Earlier quoted context omitted.
The biggest barrier to entry for first time home buyers is by far mortgage rates. Low mortgage rates cause house values to go up because value is based on what an affordable monthly payment for that house. Low rates means value goes up to equalize payments which is mostly superfluous for people with only one home and good for anyone with investment property but it causes a 20% down payment to be an unsurmountable bar…
If we're talking California, I'd argue a 200k down payment on a million dollar house is a bigger barrier.
When people bring up the prices of houses for baby boomers they totally overlook the interest rates and monthly payments.
The price of a house doesn't really matter. The payment and the down payment are what matter and the volatility of those isn't based on the piece of land changing value (in the shorter term).
In the last 6 years, my house doubled in value. Also, I recently refinanced for less than half the rate.
When borrowing money is cheap, there's a lot more competition for things bought with loans. On the other hand, the market rates for rent don't really change because the people don't suddenly have more disposable income.