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Sora: Creating video from text

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Re: Sora: Creating video from text

#581
If you draw a line from Pong (1972, or 52 years ago) to Sora, what does that imply for the quality and depth of simulations in 2076 (52 years in the future)?

Would we be able to perceive the differences between those and the physical world? I can't help but feel like there is a proof for the simulation theory possible here.

Re: Sora: Creating video from text

#582

Does anyone know how to handle the depression/doom one feels with these updates? Yes, it's a great technical achievement, but I just worry for the future. We don't have good social safety nets, and we aren't close to UBI. It's difficult for me to see that happen unless something drastic changes. I'm also afraid of one company just having so much power. How does anyone compete?

Master the tools to create value for other humans and you’ll be just fine.

Re: Sora: Creating video from text

#585

Does anyone else feel a sense of doom from these advancements? I'm definitely not a Luddite, I've been working professionally as a programmer for quite some time now, but I just can't shake this feeling. And this is not in the "I might lose my job to this" kind of feeling, that's obviously there, but it's something deeper, more sinister. I don't think I can explain it properly. Anyway, videos look incredible. I genui…

The compute and innovations behind it should be owned by the planet, not by a handful of billionaires. It is far too powerful to be controlled by such a small group of humans, who decide what is "safe" and what isn't. It took billions of years for all of our ancestors to enable this technology, and now a handful claim it for themselves. The GPUs to run these models cost $20,000+ each, and only the ultra-rich can affo…

It's amazing that this is what it takes to turn a forum of libertarians into a forum of communists.

Re: Sora: Creating video from text

#586

Watching these made me think, I'm going to want to go to the theatre a lot more in the future and see fellow humans in plays, lectures and concerts. Such achievements in technology must lead to cultural change. Look at how popular vinyl has become, why not theatre again.

Imagine movies generated in real-time just for you, with the faces you know, places you know and what not!

Re: Sora: Creating video from text

#587
Even though this is highly impressive, I think it is still important to stay rational and optimistic to see the other side of the coin.

Every industrial revolution and its resulting automation has brought not only more jobs but also created a more diverse set of jobs. Therefore also new industries are created. History rhymes, the ruling fears in such times have always been similar. Claims are being made but without any reasonable theories, expertise or provable facts (e.g. Goldman Sachs unemployment prediction is absolute bs). This is even more true when such related AI matters are thought about in more detail. Furthermore, even though employing tens of millions of people probably, only a few industries like content creation, movie etc. are affected. The affacted workforce of these industries is highly creative, as they are being paid for their job. The set of jobs today is big, they won't become cleaning staff nor homeless.

This technology has also to proof itself (Its technical potential is unlimited but financially limited by the size of funds being invested, and these are limited)

Transition to the use of such tools in corporations could take years, depending on the type and size and other parameters. People underestimate the inefficiencies that a lot of companies embody - and I am only talking about the US and some parts of Europe here. If a company did their job for 2 decades the same way, a sudden switch does not happen overnight. Affected people have ways to transition to other industries, educate themselves further and much more. Especially as someone living in the west, the opportunities are huge. And in addition, the wide array of different variables about the economy and the earth, and everything its differing societies are, comes into play: Some corporations want real videos made by real people; Some companies want to stay the way they are and compete using their traditional methods; Corporations are still going to hire ad agencies - ad agencies whose workflow his now much more efficient and more open to new creative spheres which benefits both customer and themselves. They list could go one endlessly.

Lots of people seem to fear or think about the alleged sole power OpenAI COULD achieve. But would that be a problem, would "another Alphabet" be a problem? Hundreds of millions of people benefited and are benefiting today from their products. They have products that are reliable and work (This forum consisting of tech experts is a niche case, nearly all people don't care at all if data on them is being used for commercial purposes). Google had a patent guaranteed monopoly on search. But here we have: an almost non patented or patentable market, an open source community, other companies of all sizes competing, innovation happening and much more. It is true that companies like OpenAI have more funds available to spend than others, but such circumstances have always driven competition and innovation. And at the end of the day, customers are still going to use the best product they have decided to be so.

I know I may be stating the obvious but: The economy and the world is a chaos system with a unpredictable future to come.

Re: Sora: Creating video from text

#588
The Hollywood Reporter says many in the industry are very scared.[1]

“I’ve heard a lot of people say they’re leaving film,” he says. “I’ve been thinking of where I can pivot to if I can’t make a living out of this anymore.” - a concept artist responsible for the look of the Hunger Games and some other films.

"A study surveying 300 leaders across Hollywood, issued in January, reported that three-fourths of respondents indicated that AI tools supported the elimination, reduction or consolidation of jobs at their companies. Over the next three years, it estimates that nearly 204,000 positions will be adversely affected."

"Commercial production may be among the main casualties of AI video tools as quality is considered less important than in film and TV production."

[1] https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/business/business-news/ope...

Re: Sora: Creating video from text

#589

Countdown to when studios licensing this for "unlimited" episodes of your favorite series. There was Seinfeld "Nothing, Forever" AI parody, but once the models improve enough and are cheap enough to deploy, studios will license their content for real and just have endless seasons. Or even custom episodes. Imagine if every episode of a TV show was unique to the viewer.

We haven't seen that happen for books. Perhaps humans crave human spirit?

Re: Sora: Creating video from text

#590

Does anyone know how to handle the depression/doom one feels with these updates? Yes, it's a great technical achievement, but I just worry for the future. We don't have good social safety nets, and we aren't close to UBI. It's difficult for me to see that happen unless something drastic changes. I'm also afraid of one company just having so much power. How does anyone compete?

Cognitive behavioral therapy works for me.
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