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How to Start Google

paulgraham.com

541–550 of 681 posts

Re: How to Start Google

#541
I don't see any mention of being ready to completely pivot from your original, lofty mission ("best search with no ads") to exactly the opposite ("ads are money").

Google was a successful, unsustainable search engine before it was a successful business.

Facebook was a successful social network waay before it was a successful business.

Reddit was... You can see where I am going with this.

Re: How to Start Google

#542

This advice is horrible for 14 year olds - it’s the equivalent of saying hey kids go become a movie star, rock star, sports champion or rapper

The advice boils down to “work on projects that interest you” and “do well and school” and maybe “if you don’t know what you’re interested in, try programming”.

Even if they don’t make a startup, at least following the advice would make them more employable.

Re: How to Start Google

#543
post #527

> Don't try to guess whether gene editing or LLMs or rockets will turn out to be the most valuable technology to know about. No one can predict that. Just work on whatever interests you the most. This optimizes for Paul's outcomes not for the individual outcomes.

> This optimizes for Paul's outcomes not for the individual outcomes.

I don't get your comment. Are you saying PG is trying to deter and throw off teenagers so they don't compete in the space he invested in?

Re: How to Start Google

#544

How to start Google? You can't. That holds for 99.999999% of the people. The rest 0.000001% aren't wasting their time reading Paul Graham's essays.

You're overestimating the importance of talent and underestimating the importance of luck.

Not saying Larry Page and Sergey page aren't talented - clearly they were/are very talented people. But they were also extraordinarily lucky. To take another example, if Gary Kildall had been a slightly more ruthless businessman and IBM had had a little more foresight, Bill Gates would not be a billionaire.

Re: How to Start Google

#545
post #543
post #527

> Don't try to guess whether gene editing or LLMs or rockets will turn out to be the most valuable technology to know about. No one can predict that. Just work on whatever interests you the most. This optimizes for Paul's outcomes not for the individual outcomes.

> This optimizes for Paul's outcomes not for the individual outcomes. I don't get your comment. Are you saying PG is trying to deter and throw off teenagers so they don't compete in the space he invested in?

No. Survivorship Bias.

Re: How to Start Google

#546
post #543
post #527

> Don't try to guess whether gene editing or LLMs or rockets will turn out to be the most valuable technology to know about. No one can predict that. Just work on whatever interests you the most. This optimizes for Paul's outcomes not for the individual outcomes.

> This optimizes for Paul's outcomes not for the individual outcomes. I don't get your comment. Are you saying PG is trying to deter and throw off teenagers so they don't compete in the space he invested in?

No, they're saying 1000 bets on random foundational technology means PG is more likely to have a startup to invest in that's a winner, then necessarily giving good advice to the individual founder who doesn't have 1000 turns at the wheel.

Re: How to Start Google

#548

It's interesting that this piece mentions "to get really rich" as one of the primary motivators. Especially to high school students. I wonder if that's good advice or if society is better served by motivating students to start companies that make the world better.

Getting rich and making the world better are not incompatible, or even unaligned in general. You get rich by offering a good or service that society desires.

Drug lords are making the world better?

Re: How to Start Google

#549

Paul Graham sounds like a boomer telling their kids to go apply in person or go door to door for jobs. Especially talking about Software startups, which will increasingly have a lower and lower barrier to entry (aka lower profitability) Theres simply no way to get away with what Google, Facebook or Uber did today. You will not sneak your software into enterprise customers, you will not be able to skirt regulations. H…

While you are right, the trick is to find the new unturned stone. Google, Facebook and Uber developed playbooks for their respective environments. One cannot replay their playbook and expect it to work

Re: How to Start Google

#550

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Compared to my 25 and 15 year old self, my 35 (now 40) self is a lot wiser in terms of dealing with people, applying humility and being crisp on the wide gulf between "what I find is worth doing at the moment" and "what's valuable." I think these are all hugely valuable and serve me well.

LLMs are increasingly good at your 40 year old soft social skills like humility, so don't bank on that being worth much very long.

Viewing things like wisdom, patience, discipline, and humility as both "soft" and "skills" is one of the single most problematic aspects of the tech industry.
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