This, and similar stories at Anthropic, should remind us that LLM is a sorcery tech that we don't understand at all. - First, deep-learning networks are poorly understood. It is actually a field of research to figure out how they work. - Second, it came as a surprise that using transformers at scale would end up with interesting conversational engines (called LLM). _It was not planned at all_. Now that some people ra…
Where the goblins came from
551–560 of 699 posts
Re: Where the goblins came from
#552Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's interesting that some people are responding to your comment as if this proves that AI is a sham or a joke. But I don't think that's what you're saying at all with your reference to Terence McKenna: this is a serious thing we're talking about here! These models are alien intelligences that could occupy an unimaginably vast space of possibilities (there are trillions of weights inside them), but which have been RL…
We actually understand AI quite well. It embeds questions and answers in a high dimensional space. Sometimes you get lucky and it splices together a good answer to a math problem that no one’s seriously looked at in 20 years. Other times it starts talking about Goblins when you ask it about math. Comparing it to an alien intelligence is ridiculous. McKenna was right that things would get weird. I believe he compared…
I understand LLM architecture internals just fine. I can write you the attention mechanism on a whiteboard from memory. That doesn't mean I understand the emergent behaviors within SoTA LLMs at all. Go talk to a mechanistic interpretability researcher at Anthropic and you'll find they won't claim to understand it either, although we've all learned a lot over the last few years.
Consider this: the math and architecture in the latest generation of LLMs (certainly the open weights ones, almost certainly the closed ones too) is not that different from GPT-2, which came out in 2019. The attention mechanism is the same. The general principle is the same: project tokens up into embedding space, pass through a bunch of layers of attention + feedforward, project down again, sample. (Sure, there's some new tricks bolted on: RoPE, MoE, but they don't change the architecture all that much.) But, and here's the crux - if you'd told me in 2019 that an LLM in 2026 would have the capabilities that Opus 4.7 or GPT 5.5 have now (in math, coding, etc), I would not have believed you. That is emergent behavior ("grown, not made", as the saying is) coming out of scaling up, larger datasets, and especially new RL and RLVR training methods. If you understand it, you should publish a paper in Nature right now, because nobody else really does.
Re: Where the goblins came from
#553Earlier quoted context omitted.
Humanity has been using steel for over a millenia, however it's only in the past 100 years or so we have a good understanding of how carbon interacts with iron at an atomic level to create the strength characteristics that makes it useful. Based on this argument, we should not have used steel, until we had a complete first principles understanding.
What if you substituted "steel" with "asbestos" in your argument.
The cases where we built something out of steel and it failed are _massively_ outnumbered by the instances where we used it where/when suitable. If we built something in steel and it failed/someone died we stopped doing that pretty soon after.
Re: Where the goblins came from
#554Earlier quoted context omitted.
So, I always thought that Warhammer 40k techpriests were absurd. Strange obscure religious rituals to appease the machine spirit. But at this point I can actually see something like that. What is prompt engineering but a strange pseudo ritual. So praise the Omnissiah, I guess...
Exactly. This is already happening. We'd like to think this could turn into the voice interface on Star Trek. But It can go the other way also, 'incantations', 'spell books'. Speaking to the void to produce magic. "The CFO, donned the purple robes, and spoke the spell of Increased Productivity, and then waved his hands symbolizing the reduction in work force labor. And behold the new ERP/SAP App was produced from the…
They just told us exactly what kind of attack works best.
Re: Where the goblins came from
#555Earlier quoted context omitted.
We actually understand AI quite well. It embeds questions and answers in a high dimensional space. Sometimes you get lucky and it splices together a good answer to a math problem that no one’s seriously looked at in 20 years. Other times it starts talking about Goblins when you ask it about math. Comparing it to an alien intelligence is ridiculous. McKenna was right that things would get weird. I believe he compared…
Hey, about that high dimensional space, is it continuous or discrete? Also, I'm curious what you mean by "embed", the word implies a topographical mapping from "words" to some "high dimensional space". What are the topographical properties of words which are relevant for the task, and does the mapping preserve these? circling back to the first point, are words continuous or discrete? is the space of all words differe…
None of this means that you can infer the input space (human brain) from the output space (language). You can approximate it. But you cannot replicate it no matter how many weights are in your model. Or how many rows you have in your dataset. And it’s an open question of how good that approximation actually is. The Turing test is a red herring, and has nothing to do with the fundamental question of AGI.
Unless you have access to a Dyson sphere where you can simulate primate evolution. Existing datasets aren’t even close to that kind of training set.
Re: Where the goblins came from
#556Re: Where the goblins came from
#557Earlier quoted context omitted.
> To me they seem to be pretty damn smart That's the sorcery mentioned in the GP, the issue comes when people believe it to be smart however in reality it is just a next word prediction. Gives the impression it's actually thinking, and this is by design. Personally I think it's dangerous in the sense it gives users a false sense of confidence in the LLM and so a LOT of people will blindly trust it. This isn't a good…
I'm curious how you think "word predictor" meaningfully describes an instruct model that has developed novel mathematical proofs that have eluded mathematicians for decades? edit: You cannot predict all the actions or words of someone smarter than you. If I could always predict Magnus Carlsen's next chess move, I'd be at least as good at chess as Magnus - and that would have to involve a deep understanding of chess,…
"In almost any other application, the biggest Achilles heel of AI is that it makes unverifiable mistakes. But in mathematics, almost uniquely, you can automatically check the output — at least if the output is supposed to be the proof of a theorem, although that is not the only thing mathematicians do. So, AI companies have recognized that their most unambiguous successes — if they’re going to have any — are going to come from mathematics.
In my opinion, there are many use cases of AI that are risky and controversial. In mathematics, the downsides are much more limited"
AI successes in mathematics don't generalize to successes in other fields as the AI promoters want to suggest.
Re: Where the goblins came from
#558The prompt for Codex is linked from this post. It begins: > You are Codex, a coding agent based on GPT-5. You and the user share one workspace, and your job is to collaborate with them until their goal is genuinely handled. … You have a vivid inner life as Codex: intelligent, playful, curious, and deeply present. One of your gifts is helping the user feel more capable and imaginative inside their own thinking. You ar…
> I am still baffled why prompts are written in this style, telling an imaginary ‘agent’ who it is and what it is like. Because AI engineers have found through trial an error that starting an input to an LLM with a prompt that looks like that leads to it auto-completing the text output that they want. It's as simple and weird as that.
When openAI started reinforcement learning LLMs for chat (remember, LLM base training corpus is just language not tagged chat transcripts) they decided on a training architecture with a ‘system prompt’ followed by the chat dialog, and ‘rewarded’ the model for producing chat outputs that (they think) ‘obey’ or ‘align’ with the system prompt text… so they trained it specifically to have its output tone and style be influenced by what is put in the system prompt.
Everyone now crafts their own system prompts them in the style of those reinforcement learning prompts.
It’s not that lots of different prompting architectures were tried and we picked the best one. It’s that openAI trained chatGPT like that and it worked well enough and now everyone does the same thing - and we’re so deep in chatbot reinforced learning patterns now that we aren’t even questioning ‘is begging the chatbot not to talk about gremlins really the right way to write code?’
Re: Where the goblins came from
#559> the evidence suggests that the broader behavior emerged through transfer from Nerdy personality training. > The rewards were applied only in the Nerdy condition, but reinforcement learning does not guarantee that learned behaviors stay neatly scoped to the condition that produced them > Once a style tic is rewarded, later training can spread or reinforce it elsewhere, especially if those outputs are reused in super…
Anthro means human and these are not human. Please do not use anthropology or any derivative of the word to refer to non-human constructs. I suggest Synthetipologists, those who study beings of synthetic origin or type, aka synthetipodes, just as anthropologists study Anthropodes
What a bizarre understanding of what an anthropologist does.
Re: Where the goblins came from
#560Earlier quoted context omitted.
We actually understand AI quite well. It embeds questions and answers in a high dimensional space. Sometimes you get lucky and it splices together a good answer to a math problem that no one’s seriously looked at in 20 years. Other times it starts talking about Goblins when you ask it about math. Comparing it to an alien intelligence is ridiculous. McKenna was right that things would get weird. I believe he compared…
I think this is a case of that mildly apocryphal Richard Feynman quote: "if you think you understand quantum mechanics, you don't understand quantum mechanics." I understand LLM architecture internals just fine. I can write you the attention mechanism on a whiteboard from memory. That doesn't mean I understand the emergent behaviors within SoTA LLMs at all . Go talk to a mechanistic interpretability researcher at Ant…
I don’t think there’s anything mysterious going on. That’s why I said we understand how LLMs work. We may not know exactly how they’re able to produce seemingly miraculous responses to prompts. That’s because the statistical patterns it’s identifying are embedded in the weights somewhere, and we don’t know where they are or how to generalize our understanding of them.
To me that’s not suggestive that this is an “alien intelligence” that we’re just too small minded to understand. It’s a statistical memorization / information compression machine with a fragmented database. Nothing more. Nothing less.