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I'm not worried about AI job loss

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Re: I'm not worried about AI job loss

#581
post #566

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Is Microsoft a "dying company"? The stock market certainly thinks otherwise.

> Is Microsoft a "dying company"? The stock market certainly thinks otherwise. This is the entire sentence that I wrote that you seem to be referring to: “These are examples of how bad management thinks, or at best, how management at dying companies think.” MS falls under the first part — bad management. Let literacy be your friend. To elaborate, yes, I think that MS is managed incredibly poorly, and they succeed des…

What successful tech companies don't have "bad management", then?

Re: I'm not worried about AI job loss

#582

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Job loss is likely to have statistics more comparable to the Black Plague. Maybe this is overly optimistic, but if AI starts to have negative impacts on average people comparable to the plague, it seems like there's a lot more that people can do. In medieval Europe, nobody knew what was causing the plague and nobody knew how to stop it. On the other hand, if AI quickly replaces half of all jobs, it will be very obv…

> And at the end of the day, AI can be unplugged We can't stop OpenClaw, because humans are curious. It just takes one unleashed model with a crypto account and some way to make money for the first independent AI's to start bleeding into cyberspace. We can't opt out of AI competition, because other individuals, organizations and nation states are not going to stop, and not going to leverage their AI if they get ahead…

> because other individuals, organizations and nation states are not going to stop, and not going to leverage their AI if they get ahead of us.

I don't think that it is likely AT ALL, but it is probably only necessary for China and the US to agree to stop, not all organizations and nation states. It is at least possible given leadership in both countries that see AI as an existential threat.

The hardware needed to run and train SOTA AI can only be made by a very small handful of companies in a small handful of countries that either the US or China have significant influence over. Making AI R&D illegal would stop 99% of it overnight, most of the researchers are in it for money rather than some ideological commitment and there are plenty of other well-paid jobs they could take. Doing local inference in secret with existing models and GPUs would be possible, but training new SOTA models probably wouldn't be.

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