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Let's Buy Spirit Air

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541–550 of 628 posts

Re: Let's Buy Spirit Air

#541
post #535

Fundamental problem: Flights don't make money. Airlines actually make all of their money through loyalty programs and credit card payments. They basically should have turned into regulated utilities long ago, but loyalty program revenue saved them. Unless this initiative will turn into a credit card company (which nobody likes or wants to do) it won't go anywhere Private equity will likely sell the company for parts.…

This is a common narrative that simply isn’t true. American Airlines has the largest loyalty program. In last week’s report to shareholders they project it will grow to $1.5B in pre tax revenue, against a total 2025 pre tax revenue of $54bn (50bn passenger revenue). The core business of airlines is still airlines. Optimizing TRASM & CASM, with tremendous effort on upsell and cross sell of premium services (seats, bag…

It can both be true that (1) most of the revenue and operations focus is on the core airline and (2) most of the profit and valuation is driven by the loyalty program.

This is true for American Airlines: https://viewfromthewing.com/new-report-says-aadvantage-is-wo...

Re: Let's Buy Spirit Air

#542

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm not sure why you're downvoted. You're definitely right that it's extremely rare behavior.

This is based on access to their passenger records and having done data science analysis on it, or just vibes?

https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC300808/

Re: Let's Buy Spirit Air

#543

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Okay, but the process of underwriting an airline now somehow involves operating a successful credit card company. Which, you know, are not typically successful based upon operating excellence but upon rapaciousness of interest rates and merchant fees. I'm not sure it's great to have important infrastructure operated this way. Other than regulation do you see a way out?

No airline operates a credit card company. They just put their name on a card and sell miles at a discount in bulk to credit card companies like Chase or Citi.

Of course they do. Why do you think they get money in return? You don't think that's linked to performance? They just put their name on a card, get a fixed amount of monthly money, and that's enough to let them lead at a loss on airline tickets?

Hacker News has become simple minded. It's embarassing.

Re: Let's Buy Spirit Air

#544
post #539
post #536

Earlier quoted context omitted.

profit != revenue. Airlines have thin margins and the argument is that they're getting most of their profit from the financial side of things. This is the end state of any endeavor in capitalism: up the value chain there's always the business of trading imaginary units.

Can you elaborate on your claim about capitalism and all activities being about trading imaginary units? My uni gave me a degree in finance & I can still basically explain CAPM off the top of my head, but I'm unfamiliar with this aspect. Always interested in expanding my understanding.

I know this is a bit tongue in cheek but I think they're referring to dollars being made uo, which is true, to the extent that anything else is made up.

But just because it is made up doesn't mean it isn't real.

Re: Let's Buy Spirit Air

#545
post #346

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ryanair (EU) also does this, but the US is indeed pretty obnoxious here. United even has commercials before the safety video; combined with the "if you're watching explicit content on this flight, please mind the children" announcement, those flights onestly honestly felt pretty surreal to me.

United has gotten worse and worse with this. The ads after (not before) the safety video, and also before each movie you watch (and it's usually the same ads before every movie). A few years ago the ads were skippable, but not anymore. The flight attendant also makes an announcement about the United-branded credit cards near the beginning of the flight. But this is really just an illustration of what the top-poster o…

Can't they just raise prices?

Re: Let's Buy Spirit Air

#546
post #332

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes, Ryanair is the undisputed leader in finding new creative ways to take advantage of their captive audience and saving a few pennies here and there (e.g. I'm not aware of other low-cost carriers that have advertising on the overhead bins or put the safety instructions on seat-back stickers because it's marginally cheaper than using cards for that). Not to mention only flying from airports in the middle of nowhere…

They don't have to actually sell a single scratchcard for it to be worthwhile for them - the whole point is to cheapen the experience. They have an entire theory of marketing based on people believing that "if it feels cheap, it is cheap", and so they deliberately build in a bunch of annoyances (scratchcards, arbitrary baggage restrictions, checkout hoop-jumping, endless PR about removing toilets or running standing-…

It's kinda refreshing to see a company sell the illusion of bargain bin instead of selling the illusion of luxury like many other companies!

Re: Let's Buy Spirit Air

#547

Reading from Wikipedia Spirit sounds like a horrible low-cost Airline like Ryanair. Why should we rescue something which hurts employees and passengers? If it would be TWA or PanAm my reaction would be positive.

“Horrible” and “low cost” are contradictory for many consumers

Re: Let's Buy Spirit Air

#548
post #539
post #536

Earlier quoted context omitted.

profit != revenue. Airlines have thin margins and the argument is that they're getting most of their profit from the financial side of things. This is the end state of any endeavor in capitalism: up the value chain there's always the business of trading imaginary units.

Can you elaborate on your claim about capitalism and all activities being about trading imaginary units? My uni gave me a degree in finance & I can still basically explain CAPM off the top of my head, but I'm unfamiliar with this aspect. Always interested in expanding my understanding.

I guess a better characterization is that it's more profitable to be in a meta-business than what's stated on the label. The original business is a almost a foot in the door and the money is all in value adds, ancillaries and side quests.

McDonalds -> leasing land to franchisees. Private equity -> saddling existing business with debt while chopping them up for parts. Stock markets -> pump and dumps. Selling anything -> rewards programs and branded CCs. Car dealerships -> captive audience for servicing. Owning real estate with the goal of leasing it out -> speculation on its value.

Re: Let's Buy Spirit Air

#549
post #47

I remember reading about how the major airlines now are more of a "bank that happens to have planes," due to the loyalty programs being worth significantly more than the airline. Delta Air Lines earned $8.2 billion from American Express in 2025, surpassing ticket sales revenue. [1] I primarily use my favorite's airlines credit card because it gives me perks such as priority seating, and free checked bags. I am pretty…

This sort of reminds me of a gas station that only sold gas at the pump. No convenience store, no smokes, no snacks, no cokes. I think it was Swifty? I know it was yellow signage. Anyway, point is they failed and went under and my recollection is that just selling gasoline alone was not profitable. The extra coin comes from selling snacks, beer, smokes, etc.

I used to work for a company with about 1200 gas station/convenience stores. They tracked "Light product break even". Basically the profit to earn on fuel to make the store break even. It was like 2 cents per gallon most of the time. So they could be super competitive on fuel and still be profitable. It was pretty crazy to see that.

And it was Swifty - definitely a no frills experiences!

Re: Let's Buy Spirit Air

#550
post #386

Earlier quoted context omitted.

i was one of the weirdos that used em dashes pre-llms but yeah it can def be an indicator

We may be getting off-topic, but I despise how LLMS made em-dashes a thing that people associate with slop posts.

it's because they were trained on lots of stolen fluff pieces in major publications, also part of why they have such an annoyingly positive tone
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