"It’s the T-bills wot dun it." That’s my read on why the U.S. just paused the global tariff hike to 10%. From the beginning, I’ve believed the executive branch's real goal was to push down the yield on the 10-year Treasury. Why? Because Uncle Sam has to refinance a mountain of debt this year, and the cost of that depends heavily on Treasury yields — especially the 10-year. That’s the rate that sets the tone for every…
Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries
561–570 of 1001 posts
Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries
#562My dream scenario: The rest of the world would band together and upper the mininum tariffs levels against US imports to 10% for 90 days.
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Why do Peterbilt trucks still exist? Don't US truckers deserve to drive Scanias and Volvos?
Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries
#563Is it just the historical legacy of international trade that tariffs apply only to physical goods, but not to something like software-as-a-service subscriptions, digital media, or intellectual property? As the latter categories are more representative of US exports, it would surely be an interesting escalation if other countries were to start including them in their “retaliatory” tariffs.
I'm also not sure why other countries aren't moving to criminalize trading crypto to try to tank him and his cronies since the US has given up on preventing presidential conflict of interest.
Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries
#564Earlier quoted context omitted.
The President can only legally set tarrifs in an "emergency". Planning tarrifs 90 days out is really stretching the definition--I'm not holding my breath, but maybe the courts will uphold the constitution on this one?
Normally there are rules regarding how long an emergency can last. This is why, I kid you not, the Republican controlled Congress declared there are no more calendar days in this session of Congress. Every day is March 11. So they'll let him do it as long as he likes.
Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries
#565Earlier quoted context omitted.
EU and many other counties have already had tariffs on the US for a long time.
* EU and many other counties have had comparatively small and targeted tariffs on the US for a long time
Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries
#566Earlier quoted context omitted.
I still wonder why this was not done instantly by EU. US has an imbalance on goods that was used to calculate the tariff amount, but it has the opposite imbalance on service from what I've read
Easy: because next to 100% of EU government computers run Windows and MS Office.
Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries
#567The 10% apparently also apply to Canada and Mexico now, which they didn’t before: > In a strange turn of events, the president seems to have added another 10 percent tariff to Canada and Mexico. Asked earlier if the 10 percent tariff extended to those countries, Scott Bessent, the Treasury secretary, said that it did. And a White House official clarified for me just now that that was the case. Previously, Canada and…
Like when an LLM does a tiny coding error that isn't too noticeable though.
Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries
#568The 10% apparently also apply to Canada and Mexico now, which they didn’t before: > In a strange turn of events, the president seems to have added another 10 percent tariff to Canada and Mexico. Asked earlier if the 10 percent tariff extended to those countries, Scott Bessent, the Treasury secretary, said that it did. And a White House official clarified for me just now that that was the case. Previously, Canada and…
Also china has 125% tarriff but the reason that they couldn't originally give 10% to Vietnam was trans-shipment of Chinese goods. If it wasn't happening before, it certainly will be now. What's actually wrong with them.
Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries
#569"It’s the T-bills wot dun it." That’s my read on why the U.S. just paused the global tariff hike to 10%. From the beginning, I’ve believed the executive branch's real goal was to push down the yield on the 10-year Treasury. Why? Because Uncle Sam has to refinance a mountain of debt this year, and the cost of that depends heavily on Treasury yields — especially the 10-year. That’s the rate that sets the tone for every…
> But then something flipped. The bond market is always the adult in the room. The UK PM lasted like 44 days when the bond market pushed her out [1]. In this case, the flip was that all the chaos led to people leaving behind the USD completely. Trumps view of the US/World is ~30+ years out of date. There are other stable places to put money now where it used to only be USD. [1] https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/20/uk-prim…
https://x.com/jaayjayAT/status/1908793907976040839?t=aP60h4w...
Re: Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries
#570Very sad to see what is happening to the US. Sadder still to see it celebrated and defended by a large portion of the country. From over here in Europe, the apparent lack of accountability in the US right now is unbelievable. Where are the adults?
But of course you are totally right. No adults anywhere. Keep thinking that Europe can count on others to pay for its defense while buying all the energy they need from Moscow. At least you have adults in the room, right?