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Suspension of inbound parcels from China and Hong Kong

about.usps.com

551–560 of 610 posts

Re: Suspension of inbound parcels from China and Hong Kong

#551

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Only if "utterly fucked" somehow means you can still pay a bit more to DHL and get packages even faster than USPS. Your fast prototypes coming by air freight likely aren't routed through USPS at all unless it's the last leg of a consolidated shipment that's broken apart once it reaches the US. Those would be using some other carrier to get them from China to the US and then USPS only inside the US. USPS all the way f…

> Paying ~$30 for express shipping through DHL (plus whatever the new tariffs end up being) will still get you those parts in 3-5 days to most major shipping hubs in the US, your suppliers will just need to start filing the export paperwork correctly. In my european experience, DHL is anything but fast when customs are involved. And I doubt they have the manpower to handle it for the new US rules. > These changes wil…

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Re: Suspension of inbound parcels from China and Hong Kong

#552
post #57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I will absolutely concur with American products getting far worse. Everything is cost cut to the bone.

It's not so much that it is cost cut to the bone, but that the expertise is being lost. I can tell you with a straight face that american manufacturing is being held up right now by grey beards pushing back retirement because young people have zero interest in manufacturing boiler conduit fittings. You can crash course an IT cert and come out making more money than you would ever make pressing steel couplers.

No, a lot of it really is just obvious cost cutting. Things like replacing metal fasteners with plastic ones that break or strip easily.

Re: Suspension of inbound parcels from China and Hong Kong

#553

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> You metaphorically need to invent the universe to make it work in the US. You didnt answer the obvious question of the why things are the way they are now? US used to have their entire electronic supply chain, save from raw materials, in USA in the 70s... So why cant US build its own Shenzhen or Hong Kong? taxes? corporate taxes are relatively low in some US states, infrastructure? US has all the infrastructure nee…

In the 1800s the UK led the industrial revolution. Most things were manufactured there. Raw materials were shipped in from all over the Empire but the manufacturing was usually happening in the mills of the UK. In the 1900s the USA took that crown. Most things became manufactured there. A lot thanks to Britain bankrupting itself to defeat Germany in WW1. In the 2000s China has taken that crown. Now most things are ma…

>And now the USA workers wonder if it was all actually a good idea?

We were never asked.

Re: Suspension of inbound parcels from China and Hong Kong

#554

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> You metaphorically need to invent the universe to make it work in the US. You didnt answer the obvious question of the why things are the way they are now? US used to have their entire electronic supply chain, save from raw materials, in USA in the 70s... So why cant US build its own Shenzhen or Hong Kong? taxes? corporate taxes are relatively low in some US states, infrastructure? US has all the infrastructure nee…

The boston-95-ring-vs-silicon-valley/noncompete-enforcement story gets close to this. Or the detroit-automotive-supply-chain story. It's largely about can you set up an effective ecosystem of suppliers. The story of the Traitorous 8 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Traitorous_eight is basically the tale of how free-market competition spawns the economic prosperity of an entire region. In those times, Boston's 95 ring wa…

You are forgetting insurance/healthcare. Public healthcare would make it way easier for individuals to setup small boutique bodega manufacturing shops.

Re: Suspension of inbound parcels from China and Hong Kong

#555

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It’s short-termism but not the kind you first think of in the West. Chinese local officials are expected to meet and exceed targets for GDP growth. Investment is GDP growth, so officials are incentivized to build lots of flashy projects to boost growth even if there isn’t a clear need for them. The central government is so concerned with local government spending that has resulted that it has ordered 12 provinces to…

That's... worse than the US not building any infrastructure?

Is built infrastructure any good if it has to close or never operates? https://english.pardafas.com/china-sees-more-stations-shut-d...

The local government debt burden that has resulted has also started resulting in other services getting cut, like local bus services ceasing to operate. What good is a high speed rail line you can't get to? https://www.asianews.it/news-en/Chinese-bus-crisis,-a-new-bu...

Re: Suspension of inbound parcels from China and Hong Kong

#556
The suspension has already been suspended. Packages are again being accepted for delivery:

"Effective February 5, 2025, the Postal Service will continue accepting all international inbound mail and packages from China and Hong Kong Posts. The USPS and Customs and Border Protection are working closely together to implement an efficient collection mechanism for the new China tariffs to ensure the least disruption to package delivery."

https://about.usps.com/newsroom/service-alerts/international...

Re: Suspension of inbound parcels from China and Hong Kong

#557

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's divide and conquer tactics. They are not interested in continuity or a smoothly functioning economy. They want chaos and panic because they can exploit it.

The problem is they've already threatened most of their allies. In divide and conquer the goal is supposed to be to divide your enemies, not divide yourself from your allies. As it is their enemies and allies now have good reason to work together.

I wasn't thinking IR terms. I think they're perfectly willing to crash the US economy in order to consolidate domestic power, even if it causes an overall loss for the US.

Re: Suspension of inbound parcels from China and Hong Kong

#558

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The only team you need in the EU is someone to peel shipping labels off inbound parcels and ship them on to the US.

That's a fantastic way to get the attention of and end up getting the stick from the US, so I think (hope) the EU would have mechanisms in place to quickly shut down tariff evasion strategies that would involve just relabeling goods.

It is already an established business model.

Re: Suspension of inbound parcels from China and Hong Kong

#559

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Consumers didn't save tons of money. They just bought more stuff with the money they had. > People demand cheap shit and riot over expensive stuff Sure, agree. But moving manufacturing to China wasn't done under pressure of Americans protesting that prices were high.

No, but it was done under pressure of Americans buying Walmart over local mom and pop. I cannot take anyone seriously who thinks people care about "Made in USA" more than $10 sweatshirts and $50 dinnerware sets.

I didn't say Americans cared about Made in USA - any more than they care that WalMart destroyed small down America.

And by the time they wonder where the jobs all went and start griping about it, it's too late.

But it was a deliberate decision to offshore manufacturing that started the process (you can't sell cheaper goods until you start making cheaper goods abroad). Americans didn't switch from Kraft or Whirlpool or whatever to some Chinese brand. US companies offshored production.

Re: Suspension of inbound parcels from China and Hong Kong

#560
post #138

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Here's a subthread from yesterday where I went into this in depth: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42911011 . Past explanations: https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=true&que... . If anyone has a question that isn't answered at those links, I'd be happy to take a crack at it.

another question I had was what are your thoughts on spinning off a politics.news.ycombinator.com or some other official link from here, and letting the people that want to do politics have a space separate from the main site?

One big problem with that is there'd be constant tension about what political thingies were important enough to be on the "main" site; we'd just instantly recapitulate all the problems we have now, while also supporting a site full of inevitably awful threads as a sort of attractive nuisance.
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