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Claude Sonnet 4.6

anthropic.com

561–570 of 1001 posts

Re: Claude Sonnet 4.6

#561
post #400

I see a big focus on computer use - you can tell they think there is a lot of value there and in truth it may be as big as coding if they convincingly pull it off. However I am still mystified by the safety aspect. They say the model has greatly improved resistance. But their own safety evaluation says 8% of the time their automated adversarial system was able to one-shot a successful injection takeover even with saf…

Their goal is to monopolize labor for anything that has to do with i/o on a computer, which is way more than SWE. Its simple, this technology literally cannot create new jobs it simply can cause one engineer (or any worker whos job has to do with computer i/o) to do the work of 3, therefore allowing you to replace workers (and overwork the ones you keep). Companies don't need "more work" half the "features"/"products…

> They can get rid of 1/3-2/3s of their labor and make the same amount of money, why wouldn't they.

Competition may encourage companies to keep their labor. For example, in the video game industry, if the competitors of a company start shipping their games to all consoles at once, the company might want to do the same. Or if independent studios start shipping triple A games, a big studio may want to keep their labor to create quintuple A games.

On the other hand, even in an optimistic scenario where labor is still required, the skills required for the jobs might change. And since the AI tools are not mature yet, it is difficult to know which new skills will be useful in ten years from now, and it is even more difficult to start training for those new skills now.

With the help of AI tools, what would a quintuple A game look like? Maybe once we see some companies shipping quintuple A games that have commercial success, we might have some ideas on what new skills could be useful in the video game industry for example.

Re: Claude Sonnet 4.6

#562
post #522

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Retail water[1] costs $881/bbl which is 13x the price of Brent crude. [1] https://www.walmart.com/ip/Aquafina-Purified-Drinking-Water-...

What a good faith reply. If you sincerely believe this, that's a good insight into how dumb the masses are. Although I would expect a higher quality of reply on HN. You found the most expensive 8pck of water on Walmart. Anyone can put a listing on Walmart, its the same model as Amazon. There's also a listing right below for bottles twice the size, and a 32 pack for a dollar less. It cost $0.001 per gallon out of your…

I'm in South Australia, the driest state on the driest continent, we have a backup desalination plant and water security is common on the political agenda - water is probably as expensive here than most places in the world

"The 2025-26 water use price for commercial customers is now $3.365/kL (or $0.003365 per litre)"

https://www.sawater.com.au/my-account/water-and-sewerage-pri...

Re: Claude Sonnet 4.6

#563
post #522

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Retail water[1] costs $881/bbl which is 13x the price of Brent crude. [1] https://www.walmart.com/ip/Aquafina-Purified-Drinking-Water-...

What a good faith reply. If you sincerely believe this, that's a good insight into how dumb the masses are. Although I would expect a higher quality of reply on HN. You found the most expensive 8pck of water on Walmart. Anyone can put a listing on Walmart, its the same model as Amazon. There's also a listing right below for bottles twice the size, and a 32 pack for a dollar less. It cost $0.001 per gallon out of your…

Water just comes out of a tap?

My household water comes from a 500 ft well on my property requiring a submersible pump costing $5000 that gets replaced ever 10-15 years or so with a rig and service that cost another 10k. Call it $1000/year... but it also requires a giant water softener, in my case a commercial one that amortizes out to $1000/year, and monthly expenditure of $70 for salt (admittedly I have exceptionally hard water).

And of course, I, and your municipality too, don't (usually) pay any royalties to "owners" of water that we extract.

Water is, rightly, expensive, and not even expensive enough.

Re: Claude Sonnet 4.6

#564
post #400

I see a big focus on computer use - you can tell they think there is a lot of value there and in truth it may be as big as coding if they convincingly pull it off. However I am still mystified by the safety aspect. They say the model has greatly improved resistance. But their own safety evaluation says 8% of the time their automated adversarial system was able to one-shot a successful injection takeover even with saf…

Their goal is to monopolize labor for anything that has to do with i/o on a computer, which is way more than SWE. Its simple, this technology literally cannot create new jobs it simply can cause one engineer (or any worker whos job has to do with computer i/o) to do the work of 3, therefore allowing you to replace workers (and overwork the ones you keep). Companies don't need "more work" half the "features"/"products…

> They can get rid of 1/3-2/3s of their labor and make the same amount of money, why wouldn't they.

Because companies want to make MORE money.

Your hypothetical company is now competing with another company who didn’t opposite, and now they get to market faster, fix bugs faster, add feature faster, and responding to changes in the industry faster. Which results in them making more, while your employ less company is just status quo.

Also. With regards to oil, the consumption of oil increases as it became cheaper. With AI we now have a chance to do projects that simply would have cost way too much to do 10 years ago.

Re: Claude Sonnet 4.6

#566
post #48
post #10

It's wild that Sonnet 4.6 is roughly as capable as Opus 4.5 - at least according to Anthropic's benchmarks. It will be interesting to see if that's the case in real, practical, everyday use. The speed at which this stuff is improving is really remarkable; it feels like the breakneck pace of compute performance improvements of the 1990s.

The most exciting part isn't necessarily the ceiling raising though that's happening, but the floor rising while costs plummet. Getting Opus-level reasoning at Sonnet prices/latency is what actually unlocks agentic workflows. We are effectively getting the same intelligence unit for half the compute every 6-9 months.

Moore's law lives on!

Re: Claude Sonnet 4.6

#567

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Competition is great, but it's so much better when it is all about shaving costs. I am afraid that what we are seeing here is an arms race with no moat: Something that will behave a lot like a Vickrey auction. The competitors all lose money in the investment, and since a winner takes all, and it never makes sense to stop the marginal investment when you think you have a chance to win, ultimately more resources are sp…

Three-year-old models aren't useful because there are (1) cheaper models that are roughly equivalent, and (2) better models. If Sonnet 4.6 is actually "good enough" in some respects, maybe the models will just get cheaper along one branch, while they get better on a different branch.

It's funny, it sure seems like software projects in general follow the Lindy effect: considering their age and mindshare, I can safely predict gcc, emacs, SQLite, and Python will still be running somewhere ten, 20, 30 years from now. Indeed, people will choose to use certain software specifically because it's been around forever; it's tried and true.

But LLMs, and AI-related tooling, seem to really buck that trend: they're obsoleted almost as soon as they're released.

Re: Claude Sonnet 4.6

#568

Still fails the car wash question, I took the prompt from the title of this thread: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47031580 The answer was "Walk! It would be a bit counterproductive to drive a dirty car 50 meters just to get it washed — you'd barely move before arriving. Walking takes less than a minute, and you can simply drive it through the wash and walk back home afterward." I've tried several other variant…

Yeah, but did you see that pelican though?

Re: Claude Sonnet 4.6

#569
post #442

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If the world becomes dependent on computer-use than the AI buildout will be more than validated. That will require all that compute.

It will be validated but that doesn’t mean that the providers of these services will be making money. It’s about the demand at a profitable price. The uncontroversial part is that the demand exists at an unprofitable price.

That really is the $800 billion elephant in the room.

Re: Claude Sonnet 4.6

#570

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I use Claude at work, Codex for personal development. Claude is marginally better. Both are moderately useful depending on the context. I don't trust any of them (I also have no trust in Google nor in X). Those are all evil companies and the world would be better if they disappeared.

What about companies in general? I mean US companies? Aren't they all google like or worse?

Some are more evil than others.
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