Live data from Hacker News

Explaining Sex Rate Changes

overcomingbias.com

521–530 of 588 posts

Re: Explaining Sex Rate Changes

#521

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm interested in your counter-point, and have a couple of questions: - When you were writing good messages, were things very conversational and informal? - Did you ever get reviews from women about how you were good at conversing? It also counts if they told you how the other guys they talked on dating apps were mostly awful at talking - Would you are cognizant of messaging social norms (e.g. you know when to omit p…

> When you were writing good messages, were things very conversational and informal? What else would they be? > Did you ever get reviews from women about how you were good at conversing? No, but women rarely respond at all so I'm not exactly surprised by that. Even the women I eventually went on dates with never mentioned it. > Would you are cognizant of messaging social norms I would say I actively detest messaging…

>> Did you ever get reviews from women about how you were good at conversing?

> No, but women rarely respond at all so I'm not exactly surprised by that

Really? See, that's very weird to me, because I rarely saw women not respond at all. They've swiped right on you, so they've already accepted your pictures and bio, they're willing to be with you if you have a good conversation. If they weren't, why would they swipe right? Tinder, for example, limits the number of right swipes you're allowed to give over some period of time. So that right swipe truly means that all you need to do is have a good conversation with them. Again, I'm really not trying to bash you, and I personally enjoy having this debate with you on HN. But being good at a HN debate is very different from being good at a dating app conversation. I suspect that there was a problem with the conversations (despite the effort and best intentions - conversing well can be hard, especially for my/our generation). But I am sorry that you went through the pain of not getting replies most of the time - that definitely sucks.

>> Would you are cognizant of messaging social norms

// Wow, seeing that I wrote this makes me feel like such an idiot!

> I would say I actively detest messaging social norms. I write legible full English sentences just like you see here because I'm an adult. I specifically ruled out women who obviously felt differently.

Ok, perhaps this could be a big factor in why we had very different results. Unless we're surrounded by very, very, very different sets of people (or we're in very different age ranges), you're specifically ruling out most candidates. In my experience, even the people who write complete sentences in their bios will often follow messaging social norms once you start messaging with them. For a lot of people, following those social norms is required for the messages to feel casual. If I matched with someone and they used complete sentences with proper punctuation in 100% of our messages (e.g. sending "Hey." or something that looked like it could be in a letter), I would instantly feel like I'm in a more formal setting and cross them off the list of potential dates, and the most we'd become is friends. And I know people with much stricter rules about messaging social norms than me, such as feeling like things are too formal if there aren't enough emojis/memes/GIFs.

I'm not trying to convince you to change, and I respect your passion for detesting messaging social norms. But I do believe your messaging style could be a significant factor in why putting effort into conversation yields you no results. I'd be curious to see if the same happens with other people who also don't follow these norms. Thanks for all your responses!

Re: Explaining Sex Rate Changes

#522
post #298

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The internet and dating apps surely play a part. It's also become more acceptable to be non-monogamous. I lived in the bay area for a while and hung out among queer circles in San Francisco. It seemed like nearly everyone was polyamorous and uninterested in being in a monogamous relationship. So much that I felt kind of obligated to try the poly thing myself for a while if I was going to date. I am a little worried a…

>It also seems to me that if a sizeable chunk of young men end up feeling undesirable, unwanted, and frustrated, the consequences won't be pretty, we all lose. Those young men need to stop basing their self image on their own ego and sense of sexual entitlement. What we're seeing here, in my humble and uneducated opinion, is the end of a period in societal history where women served the role of sexual currency in a m…

I think part of the 'issue' is that the stats show that more women are choosing to have sex with men, and because they are not married to that man, or really can expect any modicum of partner-like support from him, it results in worse outcomes societally when children inevitably result.

Re: Explaining Sex Rate Changes

#523

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> When you were writing good messages, were things very conversational and informal? What else would they be? > Did you ever get reviews from women about how you were good at conversing? No, but women rarely respond at all so I'm not exactly surprised by that. Even the women I eventually went on dates with never mentioned it. > Would you are cognizant of messaging social norms I would say I actively detest messaging…

>> Did you ever get reviews from women about how you were good at conversing? > No, but women rarely respond at all so I'm not exactly surprised by that Really? See, that's very weird to me, because I rarely saw women not respond at all. They've swiped right on you, so they've already accepted your pictures and bio, they're willing to be with you if you have a good conversation. If they weren't, why would they swipe…

There may be some miscommunication. I never used Tinder --because it's a shallow hookup app and I'm not interested in that... and come to think of it it may not even have existed at the time-- I was on OKC which lacked a "swipe-right" concept.

> you're specifically ruling out most candidates.

Yes, because the reality is I just can't stand emoji-laden text communication or single letter representations of words. Many of the women I messaged had said something similar in their profiles. If someone is going to be bothered by that then it was never going to work anyway.

Re: Explaining Sex Rate Changes

#524

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Women would rather be the second wife of George Clooney than the first wife of Joe Average. Simple as that.

Some women pursue this strategy. But I don't think it's anywhere near most. Having a husband who will prioritize providing for you and your children above anybody else is a really valuable thing to have.

George Clooney is probably at least 1000 times richer than Joe Average. So he could provide better for 50 women than Joe Average for one.

Of course it doesn't seems as if he is taking on 50 women, so the women are stuck with Joe Average for the most part.

Just because women would prefer George Clooney, doesn't mean they can get him.

And sure, modern society (at least for a while) has made monogamy the norm. Doesn't mean it is best suited for women's preferences.

Re: Explaining Sex Rate Changes

#525

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Some women pursue this strategy. But I don't think it's anywhere near most. Having a husband who will prioritize providing for you and your children above anybody else is a really valuable thing to have.

George Clooney is probably at least 1000 times richer than Joe Average. So he could provide better for 50 women than Joe Average for one. Of course it doesn't seems as if he is taking on 50 women, so the women are stuck with Joe Average for the most part. Just because women would prefer George Clooney, doesn't mean they can get him. And sure, modern society (at least for a while) has made monogamy the norm. Doesn't m…

> George Clooney is probably at least 1000 times richer than Joe Average. So he could provide better for 50 women than Joe Average for one.

Assuming all of a woman’s needs are financial, sure. But unless he is hiring Joe Averages to provide personal attention and emotional support (and there are issues with the viability of that), not really in the universe of what appears to be real human needs.

Re: Explaining Sex Rate Changes

#526
post #512

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sexual intimacy is one of the "pillars" on Maslow's Hierarchy of Needs.

And? Is everything Mr. Maslow said to be taken as incontrovertible fact?

No, but perhaps your refutation should be something that is a bit more in-depth than "you don't need to have sexual intimacy in your life to be happy and feel fulfilled."

Re: Explaining Sex Rate Changes

#527

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You're doing precisely what I described. If women are not in a field, it must therefore be that the field is not open to women. If there is a lack of seniority, it must therefore be due to a bias in promotions.

...and you're doing precisely what I described, saying its all ok because (?) men win? women don't want that career? we assume promotions are fair (citation!) because, again, men always win and (?)

You've attempted to claim my position as one that states that

1.) population outcomes being different are okay because men win

2.) population outcomes are different because women don't want certain careers

3.) promotions are fair

The problem is that I didn't make any of those points, nor do I believe them.

You can't make the case that our arguments are symmetrical, because they're not. Yours is an assertion, mine is a claim of insufficient evidence to substantiate your claim. The burden of proof is yours. I'm not making the claim that all population outcomes are the result of biology and everything is perfectly fair, you seem to just believe that this is my claim. What I'm actually saying is that I have a problem with an ideological position which assumes in the absence (or sometimes in the presence of) alternative explanations for why populations arrive at different outcomes, there is a tendency to be satisfied with a de facto position stating that outcomes are necessarily due to sociological forces, specifically patriarchy/sexism/racism. I'm saying that this is a totally unjustifiable position to work off of as a baseline. Working backwards from default conclusions, particularly when it comes to things that are as complicated as this, is not an acceptable strategy.

Re: Explaining Sex Rate Changes

#528
post #512

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And? Is everything Mr. Maslow said to be taken as incontrovertible fact?

No, but perhaps your refutation should be something that is a bit more in-depth than "you don't need to have sexual intimacy in your life to be happy and feel fulfilled."

> your refutation

See my comments on the distinction between need vs desire in this thread.

> should be something that is a bit more in-depth than "you don't need to have sexual intimacy in your life to be happy

That's correct. You can feel happy doing a variety of things, such as hobbies, work, dining out with friends, etc. Your not engaging in sexual intercourse does automagically stop happiness in tracks.

> ... and feel fulfilled."

Nothing in the dictionary definition of the word "fulfilled" -- "satisfied or happy because of fully developing one's abilities or character." -- indicates necessarily having sexual intercourse.

Re: Explaining Sex Rate Changes

#529

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Having spent a fair amount of time doing the online dating thing at one point in my life, and having taken the time and effort on writing good messages, I don't feel like this is true at all. That's why you see men writing a bunch of generic low effort messages to women: because it is ultimately a more successful strategy.

I'm interested in your counter-point, and have a couple of questions: - When you were writing good messages, were things very conversational and informal? - Did you ever get reviews from women about how you were good at conversing? It also counts if they told you how the other guys they talked on dating apps were mostly awful at talking - Would you are cognizant of messaging social norms (e.g. you know when to omit p…

>If you're very attractive, yes. But if you're aren't very attractive and you're sending bad messages, how is that more successful than sending good messages? Perhaps I'm misunderstanding you. By "low effort messages" do you mean "bad messages" or do you mean "fluid messages without overthinking or too much detail"

They switched from TCP to UDP because speed/reach is more efficient (in their mind) than deliverability/customisation

Re: Explaining Sex Rate Changes

#530

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>It's exceptionally unlikely that a small subgroup of men who already refuse to adapt is large enough and motivated enough to hold the rest of society at gunpoint. Isn't it the point that it's something like 80% of men that are becoming disenfranchised? That hardly seems like a small subgroup to me.

>something like 80% of men that are becoming disenfranchised Are you arguing men have a right to sex? Disenfranchisement is the taking away of rights, that's it's definition. If not, you should be more careful using that phrasing.

I wouldn't call it a right, but as others have pointed out, it's an issue that might bring heavy consequences in the future, so maybe let's do something about it, or maybe we can't do anything about it and let's just hope for the best.
Post reply on HN