goal is to stop socialism in the primaries. A distant #2 is winning general elections.
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