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Without affordable housing, Vancouver risks becoming an economic ghost town

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521–530 of 629 posts

Re: Without affordable housing, Vancouver risks becoming an economic ghost town

#521

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The problem in Vancouver is the house prices are not driven by economic activity in the city itself. Bay area and Manhattan prices are a product of the local economies. Vancouver prices are a product of speculation and wealthy people who live/have property there but don't work there.

Except it's been this way for 30 years. Vancouver house prices have always been higher than Ontario, even back in the 80s when I lived there. So speculation is one thing, but 30 years isn't speculation. And back then they were saying it was foreigners too, especially from Hong Kong. But it's 30 years later, and the house prices haven't abated at all. That isn't speculation, that's a permanently high prices. When my p…

I mean, there's tech, professional trades, doctors, finance sector, real estate agents (lol), luxury services, etc.? That accounts for part of the money. How much? How did you determine it was insignificant, if I infer correctly from your post?

Re: Without affordable housing, Vancouver risks becoming an economic ghost town

#522

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Those house owning elderly you're feeling sorry benefitted from the biggest bull market it history. They may have saw 100x gains on their house while many youth will are spending 30-50% of their income on housing if they're lucky to get a good job. If they do, they can look forward to paying entitlements to these elderly people while they themselves may never see the same turn done to them because the system will be…

An expensive house doesn't make you richer unless you're selling it and live somewhere cheaper. And in our society it's a given that predictability of costs is one of the benefits you get from buying a house.

Okay, and? So they can and should go and do that. Are you insinuating it is a hardship that they have the option to liquidate and easily move to a cheaper area and pocket a million dollars?

Re: Without affordable housing, Vancouver risks becoming an economic ghost town

#523
post #80

As someone who just moved from Vancouver to the Bay Area, it's obvious the issue isn't housing. It's income. My apartment in trendy yaletown was $2350/month for a very nice 2 bed, 2 bath place within 10 mins of anything in downtown. Try finding something even remotely as nice around Silicon Valley. The issue we should be tackling is the low wages seen in the area. The same developer who could make $100k USD in the va…

The problem there is the >90% of people in Vancouver who aren't in high paying tech fields. It's pretty difficult to say "just triple their wages and they'll afford houses no problem." The real issue is property owners know someone will eventually come along and pay whatever they're asking. If wages were to dramatically increase, they'd never stop and think, "Yeah, I think I'll cap rent at $3000/month because I'm a n…

Every other post in this thread starts with "No, the real issue is..."

Can you guys all start up a shared google doc and hash this out to figure out which one of you is right and why the others are all wrong?

Re: Without affordable housing, Vancouver risks becoming an economic ghost town

#524
post #488

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> This means you have people living in Sydney with multi-million dollar properties - which are just modest houses in now-desirable suburbs - who haven't paid any property tax since the 60's, and who can't move anywhere because they'd be up for so much stamp duty in one hit (easily 50-100k). I don't understand. When you're making millions on the sale of the property, how is 100k in stamp duty a problem? It's on the sa…

Why isn't every house incorporated (bought by a company, then have that company bought/sold instead of the house) ? Note: this is how it's done for a lot of houses in western europe, and there it's a 100% legal way to avoid this tax. The problem is that you're going to have to pay 30% company tax on profits, and it's hard to get a mortgage. However this can always be structured so there aren't any profits (e.g. by im…

I've read that Californian municipalities say that transferring control of the company that owns a property results in the underlying property being valued at current market prices. They'll get their tax regardless.

Re: Without affordable housing, Vancouver risks becoming an economic ghost town

#525

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Isn't that a housing issue, though? Paying for a $2350/mo place on $60k is... pretty ridiculous.

That's a lifestyle issue. No fresh grad ($60k) should live in "trendy" Yaletown district with 2 BR + 2 Bath.

Fresh grads are making a lot more than $60k these days. But yes, you're spot on.

Re: Without affordable housing, Vancouver risks becoming an economic ghost town

#526

I live in Vancouver. Well, Burnaby. Like many Vancouverites on HN I am studying for a comp sci degree, and want to work as a developer. I accept that I have to make sacrifices to keep living in Vancouver, such as: -Living in a suburb (like Burnaby) -Getting roommates/a shared room -Living on a bus route instead of being a 5 minute walk from Skytrain With those sacrifices, I can find rents for $750-1000/month. $750 is…

> assuming you max out your RRSPs

As a side note, this shouldn't really factor into your calculations. Either way you're paying the tax

Re: Without affordable housing, Vancouver risks becoming an economic ghost town

#527

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's insane. The people who don't work live close to the business districts collecting social security paid for by the people who do work who have to commute in from afar for the privilege. Then the people who don't work vote themselves favorable property tax rules so they don't have to pay their fair share of keeping up the city.

I disagree. If the housing costs shoot way up, why should those people suddenly pay more money? Did a real estate bubble suddenly make it more expensive to police the area? I don't think so. The city doesn't need more money, it needs to stick to its budget.

Prices don't rise spontaneously (or not exactly). There's increased demand, which usually means more people living and working in the area. Therefore, in fact the cost of policing and everything else does increase.

Re: Without affordable housing, Vancouver risks becoming an economic ghost town

#528
post #97
post #82

It seems like many major cities of the world are experiencing this problem, and no city has been able to come up with a good solution. It always leads to displacement and newspaper articles about displacement, but no real solutions. Here are a couple of solutions: 1. Build really tall. Hasn't worked out all that great in Hong Kong, though. 2. Rent control. This is often unfair and inflates price of non-rent controlle…

Singapore has been able to solve it to a certain extend. 90%+ of land is owned by the government and leased/purchased back to its residents at an affordable rate. This generates revenue the government can re-invest into the economy. It also reduces the impact of a small group of rent seekers siphoning billions out of the local economy. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_housing_in_Singapore

Tough to employ that model if the government doesn't already own the land though.

Re: Without affordable housing, Vancouver risks becoming an economic ghost town

#529
post #377

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's even worse in Australia, which most properties do not have a yearly property tax. So you pay a 'stamp duty' when you purchase the property, based on a % of the sale price. This means you have people living in Sydney with multi-million dollar properties - which are just modest houses in now-desirable suburbs - who haven't paid any property tax since the 60's, and who can't move anywhere because they'd be up for s…

And yet if you ask the average person in the street, they will blame 'interest rates' or 'Chinese buyers', and not once look at the ridiculous blockage on supply. I think that this is the other dimension to the Vancouver housing problem that no one is talking about yet. Vancouver is separated from the rest of the province by the Fraser river to the south-east, and regional development policy for about 30 years has be…

Isn't most of the land sourth of the Fraser prone to flooding?

Re: Without affordable housing, Vancouver risks becoming an economic ghost town

#530

As someone who just moved from Vancouver to the Bay Area, it's obvious the issue isn't housing. It's income. My apartment in trendy yaletown was $2350/month for a very nice 2 bed, 2 bath place within 10 mins of anything in downtown. Try finding something even remotely as nice around Silicon Valley. The issue we should be tackling is the low wages seen in the area. The same developer who could make $100k USD in the va…

Isn't that a housing issue, though? Paying for a $2350/mo place on $60k is... pretty ridiculous.

I split it with a roommate. I lived 10 mins from my work, which vastly improved my quality of life and saved me money on transit.

I estimated I was paying $100 more to live in downtown, but that was almost equivalent to the savings in transit fares.

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