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Local AI needs to be the norm

unix.foo

521–530 of 804 posts

Re: Local AI needs to be the norm

#521

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sorry but you're just seeing what you want to see. The idea that a 31b model is anywhere even in the ballpark of something like Opus 4.5 is just absurd on its face.

False. The absolute capability is irrelevant, with the proper harness 31b is more than adequate for a very large portion of the tasks I ask AI to do. The metric isn't how good the model is at Erdos Problems, it's how reliably it can remove drudgery in my life. It just autonomously reverse engineered a bluetooth protocol with minimal intervention, it's ability to react to data and ground itself is constantly impressiv…

Maybe reaching for an analogy would be helpful here.

Thot_experiment is saying that his 2016 Toyota Prius is a great and reliable car for his daily commute and running errands.

Whereas everyone is screeching about its capability gap with a Lockheed Martin F35 lightning.

Re: Local AI needs to be the norm

#523

Every reply here forgets/overlooks the main reason for why this is not going to happen: The astronomical AI data center investments currently underway. Those place are not just for training. They are for inference too and the way all those investments are expected to eventually pay off. The whole AI sector of our industry depends on running models in these places.

These astronomical AI data centers will be used for high-value inference with smarter models that really are too large for running locally. The investments will be fine once they pivot to that use. Currently available open models are not in that range.

Re: Local AI needs to be the norm

#527
post #212

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> They will be, and that moment is not that far off. It's here, right now. I'm running quantized Qwen and Gemma on a decent, but three years old gaming rig (think RTX 3080 12GB and 32 GB RAM). Yes, it's slow, it has a small context window. But it can (given a proper harness) run through my trip photos and categorize them. It can OCR receipts and summarize spendings. It can answer simple questions, analyze code and ev…

I'm sorry to spoil it for you, but Perl script was able to do all of that like ... 10 years ago? The out-of-the-box Shotwell manages photos quite well without any intelligence. The problem, as people mentioned above, is SOTA models cognitive and tooling abilities. Also, have you noticed as top-end Mac Studios got downgraded recently? They don't want you to have access to frontier models. And you will not have it. See…

Huh? Why would Apple not want you to be able to run local models? They have very deliberately stayed the hell away from this space.

Re: Local AI needs to be the norm

#528

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What? I use Qwen 3.5 35B-A3B and it definitely knows how and when to do web searches to fill in gaps in its knowledge.

Does Qwen3.5 know it needs to do this because the API in question has had loads of churn and much of its training data is on obsolete versions, or do you need to prompt it? How well does it handle having an API reference with sample code in its context window? Having an LLM use a web search tool isn't the same thing as researching a topic, IMO, because it's so ephemeral and needs constant reinforcement. LLMs aren't l…

How many facts change over time to create obsolete data? Unless you’re researching current events, I contend it’s a moot point.

Re: Local AI needs to be the norm

#529

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You are greatly underestimating the hardware requirements for productive local LLMs. Research consistently shows that parameter count sets the practical ceiling for a model's reliability. Quantized models with double digit param counts will never be reliable enough to achieve results in the realm of something like Opus 4.6.

Flat wrong. Q6 Gemma 31b feels a lot like opus 4.5 to me when run in a harness so it can retrieve information and ground itself. The gap is not that big for a lot of usecases. Qwen MoE is fast as fuck locally for things that are oneshottable. I have subscriptions to all the major providers right now and since Gemma 4 and Qwen 3.6 came out I haven't hit limits a single time. I'm actually super surprised by the number…

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Re: Local AI needs to be the norm

#530
post #90
post #80

They will be, and that moment is not that far off. We've got the progression in place already: first, large data centers could have performant LLMs, we are now firmly in "a bunch of servers with a couple of H100s each" territory, slowly going into "128 GB VRAM on a MacBook Pro or a Strix Halo". Within the next year, the pattern of "expensive remote LLM for planning, local slow-but-faster-than-human LLM for execution"…

This is simply delusional, It cost 20-30k a month to run Kimi 2.6. The tokens are sold for $3 per mm. To sell tokens profitably you'd need to be able to run inference at 150 tokens per second for less than $1,000 USD a month. I don't think people realize how expensive it is to host decently capable models and how much their use of capable models is subsidized. You can only squeeze so many parameters on consumer grade…

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